1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:02,763 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 00:00:09,046 --> 00:00:11,000 - [Prof. Alex Tabarrok] In previous videos, 3 00:00:11,000 --> 00:00:13,740 we've emphasized that a price is a signal 4 00:00:13,740 --> 00:00:16,010 wrapped up in an incentive, 5 00:00:16,010 --> 00:00:18,340 and that prices coming out of free markets 6 00:00:18,340 --> 00:00:20,428 coordinate individual actions 7 00:00:20,428 --> 00:00:22,958 in just such a way that the outcome 8 00:00:22,958 --> 00:00:27,028 looks as if it were created by a benevolent invisible hand. 9 00:00:27,738 --> 00:00:30,980 We've shown how price controls can impede this process. 10 00:00:31,260 --> 00:00:32,780 And what we want to show now 11 00:00:32,780 --> 00:00:34,840 is that even with the free market, 12 00:00:34,840 --> 00:00:37,580 sometimes the price isn't right. 13 00:00:37,790 --> 00:00:40,560 In particular, when we have externalities -- 14 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:43,160 external costs, and external benefits, 15 00:00:43,160 --> 00:00:45,470 which I'll define more in just a few minutes -- 16 00:00:45,470 --> 00:00:47,800 then the price isn't right. 17 00:00:48,220 --> 00:00:49,890 So what we want to do in this video 18 00:00:49,890 --> 00:00:52,890 is show both the causes and the consequences 19 00:00:52,890 --> 00:00:55,958 of external costs and external benefits. 20 00:00:56,215 --> 00:00:57,375 Let's get going. 21 00:01:00,740 --> 00:01:03,570 Let's begin with the rise of the super bugs. 22 00:01:03,570 --> 00:01:07,720 These are bacteria which are now resistant to our antibiotics. 23 00:01:08,330 --> 00:01:10,870 Before the age of the antibiotic, 24 00:01:10,870 --> 00:01:14,590 even a simple skin cut or a bruise or scrape 25 00:01:14,590 --> 00:01:17,350 could kill people due to the infection. 26 00:01:17,350 --> 00:01:19,310 And people who were more seriously injured, 27 00:01:19,310 --> 00:01:20,930 for example in battle, 28 00:01:20,930 --> 00:01:22,550 most of them died 29 00:01:22,550 --> 00:01:24,300 not because of their battle wounds, 30 00:01:24,300 --> 00:01:28,260 but because of infection which took place after the wound, 31 00:01:28,260 --> 00:01:29,650 because of the wound. 32 00:01:29,890 --> 00:01:31,610 In the 20th century, 33 00:01:31,610 --> 00:01:35,930 the miracle of antibiotics meant that far, far fewer people 34 00:01:35,930 --> 00:01:37,770 died from these infections. 35 00:01:37,770 --> 00:01:41,320 But that miracle is now coming to an end, 36 00:01:41,320 --> 00:01:42,830 as our antibiotics 37 00:01:42,830 --> 00:01:46,070 are no longer as effective as they once were. 38 00:01:46,070 --> 00:01:47,640 Why is this happening? 39 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:49,930 Well, part of the problem 40 00:01:49,930 --> 00:01:53,920 is that no antibiotic is always 100% effective. 41 00:01:53,920 --> 00:01:56,960 And bacteria, like people, are diverse. 42 00:01:56,960 --> 00:01:59,840 They have different strengths and different weaknesses. 43 00:02:00,610 --> 00:02:03,830 The bacteria which are not killed by an antibiotic -- 44 00:02:03,830 --> 00:02:06,370 which happen to have certain characteristics 45 00:02:06,370 --> 00:02:09,560 which make them strong against that antibiotic -- 46 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,160 those bacteria propagate and survive 47 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,380 and become more dominant. 48 00:02:14,380 --> 00:02:18,790 So, the evolutionary process has led to resistance. 49 00:02:19,650 --> 00:02:23,300 We, however, are not entirely innocent in this process. 50 00:02:23,300 --> 00:02:28,690 Resistance has been helped by the overuse of antibiotics. 