WEBVTT 00:00:08.420 --> 00:00:09.850 Thank you very much. 00:00:10.460 --> 00:00:11.525 When I was a boy, 00:00:11.525 --> 00:00:15.310 my parents would sometimes take me camping in California. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:15.430 --> 00:00:19.080 We would camp in the beaches, in the forests, in the deserts. 00:00:19.590 --> 00:00:22.080 Some people think the deserts are empty of life, 00:00:22.080 --> 00:00:25.390 but my parents taught me to see the wildlife all around us, 00:00:25.703 --> 00:00:29.040 the hawks, the eagles, the tortoises. 00:00:29.170 --> 00:00:31.410 One time when we were setting up camp, 00:00:31.410 --> 00:00:34.510 we found a baby scorpion with its stinger out, 00:00:34.510 --> 00:00:36.849 and I remember thinking how cool it was 00:00:36.849 --> 00:00:40.240 that something could be both so cute and also so dangerous. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:41.470 --> 00:00:43.541 After college, I moved to California, 00:00:43.541 --> 00:00:46.410 and I started working on a number of environmental campaigns. 00:00:46.410 --> 00:00:50.466 I got involved in helping to save the state's last ancient redwood forest 00:00:50.466 --> 00:00:53.905 and blocking a proposed radioactive waste repository 00:00:53.905 --> 00:00:55.538 set for the desert. 00:00:55.538 --> 00:00:56.890 Shortly after I turned 30, 00:00:56.890 --> 00:01:00.410 I decided I wanted to dedicate a significant amount of my life 00:01:00.410 --> 00:01:02.278 to solving climate change. 00:01:02.278 --> 00:01:05.585 I was worried that global warming would end up destroying 00:01:05.585 --> 00:01:09.797 many of the natural environments that people had worked so hard to protect. 00:01:10.170 --> 00:01:13.180 I thought the technical solutions were pretty straightforward - 00:01:13.180 --> 00:01:16.403 solar panels on every roof, electric car in the driveway - 00:01:16.403 --> 00:01:18.820 that the main obstacles were political. 00:01:18.820 --> 00:01:21.300 And so I helped to organize a coalition 00:01:21.300 --> 00:01:25.269 of the country's biggest labor unions and biggest environmental groups. 00:01:25.269 --> 00:01:30.090 Our proposal was for a 300-billion-dollar investment in renewables. 00:01:30.090 --> 00:01:33.034 And the idea was not only would we prevent climate change, 00:01:33.034 --> 00:01:35.795 but we would also create millions of new jobs 00:01:35.795 --> 00:01:38.440 in a very fast-growing high-tech sector. 00:01:38.770 --> 00:01:41.629 Our efforts really paid off in 2007, 00:01:41.629 --> 00:01:45.500 when then-presidential candidate Barack Obama embraced our vision. 00:01:45.500 --> 00:01:51.319 And between 2009 and 2015, the US invested 150 billion dollars 00:01:51.319 --> 00:01:54.040 in renewables and other kinds of clean tech. 00:01:54.810 --> 00:01:57.960 But right away, we started to encounter some problems. 00:01:57.960 --> 00:02:00.819 So first of all, the electricity from solar rooftops 00:02:00.819 --> 00:02:04.679 ends up costing about twice as much as the electricity from solar farms. 00:02:04.929 --> 00:02:06.719 And both solar farms and wind farms 00:02:06.719 --> 00:02:09.369 require covering a pretty significant amount of land 00:02:09.369 --> 00:02:11.590 with solar panels and wind turbines 00:02:11.590 --> 00:02:14.590 and also building very big transmission lines 00:02:14.590 --> 00:02:17.780 to bring all that electricity from the countryside into the city. 00:02:18.050 --> 00:02:22.990 Both of those things were often very strongly resisted by local communities, 00:02:22.990 --> 00:02:25.205 as well as by conservation biologists 00:02:25.205 --> 00:02:30.120 who were concerned about the impacts on wild-bird species and other animals. 