1 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I want you to reimagine how life is organized on earth. 2 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Think of the planet like a human body that we inhabit. 3 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The skeleton is the transportation system of roads and railways, 4 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 bridges and tunnels, air and seaports 5 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that enable our mobility across the contient. 6 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The vascular system that powers the body 7 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with oil and gas pipelines that distribute energy. 8 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And the nervous system of communications 9 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 is the internet cables, satellites, cellular networks 10 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and data centers that allow us to share information. 11 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This ever-expanding infrastructural matrix of 64 million kilometers of roads, 12 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 4 million kilometers of railways, 13 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 2 million kilometers of pipelines, 14 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and 1 million kilometers of internet cables. 15 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 What about international borders? 16 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have less than 500,000 kilometers of borders. 17 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Let's build a better map of the world. 18 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And we can start by overcoming some ancient mythology. 19 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 There's a saying with which all students of history are familiar: 20 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 "Geography is destiny." 21 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Sounds so grave, doesn't it? 22 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It's such a fatalistic adage. 23 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It tells us that landlocked countries are condemned to be poor, 24 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that small countries cannot escape their larger neighbors, 25 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that vast distances are insurmountable. 26 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But every journey I take around the world, 27 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I see an even greater force sweeping the planet: 28 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 connectivity. 29 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The global connectivity revolution, in all of its forms -- 30 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 transportation, energy and communications-- 31 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has enabled such a quantum leap in the mobility of people, 32 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of goods, of resources, of knowledge, 33 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 such that we can no longer think of geography as distinct from it. 34 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In fact, I view the two forces as fusing together 35 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 into what I call connectography. 36 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Connectography represents a quantum leap 37 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in the mobility of people, resources and ideas, 38 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but it is an evolution, 39 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 an evolution of the world from political geography, 40 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is how we legally divide the world, 41 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to functional geography, 42 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which is how we actually use the world, 43 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from nations and borders, to infrastructure and supply chains. 44 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Our global system is evolving 45 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from the vertically integrated empires of the 19th century, 46 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 through the horizontally, interdependent nations 47 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the 20th century, 48 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 into a global network civilization in the 21st century. 49 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Connectivity, not sovereignty, has become 50 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the organizing principle of the human species. 51 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 (Applause) 52 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We are becoming this global network civilization 53 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because we are literally building it. 54 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 All of the world's defense budgets and military spending 55 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 taken together total just under 2 trillion dollars per year. 56 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Meanwhile, our global infrastructure spending is projected to rise 57 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to 9 trillion dollars per year within the coming decade. 58 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And, well, it should. 59 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 We have been living off an infrastructure stock 60 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 meant for a world population of 3 billion, 61 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as our population has crossed 7 billion to 8 billion 62 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and eventually 9 billion and more. 63 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 As a rule of thumb, we should spend about 1 trillion dollars 64 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on the basic infrastructure needs of every billion people in the world. 65 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Not surprisingly, Asia is in the lead. 66 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In 2015, China announced the creation 67 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of the Asia Infrastructure and Investment Bank, 68 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which together with a network of other organizations, 69 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 aims to construct a network of iron and silk roads, 70 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 stretching from Shanghai to Lisbon. 71 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And as all of this topographical engineering unfolds, 72 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we will likely spend more on infrastrucutre 73 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in the nest 40 years, 74 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 we will build more infrastructure in the next 40 years, 75 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 than we have in the last 4,000 years. 76 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Now let's stop and think about it for a little minute. 77 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Spending so much more 78 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 on building the foundations of global society 79 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 rather than on the tools to destroy it 80 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 can have profound consequences. 81 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Connectivity is how we optimize the distribution 82 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of people and resources around the world. 83 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It is how mankind comes to be more than just the sum of its parts. 84 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 I believe that is what is happening. 85 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Connectivity has a twin megatrend in the the 21st century: 86 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 planetary urbanization. 