51 00:02:29,430 --> 00:02:32,220 So why are antibiotics overused? 52 00:02:32,220 --> 00:02:33,620 The fundamental reason 53 00:02:33,620 --> 00:02:35,880 is that users get all the benefits 54 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,820 but do not bear all of the costs of antibiotic use. 55 00:02:39,820 --> 00:02:41,760 Each use of an antibiotic 56 00:02:41,760 --> 00:02:44,950 creates a small increase in bacterial resistance, 57 00:02:44,950 --> 00:02:47,120 at least in a probabilistic sense. 58 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,620 But bacteria don't stay in one place or one body. 59 00:02:50,620 --> 00:02:52,620 They spread throughout the environment 60 00:02:52,620 --> 00:02:54,470 and indeed throughout that world. 61 00:02:54,470 --> 00:02:58,670 So an increase, that cost, that increase in bacterial resistance 62 00:02:58,670 --> 00:03:01,270 is a cost borne by everyone, 63 00:03:01,270 --> 00:03:04,270 not just the user of the antibiotic. 64 00:03:04,640 --> 00:03:06,910 We can think of using an antibiotic 65 00:03:06,910 --> 00:03:09,100 as creating a little bit of pollution, 66 00:03:09,100 --> 00:03:11,190 of polluting the environment 67 00:03:11,190 --> 00:03:14,480 with more resistant and stronger bacteria. 68 00:03:14,480 --> 00:03:16,520 This is true when somebody, for example, 69 00:03:16,520 --> 00:03:19,250 uses an antibiotic when they have a virus 70 00:03:19,250 --> 00:03:21,210 which the antibiotic doesn't help with, 71 00:03:21,210 --> 00:03:23,730 rather than when they have bacteria. 72 00:03:23,730 --> 00:03:25,110 That's a cost. 73 00:03:25,110 --> 00:03:27,840 It's a cost because that use of the antibiotic 74 00:03:27,840 --> 00:03:30,500 then generates more resistance, 75 00:03:30,500 --> 00:03:33,240 and that resistance spreads around the world. 76 00:03:33,240 --> 00:03:35,610 Farmers who use antibiotics, 77 00:03:35,610 --> 00:03:38,490 not to combat disease in their livestock, 78 00:03:38,490 --> 00:03:41,070 but to help the livestock grow faster, 79 00:03:41,070 --> 00:03:44,590 also create more bacterial resistance. 80 00:03:45,020 --> 00:03:48,660 But that resistance is something they don't include 81 00:03:48,660 --> 00:03:50,710 in their calculus of costs. 82 00:03:50,710 --> 00:03:52,000 They don't pay attention 83 00:03:52,000 --> 00:03:54,780 to those costs which are borne by other people. 84 00:03:55,710 --> 00:03:57,360 When antibiotic users 85 00:03:57,360 --> 00:04:01,820 ignore the external costs of their choices, 86 00:04:01,820 --> 00:04:03,710 we get overuse. 87 00:04:03,710 --> 00:04:07,000 Since some costs are ignored by the decision makers, 88 00:04:07,000 --> 00:04:10,250 we get overuse of antibiotics. 89 00:04:10,480 --> 00:04:12,390 Okay, well, with that as an introduction, 90 00:04:12,390 --> 00:04:14,110 let's define some terms. 91 00:04:14,110 --> 00:04:15,409 Private cost -- 92 00:04:15,409 --> 00:04:18,779 this is the cost paid by the consumer or the producer. 93 00:04:18,779 --> 00:04:20,779 External cost -- 94 00:04:20,779 --> 00:04:23,800 this is a cost paid by bystanders, 95 00:04:23,800 --> 00:04:27,000 by people other than the consumer or the producer. 96 00:04:27,000 --> 00:04:30,000 It's a cost paid by people other than those 97 00:04:30,000 --> 00:04:31,690 who are buying or selling 98 00:04:31,690 --> 00:04:33,540 in this particular market. 99 00:04:34,070 --> 00:04:36,760 The social cost is the cost to everyone -- 100 00:04:36,760 --> 00:04:39,020 the cost when we take into account 101 00:04:39,020 --> 00:04:42,460 consumers, producers and bystanders. 102 00:04:42,460 --> 00:04:43,530 In other words, 103 00:04:43,530 --> 00:04:47,080 it's the private cost plus the external cost. 104 00:04:47,780 --> 00:04:49,330 Externalities -- 105 00:04:49,330 --> 00:04:52,000 this is simply another word for external costs 106 00:04:52,000 --> 00:04:53,860 or external benefits. 