00:02:30.600 --> 00:02:32.610 Now, there was a lot of other people 00:02:32.610 --> 00:02:34.830 working on technical solutions at the time. 00:02:34.830 --> 00:02:38.617 One of the big challenges, of course, is the intermittency of solar and wind. 00:02:38.617 --> 00:02:42.080 They only generate electricity about 10 to 30 percent of the time 00:02:42.080 --> 00:02:43.560 during most of year. 00:02:43.560 --> 00:02:45.775 But some of the solutions being proposed 00:02:45.775 --> 00:02:50.289 were to convert hydroelectric dams into gigantic batteries. 00:02:50.289 --> 00:02:53.504 The idea was that when the sun was shining and the wind was blowing, 00:02:53.504 --> 00:02:56.480 you would pump the water uphill, store it for later, 00:02:56.480 --> 00:02:59.700 and then when you needed electricity, run it over the turbines. 00:03:00.520 --> 00:03:02.649 In terms of wildlife, some of these problems 00:03:02.649 --> 00:03:04.859 just didn't seem like a significant concern. 00:03:04.859 --> 00:03:08.980 So when I learned that house cats kill billions of birds every year, 00:03:09.221 --> 00:03:12.155 it put into perspective the hundreds of thousands of birds 00:03:12.155 --> 00:03:14.230 that are killed by wind turbines. 00:03:14.630 --> 00:03:16.500 It basically seemed to me at the time 00:03:16.500 --> 00:03:20.450 that most, if not all, of the problems of scaling up solar and wind 00:03:20.450 --> 00:03:23.450 could be solved through more technological innovation. 00:03:24.190 --> 00:03:25.979 But as the years went by, 00:03:25.979 --> 00:03:29.604 these problems persisted and, in many cases, grew worse. 00:03:29.830 --> 00:03:33.070 So California is a state that's really committed to renewable energy, 00:03:33.330 --> 00:03:36.594 but we still haven't converted many of our hydroelectric dams 00:03:36.594 --> 00:03:37.949 into big batteries. 00:03:38.189 --> 00:03:40.630 Some of the problems are just geographic; 00:03:40.630 --> 00:03:43.691 it's just you have to have a very particular kind of formation 00:03:43.691 --> 00:03:44.939 to be able to do that, 00:03:44.939 --> 00:03:46.280 and even in those cases, 00:03:46.280 --> 00:03:49.019 it's quite expensive to make those conversions. 00:03:49.019 --> 00:03:52.141 Other challenges are just that there's other uses for water, 00:03:52.141 --> 00:03:53.579 like irrigation, NOTE Paragraph 00:03:53.579 --> 00:03:56.083 and maybe the most significant problem 00:03:56.083 --> 00:04:00.643 is just that in California the water in our rivers and reservoirs 00:04:00.643 --> 00:04:03.447 is growing increasingly scarce and unreliable 00:04:03.447 --> 00:04:05.170 due to climate change. 00:04:05.170 --> 00:04:09.610 In terms of this issue of reliability, as a consequence of it, 00:04:09.610 --> 00:04:12.080 we've actually had to stop the electricity 00:04:12.080 --> 00:04:14.130 coming from the solar farms into the cities 00:04:14.130 --> 00:04:16.470 because there's just been too much of it at times. 00:04:16.470 --> 00:04:20.289 Or we've been starting to pay our neighboring states, like Arizona, 00:04:20.328 --> 00:04:22.039 to take that solar electricity. 00:04:22.039 --> 00:04:25.529 The alternative is to suffer from blowouts of the grid. 00:04:25.649 --> 00:04:30.451 And it turns out that when it comes to birds and cats - 00:04:31.380 --> 00:04:35.180 cats don't kill eagles; eagles kill cats. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:35.180 --> 00:04:40.750 What cats kill are the small common sparrows and jays and robins, 00:04:40.750 --> 00:04:44.700 birds that are not endangered and not at risk of going extinct. 00:04:45.040 --> 00:04:48.112 What do kill eagles and other big birds, 00:04:48.112 --> 00:04:51.185 like this kite as well as owls and condors 00:04:51.185 --> 00:04:53.890 and other threatened and endangered species, 00:04:53.890 --> 00:04:54.990 are wind turbines; 00:04:54.990 --> 00:04:57.485 in fact, they're one of the most significant threats 00:04:57.485 --> 00:04:59.694 to those big bird species that we have. 00:04:59.694 --> 00:05:03.740 We just haven't been introducing the airspace with many other objects 00:05:03.740 --> 00:05:07.159 like we have wind turbines over the last several years. 