-
Let's begin our study of optimizing
behavior, with a real life decision
-
problem, which was originally ambitioned,
by the behavioral economist, Richard
-
Taylor, from the University of Chicago.
This is an example or a situation, that
-
you may very well encounter in your daily
life. So, consider the first version of
-
the problem. Imagine that you are about to
purchase a jacket for $125 and a
-
calculator for twenty, for $fifteen.
As you're about to pay for these things,
-
the salesman informs you that the
calculator, that you are going to buy, is
-
on sale at $ten, but at the other branch
of the store, that is located across town,
-
twenty minutes away by car. Question,
would you make a trip to the other store
-
to achieve those savings? Now, consider a
second portion of the problem, that is
-
closely related, but different, so pay
attention. In this scenario you are able
-
to purchase the same jacket for $125.00
and the same calculator for $15.00. But in
-
this case the salesman, salesperson
informs you that it is the jacket that you
-
wish to buy that is on sale for $120.00 at
the other branch of the store which is
-
again located twenty minutes away by car.
Question would you make the trip in this
-
case? Now, if you are like a typical
subject in Richard Taylor's experiments,
-
you probably made the following choices.
When the discount was in the $fifteen
-
calculator, you chose to drive across
town. However, when the $five discount was
-
in the $125 jacket, you chose not to drive
across town. When subjects are queried
-
about the reasons for their behavior, they
point out that, in the first case, driving
-
across town led to a large discount of
33%. Whereas in the second case, driving
-
across town only led to a discount of
four%..
-
The problem with this experimental
results, and perhaps with own behavior, is
-
that it's not compatible with basic, with
basic economic optimality. Let's think
-
why. Let the variable C, denote the total
cost in dollars of traveling across town,
-
this may include for example the cost of
depreciation in your car. The cost of gas.
-
On any cost of time, or dislike of
driving. Dislike of driving or traffic.
-
Think of it as the option of the total
cost. Then optimal behavior requires that
-
you travel across town, if and only if,
the savings that you're going to achieve
-
in dollars, exceed the cost of traveling
across town. Whether, and this is the key
-
idea, the savings come from a. $125
jacket, or a $ten, a $fifteen calculator,
-
sorry, doesn't really matter. The key is
whether the total amount of dollars that
-
you are saving is enough to justify
incurring the cost, the total cost of
-
traveling across town. That is how optimal
individuals should behave in this program.
-
Unfortunately, its not how some people or
many people sometimes behave. Please don't
-
feel bad if you chose to travel across
town for the $five discount in the
-
calculator but not for the $five discount
on the jacket. That behavior is extremely
-
common especially upon first encountering
the problem. The good new is that now that
-
you understand the principles of
optimizing behavior on work, you're
-
unlikely to make the same mistake again. I
chose this example for two reasons. First,
-
it helps me provide very concrete
motivation for how understanding the
-
principles of optimization and optimizing
behavior may help you in your daily life.
-
But more importantly, it also motivates
the rest of the unit, by showing you that
-
the principles of optimization behavior
are not always of use and that it requires
-
some thinking to understand what optimal
behavior looks like.