107 00:04:53,860 --> 00:04:57,010 We'll talk more about external benefits in a future talk. 108 00:04:57,010 --> 00:04:59,620 In other words, externalities is just another word 109 00:04:59,620 --> 00:05:04,300 for costs or benefits that fall on bystanders. 110 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:07,110 When there are significant external costs 111 00:05:07,110 --> 00:05:08,760 or external benefits, 112 00:05:08,760 --> 00:05:11,980 a market will not maximize social surplus. 113 00:05:11,980 --> 00:05:13,740 Now, remember we showed earlier 114 00:05:13,740 --> 00:05:16,510 that a market maximizes consumer surplus 115 00:05:16,510 --> 00:05:18,986 plus producer surplus. 116 00:05:18,986 --> 00:05:21,630 That's always true for a free market. 117 00:05:21,630 --> 00:05:23,323 However, what we've just learned 118 00:05:23,323 --> 00:05:27,570 is that an external cost is a cost that falls on bystanders, 119 00:05:27,570 --> 00:05:30,420 not on consumers or producers. 120 00:05:30,420 --> 00:05:33,920 So social surplus, which is consumer surplus 121 00:05:33,920 --> 00:05:37,470 plus producer surplus plus bystander surplus -- 122 00:05:37,470 --> 00:05:39,520 that's ultimately really what we care about. 123 00:05:39,520 --> 00:05:42,140 We care about not just about consumers and producers, 124 00:05:42,140 --> 00:05:45,720 we care about everyone including bystanders. 125 00:05:45,720 --> 00:05:48,700 So we want to maximize social surplus. 126 00:05:48,700 --> 00:05:50,050 However, 127 00:05:50,050 --> 00:05:52,780 when there are significant external costs or benefits, 128 00:05:52,780 --> 00:05:55,870 the market is not going to maximize social surplus. 129 00:05:55,870 --> 00:05:57,890 It's going to maximize consumer surplus 130 00:05:57,890 --> 00:05:59,640 plus producer surplus. 131 00:05:59,640 --> 00:06:01,630 But that's not everything. 132 00:06:01,630 --> 00:06:04,840 When the costs and the benefits to bystanders 133 00:06:04,840 --> 00:06:06,570 are not counted, 134 00:06:06,570 --> 00:06:10,110 then we're not going to maximize social surplus. 135 00:06:10,110 --> 00:06:13,120 In fact, we can say things a little bit more precisely, 136 00:06:13,120 --> 00:06:16,570 and we'll do that next with a supply and demand diagram. 137 00:06:16,570 --> 00:06:18,700 Okay, here's our standard diagram 138 00:06:18,700 --> 00:06:21,460 with the quantity of antibiotics on the horizontal axis 139 00:06:21,460 --> 00:06:23,910 and prices and costs on the vertical axis. 140 00:06:23,910 --> 00:06:26,340 As usual, the equilibrium is found 141 00:06:26,340 --> 00:06:28,090 where demand intersects supply, 142 00:06:28,090 --> 00:06:31,270 or where quantity demanded is equal to quantity supplied. 143 00:06:31,270 --> 00:06:32,930 Now the key point here 144 00:06:32,930 --> 00:06:36,680 is that the supply curve is based on private cost -- 145 00:06:36,680 --> 00:06:40,360 basically the cost of producing the antibiotic. 146 00:06:40,360 --> 00:06:41,850 But there's another cost. 147 00:06:41,850 --> 00:06:46,350 Every time an antibiotic is produced and consumed 148 00:06:46,350 --> 00:06:49,490 there's a cost of bacterial resistance, 149 00:06:49,490 --> 00:06:53,000 a cost borne by all of us, by bystanders. 150 00:06:53,000 --> 00:06:54,830 There's an external cost 151 00:06:54,830 --> 00:06:59,260 and that is not taken into account by the suppliers. 152 00:06:59,260 --> 00:07:02,760 So this external cost doesn't go into the price. 