00:05:07.640 --> 00:05:09.430 And in terms of solar, NOTE Paragraph 00:05:09.430 --> 00:05:13.550 you know, building a solar farm is a lot like building any other kind of farm: 00:05:13.550 --> 00:05:16.220 you have to clear the whole area of wildlife. 00:05:16.560 --> 00:05:21.927 So this is a picture of one third of one of the biggest solar farms in California, 00:05:21.927 --> 00:05:23.195 called Ivanpah. 00:05:23.195 --> 00:05:24.370 In order to build this, 00:05:24.370 --> 00:05:27.351 they had to clear the whole area of desert tortoises, 00:05:27.351 --> 00:05:31.660 literally pulling desert tortoises and their babies out of burrows, 00:05:31.670 --> 00:05:35.470 putting them on the back of pickup trucks, and transporting them to captivity, 00:05:35.470 --> 00:05:37.490 where many of them ended up dying. 00:05:37.490 --> 00:05:42.083 And the current estimates are that about 6,000 birds are killed every year, 00:05:42.083 --> 00:05:44.465 actually catching on fire above the solar farm 00:05:44.465 --> 00:05:46.150 and plunging to their deaths. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:46.480 --> 00:05:48.620 Over time, it gradually struck me 00:05:48.620 --> 00:05:52.150 that there was really no amount of technological innovation 00:05:52.150 --> 00:05:55.420 that was going to make the sun shine more regularly 00:05:55.420 --> 00:05:57.860 or wind blow more reliably; 00:05:57.860 --> 00:06:00.760 in fact, you could make solar panels cheaper, 00:06:00.760 --> 00:06:02.680 and you could make wind turbines bigger, 00:06:02.680 --> 00:06:06.080 but sunlight and wind are just really dilute fuels, 00:06:06.080 --> 00:06:09.080 and in order to produce significant amounts of electricity, 00:06:09.434 --> 00:06:12.820 you just have to cover a very large land mass with them. 00:06:13.112 --> 00:06:18.340 In other words, all of the major problems with renewables aren't technical, 00:06:18.340 --> 00:06:19.560 they're natural. 00:06:19.560 --> 00:06:22.350 Well, dealing with all of this unreliability 00:06:22.350 --> 00:06:23.990 and the big environmental impacts 00:06:23.990 --> 00:06:26.560 obviously comes at a pretty high economic cost. 00:06:26.780 --> 00:06:27.970 We've been hearing a lot 00:06:27.970 --> 00:06:31.970 about how solar panels and wind turbines have come down in cost in recent years, 00:06:31.970 --> 00:06:35.130 but that cost has been significantly outweighed 00:06:35.130 --> 00:06:39.807 by just the challenges of integrating all of that unreliable power onto the grid. 00:06:39.820 --> 00:06:42.620 Just take, for instance, what's happened in California. 00:06:42.700 --> 00:06:45.581 At the period in which solar panels have come down in price 00:06:45.581 --> 00:06:47.760 very significantly, same with wind, 00:06:47.760 --> 00:06:49.720 we've seen our electricity prices go up 00:06:49.720 --> 00:06:52.649 five times more than the rest of the country. 00:06:52.649 --> 00:06:54.169 And it's not unique to us. 00:06:54.169 --> 00:06:56.640 You can see the same phenomenon happened in Germany, 00:06:56.640 --> 00:06:58.370 which is really the world's leader 00:06:58.370 --> 00:07:00.730 in solar, wind and other renewable technologies. 00:07:01.030 --> 00:07:05.562 Their prices increased 50 percent during their big renewable-energy push. 00:07:05.570 --> 00:07:08.740 Now you might think, well, dealing with climate change 00:07:08.740 --> 00:07:11.470 is just going to require that we all pay more for energy. 00:07:11.650 --> 00:07:13.350 That's what I used to think. 00:07:13.400 --> 00:07:15.265 But consider the case of France. 00:07:15.630 --> 00:07:18.720 France actually gets twice as much of its electricity 00:07:18.720 --> 00:07:22.214 from clean zero-emission sources than does Germany, 00:07:22.439 --> 00:07:27.030 and yet France pays almost half as much for its electricity. 00:07:27.360 --> 00:07:28.820 How can that be? 00:07:28.820 --> 00:07:30.960 You might have already anticipated the answer. 