WEBVTT

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I want you to reimagine
how life is organized on earth.

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Think of the planet like
a human body that we inhabit.

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The skeleton is the transportation system
of roads and railways,

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bridges and tunnels,
air and seaports

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that enable our mobility
across the contient.

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The vascular system
that powers the body

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with oil and gas pipelines
that distribute energy.

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And the nervous system
of communications

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is the internet cables,
satellites, cellular networks

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and data centers that allow
us to share information.

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This ever-expanding infrastructural matrix
of 64 million kilometers of roads,

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4 million kilometers of railways,

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2 million kilometers of pipelines,

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and 1 million kilometers
of internet cables.

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What about international borders?

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We have less than
500,000 kilometers of borders.

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Let's build a better map
of the world.

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And we can start by overcoming
some ancient mythology.

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There's a saying with which
all students of history are familiar:

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"Geography is destiny."

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Sounds so grave, doesn't it?

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It's such a fatalistic adage.

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It tells us that landlocked countries
are condemned to be poor,

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that small countries cannot escape
their larger neighbors,

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that vast distances are insurmountable.

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But every journey I take 
around the world,

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I see an even greater force
sweeping the planet:

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connectivity.

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The global connectivity revolution,
in all of its forms --

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transportation, energy
and communications--

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has enabled such a quantum leap
in the mobility of people,

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of goods, of resources,
of knowledge,

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such that we can no longer think
of geography as distinct from it.

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In fact, I view the two forces
as fusing together

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into what I call connectography.

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Connectography represents
a quantum leap

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in the mobility of people, resources
and ideas,

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but it is an evolution,

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an evolution of the world from 
political geography,

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which is how we legally divide
the world,

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to functional geography,

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which is how we actually
use the world,

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from nations and borders,
to infrastructure and supply chains.

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Our global system is evolving

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from the vertically integrated
empires of the 19th century,

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through the horizontally,
interdependent nations

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of the 20th century,

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into a global network civilization
in the 21st century.

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Connectivity, not sovereignty, 
has become

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the organizing principle
of the human species.

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(Applause)

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We are becoming this global network
civilization

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because we are literally building it.

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All of the world's defense budgets
and military spending

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taken together total just under
2 trillion dollars per year.

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Meanwhile, our global infrastructure
spending is projected to rise

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to 9 trillion dollars per year
within the coming decade.

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And, well, it should.

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We have been living off
an infrastructure stock

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meant for a world population
of 3 billion,

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as our population has crossed
7 billion to 8 billion

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and eventually 9 billion and more.

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As a rule of thumb, we should spend
about 1 trillion dollars

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on the basic infrastructure needs
of every billion people in the world.

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Not surprisingly, Asia is in the lead.

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In 2015, China announced the creation

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of the Asia Infrastructure 
and Investment Bank,

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which together with a network
of other organizations,

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aims to construct a network
of iron and silk roads,

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stretching from Shanghai to Lisbon.

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And as all of this topographical
engineering unfolds,

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we will likely spend more 
on infrastrucutre

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in the nest 40 years,


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we will build more infrastructure
in the next 40 years,


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than we have in the last 4,000 years.

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Now let's stop and think about it
for a little minute.

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Spending so much more


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on building the foundations
of global society

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rather than on the tools
to destroy it

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can have profound consequences.

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Connectivity is how we optimize
the distribution

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of people and resources
around the world.

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It is how mankind comes to be more
than just the sum of its parts.

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I believe that is what is happening.

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Connectivity has a twin megatrend
in the the 21st century:

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planetary urbanization.

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Cities are the infrastructures
that most define us.

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By 2030, more than two thirds
of the world's population

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will live in cities.

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And these are not mere dots
on the map,

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but they are vast archepelagos
stretching hundreds of kilomters.

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Here we are in Vancouver,

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at the head of the Cascadia Corridor


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that stretches south across the US border
to Seattle.

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The technology powerhouse 
of SIlicon Valley

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begins north of San Francisco
down to San Jose

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and across the bay to Oakland.

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The sprawl of Los Angeles
now passes San Diego

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across the Mexican border
to Tijuana.

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San Diego and Tijuana
now share an airport terminal

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where you can exit into either country.

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Eventually, a high-speed rail network
may connect the entire Pacific spine.

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America's northeastern megalopolis
begins in Boston through New York

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and Philadelphia to Washingotn.

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It contains more than 50 million people

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and also has plans for a high-speed
rail network.

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But Asia is where we really see
the magacities coming together.

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This continous strip of light
from Tokyo through Negoya

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to Osaka contains 
more than 80 million people,

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and most of Japan's economy.

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It is the world's largest megacity.

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For now.

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But in China, megacity clusters
are coming together

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with populations reaching
100 million people.

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The Yangtze River Delta
around Shanghai

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and the Pearl River Delta,

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stretching from Hong Kong
to ?

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And in the middle,

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the ? mgacity,

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whose geographic footprint
is almost the same size

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as the country of Austria.

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And any number of these
megacity clusters

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has a GDP approaching
2 trillion dollars,

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that's almost the same
of all of India today.

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So imagine if our global diplomatic
institutions like the G20

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were to base their membership
of economic size

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rather than national representation.

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Some Chinese megacities may be in
and have a seat at the table,

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while entire countries,
like Argentina and Indonesia may be out.

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Moving to India, whose population
will soon exceed that of China,

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it too has a number of megacity clusters,

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such as the Delhi capital region
and Mumbai.

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In the Middle East, greater Tehran
is absorbing

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one third of Iran's population.

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Most of Egypt's 30 million people

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live in the corridor between
Cairo and Alexandria.

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And in the gulf, a necklace
of citystates if forming,

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from Bahrain to Qatar,

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through the United Arab Emirates
through Muscat in Oman.

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And then there's Lagos,

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Africa's largest city
and Nigeria's commerical hub.

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It has plans for a rail network
that will make it the anchor

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of a vast Atlantic coastal corridor,

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stretching across Benin,
Togo and Ghana,

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to Abidjan, the capital
of the Ivory Coast.

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But these countries
are suburbs of Lagos.

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In the megacity world,

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countries can be suburbs of cities.

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By 2030, we will have as many 
as 50 such megacity clusters

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in the world.

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So which map tells you more?

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Our traditional map of 200 discret nations
that hang on most of our wallls,

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or this map of the 50 megacity clusters?

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And yet, even this is incomplete

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because you cannot understand
any individual me