87 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Cities are the infrastructures that most define us. 88 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 By 2030, more than two thirds of the world's population 89 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 will live in cities. 90 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And these are not mere dots on the map, 91 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 but they are vast archepelagos stretching hundreds of kilomters. 92 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Here we are in Vancouver, 93 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 at the head of the Cascadia Corridor 94 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that stretches south across the US border to Seattle. 95 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The technology powerhouse of SIlicon Valley 96 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 begins north of San Francisco down to San Jose 97 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and across the bay to Oakland. 98 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The sprawl of Los Angeles now passes San Diego 99 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 across the Mexican border to Tijuana. 100 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 San Diego and Tijuana now share an airport terminal 101 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 where you can exit into either country. 102 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Eventually, a high-speed rail network may connect the entire Pacific spine. 103 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 America's northeastern megalopolis begins in Boston through New York 104 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and Philadelphia to Washingotn. 105 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It contains more than 50 million people 106 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and also has plans for a high-speed rail network. 107 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But Asia is where we really see the magacities coming together. 108 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 This continous strip of light from Tokyo through Negoya 109 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to Osaka contains more than 80 million people, 110 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and most of Japan's economy. 111 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It is the world's largest megacity. 112 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 For now. 113 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But in China, megacity clusters are coming together 114 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 with populations reaching 100 million people. 115 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 The Yangtze River Delta around Shanghai 116 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and the Pearl River Delta, 117 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 stretching from Hong Kong to ? 118 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And in the middle, 119 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 the ? mgacity, 120 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 whose geographic footprint is almost the same size 121 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 as the country of Austria. 122 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And any number of these megacity clusters 123 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has a GDP approaching 2 trillion dollars, 124 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that's almost the same of all of India today. 125 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So imagine if our global diplomatic institutions like the G20 126 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 were to base their membership of economic size 127 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 rather than national representation. 128 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Some Chinese megacities may be in and have a seat at the table, 129 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 while entire countries, like Argentina and Indonesia may be out. 130 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Moving to India, whose population will soon exceed that of China, 131 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 it too has a number of megacity clusters, 132 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 such as the Delhi capital region and Mumbai. 133 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In the Middle East, greater Tehran is absorbing 134 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 one third of Iran's population. 135 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Most of Egypt's 30 million people 136 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 live in the corridor between Cairo and Alexandria. 137 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And in the gulf, a necklace of citystates if forming, 138 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 from Bahrain to Qatar, 139 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 through the United Arab Emirates through Muscat in Oman. 140 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And then there's Lagos, 141 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Africa's largest city and Nigeria's commerical hub. 142 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It has plans for a rail network that will make it the anchor 143 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of a vast Atlantic coastal corridor, 144 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 stretching across Benin, Togo and Ghana, 145 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 to Abidjan, the capital of the Ivory Coast. 146 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But these countries are suburbs of Lagos. 147 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 In the megacity world, 148 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 countries can be suburbs of cities. 149 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 By 2030, we will have as many as 50 such megacity clusters 150 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 in the world. 151 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 So which map tells you more? 152 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Our traditional map of 200 discret nations that hang on most of our wallls, 153 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 or this map of the 50 megacity clusters? 154 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 And yet, even this is incomplete 155 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 because you cannot understand any individual megacity 156 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 without understanding its connections to the others. 157 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 People move to cities to be connected, 158 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and connectivity is why these cities thrive. 159 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Any number of them such as Sao Paolo or Istanbul or Moscow 160 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 has a GDP approaching or exceeding one third of one half 161 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of their entire national GDP. 162 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 But equally importantly, 163 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 you cannot calculate any of their individual value 164 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 without understanding the role of the flows of people, 165 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of finance, of technology 166 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that enable them to thrive. 167 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Take the Gauteng province of South Africa, 168 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 which contains Johannesburg and the capital Pretoria. 169 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 It too represents just over a third of South Africa's GDP. 170 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 Equally importantly, it is home to the offices 171 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 of almost every single multinational corporation 172 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 that invests directly into South Africa 173 99:59:59,999 --> 99:59:59,999 and indeed, into the entire African continent.