00:07:30.960 --> 00:07:36.072 France gets most of its electricity from nuclear power, about 75% in total. 00:07:36.072 --> 00:07:38.760 And nuclear just ends up being a lot more reliable, 00:07:38.760 --> 00:07:41.810 generating power 24 hours a day, seven days a week, 00:07:41.810 --> 00:07:44.050 for about 90% of the year. 00:07:44.360 --> 00:07:47.320 We see this phenomenon show up at a global level. 00:07:47.330 --> 00:07:49.710 So, for example, there's been a natural experiment 00:07:49.710 --> 00:07:51.170 over the last 40 years, 00:07:51.170 --> 00:07:52.270 even more than that, 00:07:52.270 --> 00:07:55.719 in terms of the deployment of nuclear and the deployment of solar. 00:07:56.109 --> 00:07:59.370 You can see that at a little bit higher cost, 00:07:59.370 --> 00:08:02.659 we got about half as much electricity from solar and wind 00:08:02.659 --> 00:08:04.416 than we did from nuclear. 00:08:05.209 --> 00:08:08.390 Well, what does all this mean for going forward? 00:08:08.500 --> 00:08:11.890 I think one of the most significant findings to date is this one. 00:08:12.000 --> 00:08:17.037 Had Germany spent 580 billion dollars on nuclear instead of renewables, 00:08:17.110 --> 00:08:20.579 it would already be getting a hundred percent of its electricity 00:08:20.579 --> 00:08:24.729 from clean energy sources, and all of its transportation energy. 00:08:25.629 --> 00:08:28.869 Now I think you might be wondering, and it's quite reasonable to ask: 00:08:28.869 --> 00:08:32.199 Is nuclear power safe? And what do you do with the waste? 00:08:32.199 --> 00:08:34.259 Well, those are very reasonable questions. 00:08:34.259 --> 00:08:36.910 Turns out that there's been scientific studies on this 00:08:36.910 --> 00:08:38.270 going over 40 years. 00:08:38.350 --> 00:08:40.060 This is just the most recent study, 00:08:40.060 --> 00:08:43.240 that was done by the prestigious British medical journal Lancet, 00:08:43.240 --> 00:08:45.793 finds that nuclear power is the safest. 00:08:45.890 --> 00:08:47.390 It's easy to understand why. 00:08:47.800 --> 00:08:49.450 According to the WHO, 00:08:49.450 --> 00:08:52.850 about 7 million people die annually from air pollution. 00:08:52.920 --> 00:08:54.650 And nuclear plants don't emit that. 00:08:54.760 --> 00:08:57.710 As a result, the climate scientist James Hansen looked at it. 00:08:57.710 --> 00:09:00.410 He calculated that nuclear power has already saved 00:09:00.410 --> 00:09:02.460 almost two million lives to date. 00:09:03.030 --> 00:09:06.510 It turns out that even wind energy is more deadly than nuclear. 00:09:07.060 --> 00:09:10.350 This is a photograph taken of two maintenance workers 00:09:10.350 --> 00:09:11.500 in the Netherlands, 00:09:11.500 --> 00:09:15.160 shortly before one of them fell to his death to avoid the fire, 00:09:15.160 --> 00:09:17.540 and the other one was engulfed in flames. 00:09:18.041 --> 00:09:20.120 Now, what about environmental impact? 00:09:20.120 --> 00:09:22.128 I think a really easy way to think about it 00:09:22.128 --> 00:09:25.510 is that uranium fuel, which is what we used to power nuclear plants, 00:09:25.510 --> 00:09:27.300 is just really energy dense. 00:09:27.630 --> 00:09:31.976 About the same amount of uranium as this Rubik's Cube 00:09:32.160 --> 00:09:35.669 can power all of the energy you need in your entire life. 00:09:36.660 --> 00:09:37.950 As a consequence, 00:09:37.950 --> 00:09:39.750 you just don't need that much land 00:09:39.750 --> 00:09:42.480 in order to produce a significant amount of electricity. 00:09:42.660 --> 00:09:46.150 Here you can compare the solar farm I just described, Ivanpah, 00:09:46.150 --> 00:09:48.220 to California's last nuclear plant, 00:09:48.220 --> 00:09:49.430 Diablo Canyon. 00:09:49.430 --> 00:09:53.840 It takes 450 times more land to generate the same amount of electricity 00:09:53.840 --> 00:09:55.505 as it does from nuclear. 