9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Thank you very much 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 When I was a boy, My parents sometimes 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 would take me camping in California. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 We would camp in the beaches, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 in the forests, in the deserts. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 some people think that deserts are 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 empty of life. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But my parents taught me to see 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the wild life all around us, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 The hawks, the eagles, the tortoises. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 One time when we were staying up at camp, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 We found a baby scorpion with its sting around, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And I remember thinking how cool it was 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that something could be both so cute 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and also so dangerous. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 After college, I moved to California, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And I started working on a number of 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 environmental campaigns. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 I got involved in hoping to save 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the state's last ancient redwood forest. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And blocking a proposed radioactive waste 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 repository set for the desert. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And surely after I turned 30, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 I decided that I wanted to dedicate 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 a significant amount of life to solving 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 climate change. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 I was worried that global warming would 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 end up destroying many of the natural 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 environments that people had worked 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 so hard to protect. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 I thought the technical solution were 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 pretty straight forward, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 solar panels on every roof, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 electric cars in the drive way, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that the main obstacles were political. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And so I hoped to organize a coalition 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 of the countries biggest labor unions 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and biggest environmental groups. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Our proposal was for a 300 billion dollar 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 in renewables. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And the idea was not only we would prevent 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 climate change but, we would also create 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 millions of new jobs in a very fast 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 growing high tech sector. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Our efforts really paid off in 2007, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 when then presidential candidate 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Barack Obama embraced our vision. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And between 2009 and 2015, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the US invested a 150 billion dollars 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 in renewables and other kinds of clean tac. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But right away, we started to encounter 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 some problems. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 So first of all, the electricity from 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 solar roof tops in some costs about twice 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 as much as the electricity from solar farms. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And both solar farms and wind farms 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 require a cover of pretty significant 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 amount of land with 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 solar panels and wind turbines, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And also building very big transmission lines 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 to bring all that electricity from the 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 country side into the city. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Both of those things were often very 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 strongly resisted by local communities, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 as well as by conservation biologists who 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 were concerned about the impacts on 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 wild birds species and other animals. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Now, there was a lot of other people 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 working on technical solutions at the time 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 One of the big challenges of course is 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 just the intermediacy of solar and wind. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 They only generate electricity about 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 10 - 30 % of the time during most of the year 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But, Some of the solutions that were 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 being proposed were to convert hydroelectric 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 dams into gigantic batteries. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 The idea was that when the sun was shining 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and the wind was blowing, you would pump 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the water uphill, stored for later and 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 then when you needed electricity you run 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 it over the turbines. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In terms of wild life, some of these 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 problems just didn't seem like 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 a significant concern. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 So, when I learned that house cats 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 killed billions of birds every year. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 it put into perspective that hundreds of 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 thousands of birds that are rather killed 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 by wind turbines. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Basically seemed to me at the time that 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 most if not all of the problems of 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 scaling up solar and wind could be solved 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 through more technological innovation. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But as the years went by, these problems 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 persisted, and in many cases grew worse. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 So, California is a state that is really 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 committed to renewable energy. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But we still haven't converted many of our 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 hydroelectric dams into big batteries. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Some of the problems are just geographic, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 It is just, you have to have a very 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 particular kind of formation to build 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and do that. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And even in those cases, it's quite 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 expensive to make those conversions. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Other challenges are just that, there is 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 other uses for water like irrigation, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And maybe this is the most significant 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 problem is just that, In California, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 The water in our rivers and reservoirs 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 is growing increasingly scarce and 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 unreliable due to climate change. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In term of the situation of reliability, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 As a consequence of it, we have actually 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 had to stop the electricity coming from 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the solar farms into the cities because 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 there are just have been too much of it 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 at times, or, We have been starting to 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 pay out neighboring states as Arizona to 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 take that solar electricity, The 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 alternative is to suffer from blowouts of 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the grid. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And in turns out that, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 when it comes to birds and cats, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Cats don't kill eagles, Eagles kill cats. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 What cats kill are the small common 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 sparrows and jays and robins, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Birds that are not endangered and not at 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 risk of going to extinct. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 What do kill eagles and another big birds 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 like the skite, as well as owls, and condors. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And other threatened endangered species 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 are wind turbines. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In fact, they are one of the most 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 significant threats to those big birds 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 species that we have. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 We just haven't been introducing the air 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 space with many other objects like we have 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 wind turbines over the last several years. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And in terms of solar, you know, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 building a solar farm is not like building 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 any other kind of farm, you have to clear 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the whole area of wild life. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 so, this is a picture of one third of 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 one of the biggest solar farms in 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 California called ivanpah. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In order to build this, they had to clear 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 the whole area of desert tortoises. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 literally, pulling desert tortoises and 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 their babies out of borrows, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 putting them on the back of pickup trucks 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and transporting them to captivity where 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 many of them ended up dying. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 And currently, the current estimates are 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 that about 6 thousand birds are 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 killed every year. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Actually, catching on fire above the 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 solar farms and bulging to their death. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Over time, it gradually struck me that, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 there was really no amount of technological 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 innovation that was gonna make the sun 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 shine more regularly or wind blow more 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 reliably. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In fact, you could make solar panel 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 cheaper, you can make wind turbines bigger 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But, sunlight and wind are just really 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 dilute fuels, and in order to produce 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 significant amount of electricity, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 you just have to cover a very large land 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 mass with them. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 In other words, all of the major problems 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 with renewables aren't technical, 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 They are natural. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 Well, dealing with all of this unreliability 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 and the big environmental impacts obviously 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 comes that a pretty high economic cost. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 You know, we have been hearing a lot 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 about how solar panels and wind turbines 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 have come down in cost in recent years. 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 But that cost has been significantly 9:59:59.000,9:59:59.000 out wade by just the challenges of