153 00:07:02,760 --> 00:07:05,800 Nevertheless, what we really care about 154 00:07:05,800 --> 00:07:08,910 is the social cost of antibiotic use, 155 00:07:08,910 --> 00:07:11,860 not just the cost of producing the antibiotic, 156 00:07:11,860 --> 00:07:14,070 but also the cost of actually using it, 157 00:07:14,070 --> 00:07:16,290 including the external cost. 158 00:07:16,290 --> 00:07:19,760 So, the market equilibrium, the market quantity, 159 00:07:19,760 --> 00:07:23,430 is found where the market demand and supply curves intersect. 160 00:07:23,430 --> 00:07:26,400 But the true efficient equilibrium, 161 00:07:26,400 --> 00:07:29,240 the equilibrium we would like to be at, 162 00:07:29,240 --> 00:07:33,760 is where the demand curve intersects the social cost curve. 163 00:07:33,760 --> 00:07:35,730 So, the efficient quantity 164 00:07:35,730 --> 00:07:41,090 is less than the market quantity, thus we have overuse. 165 00:07:41,490 --> 00:07:44,450 The market doesn't take into account 166 00:07:44,450 --> 00:07:47,860 all of the costs of antibiotic use 167 00:07:47,860 --> 00:07:49,800 so we get overuse 168 00:07:49,800 --> 00:07:52,480 relative to the efficient equilibrium. 169 00:07:53,070 --> 00:07:55,490 Now we can actually show this in another way. 170 00:07:55,490 --> 00:07:59,870 Let's look at the value of the marginal unit, 171 00:07:59,870 --> 00:08:02,360 the value of the unit, the market unit, 172 00:08:02,360 --> 00:08:04,620 the last unit the market produces. 173 00:08:04,620 --> 00:08:08,270 What's the private value, what's the value of this unit? 174 00:08:08,270 --> 00:08:10,950 Well, it's given by the height of the demand curve. 175 00:08:10,950 --> 00:08:14,290 Now, what is the cost of that marginal unit, 176 00:08:14,290 --> 00:08:16,510 of that last unit consumed? 177 00:08:17,060 --> 00:08:20,460 Well, the private cost is given by the private supply curve, 178 00:08:20,460 --> 00:08:26,740 but the social cost is given by the much higher social cost curve. 179 00:08:26,740 --> 00:08:29,339 So notice on that last unit, 180 00:08:29,339 --> 00:08:34,889 the cost of that last unit is much larger than the value. 181 00:08:34,889 --> 00:08:37,509 That's the sense in which we have overuse. 182 00:08:37,509 --> 00:08:40,260 We don't really want to produce this last unit 183 00:08:40,260 --> 00:08:44,280 because the cost is greater than the value. 184 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:46,770 Indeed, if we don't want to produce this unit, 185 00:08:46,770 --> 00:08:48,910 we don't to produce any unit 186 00:08:48,910 --> 00:08:53,330 where the social cost is greater than the value. 187 00:08:53,330 --> 00:08:54,470 So in other words, 188 00:08:54,470 --> 00:08:57,750 this area right here is a deadweight loss. 189 00:08:57,750 --> 00:08:59,230 These are the units 190 00:08:59,230 --> 00:09:03,560 for which the social cost is greater than the private value. 191 00:09:03,560 --> 00:09:06,130 Therefore, these are the units we don't want to produce -- 192 00:09:06,130 --> 00:09:07,740 this is the deadweight loss 193 00:09:07,740 --> 00:09:12,470 and this is the overuse of the antibiotic. 194 00:09:14,150 --> 00:09:16,190 What conclusions can we make? 195 00:09:16,190 --> 00:09:17,710 When there are external costs, 196 00:09:17,710 --> 00:09:21,110 output should be reduced to maximize social surplus. 197 00:09:21,820 --> 00:09:23,650 Another way of thinking about this 198 00:09:23,650 --> 00:09:26,370 is for determining the efficient level of output, 199 00:09:26,370 --> 00:09:28,340 who bears the cost is irrelevant. 200 00:09:28,340 --> 00:09:31,600 The fact that these costs are borne by bystanders 201 00:09:31,600 --> 00:09:32,850 is irrelevant -- 202 00:09:32,850 --> 00:09:35,120 we want to take into account all costs, 203 00:09:35,120 --> 00:09:37,640 not just the cost to the suppliers. 