00:09:55.505 --> 00:09:59.110 You would need 17 more solar farms like Ivanpah 00:09:59.110 --> 00:10:02.120 in order to generate the same output as Diablo Canyon, 00:10:02.140 --> 00:10:04.901 and of course, it would then be unreliable. 00:10:05.560 --> 00:10:09.090 Well, what about the mining and the waste and the material throughput. 00:10:09.550 --> 00:10:11.651 This has been studied pretty closely as well, 00:10:11.651 --> 00:10:12.781 and it just turns out 00:10:12.781 --> 00:10:17.530 that solar panels require 17 times more materials than nuclear plants do, 00:10:17.550 --> 00:10:20.694 in the form of cement, glass, concrete, steel - 00:10:20.760 --> 00:10:23.972 and that includes all the fuel used for those nuclear plants. 00:10:24.160 --> 00:10:28.250 The consequence is that what comes out at the end, since its material throughput, 00:10:28.250 --> 00:10:31.247 is just not a lot of waste from nuclear. 00:10:31.260 --> 00:10:35.197 All of the waste from the Swiss nuclear program fits into this room. 00:10:35.320 --> 00:10:38.910 Nuclear waste is actually the only waste from electricity production 00:10:38.920 --> 00:10:41.560 that's safely contained and internalized. 00:10:41.560 --> 00:10:43.420 Every other way of making electricity 00:10:43.420 --> 00:10:46.050 emits that waste into the natural environment, 00:10:46.050 --> 00:10:49.267 either as pollution or as material waste. 00:10:49.621 --> 00:10:51.961 We tend to think of solar panels as clean, 00:10:52.039 --> 00:10:54.462 but the truth is that there is no plan 00:10:54.462 --> 00:10:58.330 to deal with solar panels at the end of their 20 or 25-year life. 00:10:58.543 --> 00:11:01.837 A lot of experts are actually very concerned that solar panels 00:11:01.991 --> 00:11:05.521 are just going to be shipped to poor countries in Africa or Asia, 00:11:05.627 --> 00:11:07.976 with the rest of our electronic-waste stream, 00:11:08.086 --> 00:11:09.532 to be disassembled, 00:11:09.660 --> 00:11:14.040 often exposing people to really high level of toxic elements, 00:11:14.040 --> 00:11:16.560 including lead, cadmium and chromium, 00:11:16.560 --> 00:11:21.709 elements that because they're elements, their toxicity never declines over time. 00:11:21.970 --> 00:11:23.810 I think we have an intuitive sense 00:11:23.810 --> 00:11:27.444 that nuclear is a really powerful strong energy source 00:11:27.626 --> 00:11:31.180 and that sunlight is really dilute and diffuse and weak, 00:11:31.297 --> 00:11:34.760 which is why you have to spread solar collectors or wind collectors 00:11:34.760 --> 00:11:37.240 over such a large amount of land. 00:11:37.680 --> 00:11:39.450 Maybe that's why nobody was surprised 00:11:39.460 --> 00:11:43.427 when in the recent science-fiction remake of Blade Runner, 00:11:43.570 --> 00:11:46.600 the film opens with a very dark dystopian scene 00:11:46.600 --> 00:11:51.549 where California's deserts have been entirely paved with solar farms. 00:11:52.420 --> 00:11:55.511 All of which, I think, raises a really uncomfortable question: 00:11:55.880 --> 00:12:00.857 In the effort to try to save the climate, are we destroying the environment? 00:12:01.770 --> 00:12:04.870 The interesting thing is that over the last several hundred years, 00:12:04.870 --> 00:12:07.250 human beings have actually been trying to move away 00:12:07.250 --> 00:12:09.460 from what you would consider matter-dense fuels 00:12:09.460 --> 00:12:11.400 towards energy-dense ones. 00:12:11.510 --> 00:12:16.360 That means, really, from wood and dung towards coal, oil, natural gas, uranium. 00:12:16.589 --> 00:12:19.300 This is a phenomenon that's been going on for a long time. 00:12:19.300 --> 00:12:22.004 Poor countries around the world are in the process still 00:12:22.004 --> 00:12:24.605 of moving away from wood and dung as primary energies. 00:12:24.605 --> 00:12:27.760 And for the most part, this is a positive thing. 00:12:28.310 --> 00:12:31.240 As you stop using wood as your major source of fuel, 00:12:31.240 --> 00:12:34.830 it allows the forests to grow back and the wildlife to return. 