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- [Narrator] What's the difference
between econometrics
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and data science?
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- [Josh] I would say that
the principal difference
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is the approach
to the problem of prediction.
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Data scientists are often concerned
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with curve-fitting type
approaches to prediction.
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So any model that fits
the data well will do.
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If it's past experience, we might
be interested in using that
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to extrapolate to the future.
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A lot of the data science
agenda is tied
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to somebody's marketing problems.
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You're trying to figure out
who will buy something,
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who will take some action.
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Econometrics, in my view,
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deals with kind of
a harder class of problems.
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Econometricians are more concerned
with causal relationships.
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In other words,
if we manipulate something,
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say, health insurance
or monetary policy,
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what's the world going to look like
in response to that change?
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We don't take it for granted that
the past is a good guide to that
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because we understand that variation
and variable is associated
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with lots of potential
confounding variables --
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we would say other things
that are moving
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that also perhaps affect outcomes.
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The simple observed relationship
there is often misleading
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because there are factors
that are not well controlled,
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and we have in mind
that there is a research design
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that involves more
than curve fitting.
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In fact, we're fairly indifferent
to curve fitting in economics.
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I think we want to know,
for example, whether it matters
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if you go to an expensive
private college --
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does that change your life course
in the form of higher earnings?
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That's not really
a curve-fitting question,
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that's a causal question.
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♪ [music] ♪
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- [Narrator] Ready
to master econometrics?
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Click here to embark
on an educational journey
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with Josh Angrist,
aka Master Joshway.
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Or, if you'd like to watch more
from this interview series,
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click here.
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