WEBVTT 00:00:06.372 --> 00:00:09.415 If you tried to pay for something with a piece of paper, 00:00:09.439 --> 00:00:11.350 you might run into some trouble. 00:00:11.374 --> 00:00:15.311 Unless, of course, the piece of paper was a hundred dollar bill. 00:00:15.335 --> 00:00:18.890 But what is it that makes that bill so much more interesting and valuable 00:00:18.914 --> 00:00:20.769 than other pieces of paper? 00:00:20.793 --> 00:00:23.421 After all, there's not much you can do with it. 00:00:23.445 --> 00:00:25.055 You can't eat it. 00:00:25.079 --> 00:00:26.556 You can't build things with it. 00:00:26.580 --> 00:00:28.272 And burning it is actually illegal. 00:00:29.089 --> 00:00:30.460 So what's the big deal? 00:00:30.770 --> 00:00:32.991 Of course, you probably know the answer. 00:00:33.015 --> 00:00:35.410 A hundred dollar bill is printed by the government 00:00:35.434 --> 00:00:37.460 and designated as official currency, 00:00:37.484 --> 00:00:39.511 while other pieces of paper are not. 00:00:40.384 --> 00:00:42.332 But that's just what makes them legal. 00:00:42.356 --> 00:00:45.261 What makes a hundred dollar bill valuable, on the other hand, 00:00:45.285 --> 00:00:47.546 is how many or few of them are around. 00:00:48.031 --> 00:00:51.472 Throughout history, most currency, including the US dollar, 00:00:51.496 --> 00:00:53.499 was linked to valuable commodities 00:00:53.523 --> 00:00:55.352 and the amount of it in circulation 00:00:55.376 --> 00:00:58.372 depended on a government's gold or silver reserves. 00:00:59.166 --> 00:01:01.930 But after the US abolished this system in 1971, 00:01:01.954 --> 00:01:05.762 the dollar became what is known as fiat money, 00:01:05.786 --> 00:01:08.197 meaning not linked to any external resource 00:01:08.221 --> 00:01:11.159 but relying instead solely on government policy 00:01:11.183 --> 00:01:13.620 to decide how much currency to print. 00:01:13.644 --> 00:01:16.582 Which branch of our government sets this policy? 00:01:16.606 --> 00:01:19.572 The Executive, the Legislative, or the Judicial? 00:01:19.596 --> 00:01:22.044 The surprising answer is: none of the above! 00:01:22.068 --> 00:01:26.801 In fact, monetary policy is set by an independent Federal Reserve System, 00:01:26.825 --> 00:01:28.552 or the Fed, 00:01:28.576 --> 00:01:32.595 made up of 12 regional banks in major cities around the country. 00:01:32.619 --> 00:01:33.930 Its board of governors, 00:01:33.954 --> 00:01:36.979 which is appointed by the president and confirmed by the Senate, 00:01:37.003 --> 00:01:38.097 reports to Congress, 00:01:38.121 --> 00:01:41.595 and all the Fed's profit goes into the US Treasury. 00:01:41.619 --> 00:01:43.572 But to keep the Fed from being influenced 00:01:43.596 --> 00:01:45.762 by the day-to-day vicissitudes of politics, 00:01:45.786 --> 00:01:49.238 it is not under the direct control of any branch of government. 00:01:49.262 --> 00:01:52.678 Why doesn't the Fed just decide to print infinite hundred dollar bills 00:01:52.702 --> 00:01:54.227 to make everyone happy and rich? 00:01:54.251 --> 00:01:56.871 Well, because then the bills wouldn't be worth anything. 00:01:56.895 --> 00:01:58.996 Think about the purpose of currency, 00:01:59.020 --> 00:02:01.832 which is to be exchanged for goods and services. 00:02:01.856 --> 00:02:04.047 If the total amount of currency in circulation 00:02:04.071 --> 00:02:08.794 increases faster than the total value of goods and services in the economy, 00:02:08.818 --> 00:02:10.675 then each individual piece will be able 00:02:10.699 --> 00:02:13.342 to buy a smaller portion of those things than before. 00:02:13.366 --> 00:02:15.204 This is called inflation. 00:02:15.228 --> 00:02:16.652 On the other hand, 00:02:16.676 --> 00:02:18.438 if the money supply remains the same, 00:02:18.462 --> 00:02:20.594 while more goods and services are produced, 00:02:20.618 --> 00:02:22.564 each dollar's value would increase 00:02:22.588 --> 00:02:24.817 in a process known as deflation. 00:02:24.841 --> 00:02:26.616 So which is worse? 00:02:26.640 --> 00:02:27.823 Too much inflation 00:02:27.847 --> 00:02:31.133 means that the money in your wallet today will be worth less tomorrow, 00:02:31.157 --> 00:02:33.156 making you want to spend it right away. 00:02:33.180 --> 00:02:37.013 While this would stimulate business, it would also encourage overconsumption, 00:02:37.037 --> 00:02:39.875 or hoarding commodities, like food and fuel, 00:02:39.899 --> 00:02:41.620 raising their prices 00:02:41.644 --> 00:02:44.481 and leading to consumer shortages and even more inflation. 00:02:45.704 --> 00:02:49.096 But deflation would make people want to hold onto their money, 00:02:49.120 --> 00:02:51.009 and a decrease in consumer spending 00:02:51.033 --> 00:02:52.567 would reduce business profits, 00:02:52.591 --> 00:02:55.930 leading to more unemployment and a further decrease in spending, 00:02:55.954 --> 00:02:58.227 causing the economy to keep shrinking. 00:02:58.251 --> 00:03:01.894 So most economists believe that while too much of either is dangerous, 00:03:01.918 --> 00:03:06.806 a small, consistent amount of inflation is necessary to encourage economic growth. 00:03:07.787 --> 00:03:10.234 The Fed uses vast amounts of economic data 00:03:10.258 --> 00:03:13.597 to determine how much currency should be in circulation, 00:03:13.621 --> 00:03:15.575 including previous rates of inflation, 00:03:15.599 --> 00:03:17.881 international trends, and the unemployment rate. 00:03:18.739 --> 00:03:20.443 Like in the story of Goldilocks, 00:03:20.467 --> 00:03:22.325 they need to get the numbers just right 00:03:22.349 --> 00:03:24.921 in order to stimulate growth and keep people employed, 00:03:24.945 --> 00:03:27.670 without letting inflation reach disruptive levels. 00:03:27.694 --> 00:03:29.044 The Fed not only determines 00:03:29.068 --> 00:03:32.219 how much that paper in your wallet is worth 00:03:32.243 --> 00:03:34.962 but also your chances of getting or keeping the job 00:03:34.986 --> 00:03:36.325 where you earn it.