00:12:35.106 --> 00:12:36.960 As you stop burning wood in your home, 00:12:36.960 --> 00:12:40.274 you no longer need to breath that toxic smoke. 00:12:40.387 --> 00:12:43.660 And as you go from coal to natural gas and uranium 00:12:43.660 --> 00:12:45.190 as your main sources of energy, 00:12:45.190 --> 00:12:49.789 it holds out the possibility of basically eliminating air pollution altogether. 00:12:50.250 --> 00:12:52.270 There's just this problem with nuclear - 00:12:52.270 --> 00:12:56.360 While it's been pretty popular to move from dirtier to cleaner energy sources, 00:12:56.360 --> 00:12:59.390 from energy-diffuse to energy-dense sources, 00:12:59.390 --> 00:13:03.440 nuclear is just really unpopular for a bunch of historical reasons. 00:13:03.793 --> 00:13:06.300 And as a consequence, in the past, 00:13:06.300 --> 00:13:08.590 I and I think a lot of others have sort of said, 00:13:08.590 --> 00:13:10.720 "In order to deal with climate change, 00:13:10.720 --> 00:13:14.660 we're just going to need all the different kinds of clean energy that we have." 00:13:14.750 --> 00:13:17.630 The problem is that it just turns out not to be true. 00:13:17.770 --> 00:13:20.300 You remember, I discussed France a little bit ago. 00:13:20.440 --> 00:13:22.990 France gets most of its electricity from nuclear. 00:13:23.160 --> 00:13:26.949 If France were to try to significantly scale up solar and wind, 00:13:27.269 --> 00:13:31.662 it would also have to significantly reduce how much electricity it gets from nuclear. 00:13:31.864 --> 00:13:36.920 That's because in order to handle the huge variability of solar and wind on the grid, 00:13:37.132 --> 00:13:39.339 they would need to burn more natural gas. 00:13:39.449 --> 00:13:40.450 Think of it this way, 00:13:40.450 --> 00:13:43.510 it's just really hard to ramp up and down a nuclear plant 00:13:43.679 --> 00:13:46.770 whereas I think we're all pretty familiar with turning natural gas 00:13:46.770 --> 00:13:48.219 up and down on our stove. 00:13:48.219 --> 00:13:50.929 A similar process works in managing the grid. 00:13:51.100 --> 00:13:52.870 Of course, it goes without saying 00:13:52.870 --> 00:13:55.970 that oil and gas companies understand this pretty well, 00:13:55.970 --> 00:13:59.900 which is why we've seen them invest millions of dollars in recent years 00:13:59.900 --> 00:14:02.057 in promoting solar and wind. 00:14:02.960 --> 00:14:06.380 This just raises, I think, another challenging question, 00:14:06.380 --> 00:14:09.790 which is that in places that are using a lot of nuclear - 00:14:09.790 --> 00:14:13.140 half of their grids that are mostly nuclear and hydro - 00:14:13.610 --> 00:14:16.409 going towards solar and wind and other renewables 00:14:16.409 --> 00:14:19.200 would actually increase carbon emissions. 00:14:19.328 --> 00:14:21.930 I think a better alternative is just to tell the truth. 00:14:21.930 --> 00:14:24.310 That's what a number of scientists have been doing. 00:14:24.310 --> 00:14:25.470 I mentioned earlier 00:14:25.470 --> 00:14:29.180 that hundreds of thousands of birds are killed every year by wind turbines; 00:14:29.200 --> 00:14:32.270 what I didn't mention is that a million bats, at a minimum, 00:14:32.270 --> 00:14:34.197 are killed every year by wind. 00:14:34.220 --> 00:14:35.471 The consequence has been 00:14:35.471 --> 00:14:38.120 that bat scientists have been speaking out about this. 00:14:38.120 --> 00:14:40.939 This particular bat species, the hoary bat, 00:14:40.939 --> 00:14:43.019 which is a migratory bat species, 00:14:43.019 --> 00:14:45.679 is literally at risk of going extinct right now 00:14:45.679 --> 00:14:48.170 because of the significant expansion of wind. 00:14:48.520 --> 00:14:51.360 It's not just wind, it's also on solar. 