204 00:09:37,640 --> 00:09:40,520 The problem is, is that when other people 205 00:09:40,520 --> 00:09:42,950 bear some of the cost of production, 206 00:09:42,950 --> 00:09:44,750 the price is too low. 207 00:09:44,750 --> 00:09:49,150 Not all of the costs are reflected in the price. 208 00:09:49,520 --> 00:09:53,130 As a result, the price is sending the wrong signal. 209 00:09:53,130 --> 00:09:55,880 It's incentivizing too much production. 210 00:09:55,880 --> 00:09:57,970 Because the price is too low, 211 00:09:57,970 --> 00:10:01,000 antibiotic users purchase too many antibiotics 212 00:10:01,000 --> 00:10:03,050 and we get overuse. 213 00:10:03,730 --> 00:10:06,550 The solution to this, or one solution to this, 214 00:10:06,550 --> 00:10:09,550 is in what's called a Pigouvian tax -- 215 00:10:09,550 --> 00:10:12,400 a tax on a good with external costs. 216 00:10:12,400 --> 00:10:14,370 Let's take a look at how that works. 217 00:10:14,800 --> 00:10:16,590 The idea of a Pigouvian tax, 218 00:10:16,590 --> 00:10:20,330 after the economist Arthur Pigou first talked about these ideas, 219 00:10:20,330 --> 00:10:21,600 is pretty simple. 220 00:10:21,600 --> 00:10:24,180 The market equilibrium is down here. 221 00:10:24,180 --> 00:10:27,280 The efficient equilibrium is here. 222 00:10:27,280 --> 00:10:29,910 The problem is that the suppliers 223 00:10:29,910 --> 00:10:34,050 aren't taking into account all the costs of their production. 224 00:10:34,050 --> 00:10:36,960 They're not taking into account these external costs. 225 00:10:36,960 --> 00:10:38,890 So how could we get these suppliers 226 00:10:38,890 --> 00:10:42,760 to take into account all of the costs of their production? 227 00:10:43,400 --> 00:10:46,610 Well, one way of doing it is to tax them. 228 00:10:46,610 --> 00:10:50,990 A Pigouvian tax equal to the external cost 229 00:10:50,990 --> 00:10:53,720 makes the private cost plus the tax, 230 00:10:53,720 --> 00:10:57,010 the total private cost, equal to the social cost. 231 00:10:57,930 --> 00:11:00,720 Let's remember how we can analyze a tax. 232 00:11:00,720 --> 00:11:03,130 Remember that one of the ways to analyze a tax 233 00:11:03,130 --> 00:11:07,290 is to shift the supply curve up by the amount of the tax. 234 00:11:07,290 --> 00:11:10,380 So, if we impose a tax on the suppliers 235 00:11:10,380 --> 00:11:12,590 equal to the external cost 236 00:11:12,590 --> 00:11:15,340 the supply curve will shift up 237 00:11:15,340 --> 00:11:18,910 until the private cost plus the tax 238 00:11:18,910 --> 00:11:21,310 is equal to the social cost. 239 00:11:21,310 --> 00:11:22,850 In this case, 240 00:11:22,850 --> 00:11:25,470 we will now have the efficient equilibrium 241 00:11:25,470 --> 00:11:28,320 will be the same as the market equilibrium. 242 00:11:28,320 --> 00:11:31,850 The market will internalize the externality. 243 00:11:31,850 --> 00:11:33,430 All of the costs, 244 00:11:33,430 --> 00:11:37,000 private cost plus the tax equal to the external cost, 245 00:11:37,000 --> 00:11:39,640 will come to be reflected in the price. 246 00:11:39,640 --> 00:11:42,740 And because all of the costs are reflected in the price, 247 00:11:42,740 --> 00:11:46,640 consumers will buy the efficient quantity of the good. 248 00:11:47,190 --> 00:11:52,190 So, that's one way to handle an external cost problem. 249 00:11:52,190 --> 00:11:53,870 In the next couple of lectures 250 00:11:53,870 --> 00:11:55,900 we'll be talking about external benefits, 251 00:11:55,900 --> 00:11:58,120 and we'll also illustrate some other ways 252 00:11:58,120 --> 00:12:00,700 in which externalities can be handled. 253 00:12:02,030 --> 00:12:03,380 - [Narrator] If you want to test yourself 254 00:12:03,380 --> 00:12:05,260 click “Practice Questions.” 255 00:12:05,930 --> 00:12:09,264 Or, if you're ready to move on just click “Next Video.” 256 00:12:09,614 --> 00:12:12,336 ♪ [music] ♪