00:14:51.360 --> 00:14:55.229 The scientists who were involved in creating the Ivanpah solar farm, 00:14:55.229 --> 00:14:58.802 who were involved in clearing that land, have been speaking out. 00:14:58.979 --> 00:15:00.280 One of them wrote, 00:15:00.280 --> 00:15:04.269 "Everybody knows that translocation of desert tortoises doesn't work. 00:15:04.269 --> 00:15:06.409 When you're walking in front of a bulldozer, 00:15:06.409 --> 00:15:09.350 crying and moving animals and cacti out of the way, 00:15:09.350 --> 00:15:12.049 it's hard to think that the project is a good idea." 00:15:12.289 --> 00:15:16.840 And now we can see these phenomena at work at an international level. 00:15:16.840 --> 00:15:18.580 In my home state of California, 00:15:18.580 --> 00:15:21.779 we've been stuffing a lot of natural gas into the side of a mountain 00:15:21.779 --> 00:15:24.410 in order to handle all that intermittent solar and wind. 00:15:24.470 --> 00:15:25.570 It's sprung a leak. 00:15:25.570 --> 00:15:28.300 It was equivalent to putting 500,000 cars on the road. 00:15:28.300 --> 00:15:29.620 And currently in Germany, 00:15:29.620 --> 00:15:34.050 there's protesters trying to block a new coal mining project 00:15:34.050 --> 00:15:38.020 that would involve destroying the ancient Hambacher Forest 00:15:38.020 --> 00:15:40.120 in order to get to the coal underneath, 00:15:40.120 --> 00:15:44.424 all in an effort to phase out nuclear and expand solar and wind. 00:15:44.790 --> 00:15:47.145 The good news is that I think 00:15:47.145 --> 00:15:50.810 that people still care about nature enough for these facts to matter. 00:15:50.810 --> 00:15:52.770 We saw last year in South Korea 00:15:52.770 --> 00:15:55.570 a citizen's jury deliberated for several months 00:15:55.570 --> 00:15:57.290 weighing these different issues. 00:15:57.470 --> 00:16:00.420 They had to decide whether they were going to phase out nuclear 00:16:00.430 --> 00:16:02.521 or keep it and expand it. 00:16:02.630 --> 00:16:06.080 They started out 40% in favor of expanding nuclear, 00:16:06.080 --> 00:16:08.620 but after several months and considering these issues, 00:16:08.620 --> 00:16:11.890 they ended up voting 60% to expand nuclear. 00:16:12.060 --> 00:16:14.770 A similar phenomenon just happened last week in Arizona. 00:16:14.890 --> 00:16:16.700 The voters had a ballot initiative 00:16:16.700 --> 00:16:19.640 to vote on whether or not to continue with nuclear 00:16:19.640 --> 00:16:23.500 or to phase it out and try to replace it with natural gas and solar. 00:16:23.620 --> 00:16:26.160 They ended up rejecting at 70 to 30. 00:16:26.270 --> 00:16:27.860 And even here in Europe, 00:16:27.860 --> 00:16:31.900 we saw the Netherlands is one of the first countries in recent memory 00:16:31.900 --> 00:16:34.560 to actually announce, as they did last week, 00:16:34.560 --> 00:16:38.646 that they're going to start to increase their reliance on nuclear power 00:16:38.646 --> 00:16:40.520 in recognition that there's just no way 00:16:40.520 --> 00:16:44.340 they could generate significant amounts of energy enough from solar and wind 00:16:44.340 --> 00:16:46.060 to meet their climate targets. 00:16:46.560 --> 00:16:47.760 I think it's natural 00:16:47.760 --> 00:16:50.870 that those of us that became very concerned about climate change, 00:16:50.890 --> 00:16:52.820 such a big environmental issue, 00:16:52.850 --> 00:16:56.160 would gravitate towards really romantic solutions 00:16:56.240 --> 00:16:59.830 like harmonizing human civilization with the natural world 00:16:59.830 --> 00:17:01.550 using renewable energies. 00:17:01.550 --> 00:17:05.416 But I think it's also understandable that as the facts have come in, 00:17:05.416 --> 00:17:09.520 many of us have started to question our prior beliefs and change our minds. 00:17:09.975 --> 00:17:12.053 For me the question now is, 00:17:12.551 --> 00:17:16.449 Now that we know that renewables can't save the planet, 00:17:16.459 --> 00:17:18.943 are we going to keep letting them destroy it? 00:17:19.272 --> 00:17:20.640 Thank you very much. 00:17:20.776 --> 00:17:22.496 (Applause)