0:00:00.686,0:00:04.584 Do you ever wonder why we're surrounded[br]with things that help us do everything 0:00:04.608,0:00:07.611 faster and faster and faster? 0:00:08.294,0:00:09.535 Communicate faster, 0:00:09.559,0:00:12.505 but also work faster, bank faster, 0:00:12.529,0:00:15.463 travel faster, find a date faster, 0:00:15.487,0:00:20.319 cook faster, clean faster,[br]and do all of it all at the same time? 0:00:20.803,0:00:25.317 How do you feel about cramming[br]even more into every waking hour? 0:00:26.690,0:00:28.903 Well, to my generation of Americans, 0:00:28.927,0:00:31.176 speed feels like a birthright. 0:00:31.200,0:00:34.543 Sometimes I think[br]our minimum speed is Mach 3. 0:00:34.567,0:00:37.964 Anything less, and we fear[br]losing our competitive edge. 0:00:38.634,0:00:41.261 But even my generation[br]is starting to question 0:00:41.285,0:00:43.772 whether we're the masters of speed 0:00:43.796,0:00:46.322 or if speed is mastering us. 0:00:47.475,0:00:49.897 I'm an anthropologist[br]at the Rand Corporation, 0:00:49.921,0:00:52.696 and while many anthropologists[br]study ancient cultures, 0:00:52.720,0:00:55.738 I focus on modern day cultures[br]and how we're adapting 0:00:55.762,0:00:58.959 to all of this change[br]happening in the world. 0:00:59.681,0:01:04.985 Recently, I teamed up with an engineer,[br]Seifu Chonde, to study speed. 0:01:05.009,0:01:10.043 We were interested both in how people[br]are adapting to this age of acceleration 0:01:10.067,0:01:13.073 and its security and policy implications. 0:01:13.556,0:01:16.016 What could our world look like in 25 years 0:01:16.040,0:01:18.923 if the current pace of change[br]keeps accelerating? 0:01:18.947,0:01:20.812 What would it mean for transportation, 0:01:20.836,0:01:23.232 or learning, communication, 0:01:23.256,0:01:25.693 manufacturing, weaponry, 0:01:25.717,0:01:27.639 or even natural selection? 0:01:28.253,0:01:31.844 Will a faster future make us[br]more secure and productive? 0:01:32.279,0:01:34.617 Or will it make us more vulnerable? 0:01:35.203,0:01:39.207 In our research, people accepted[br]acceleration as inevitable, 0:01:39.231,0:01:41.900 both the thrills and the lack of control. 0:01:41.924,0:01:44.061 They fear that if they were to slow down, 0:01:44.085,0:01:46.743 they might run the risk[br]of becoming obsolete. 0:01:46.767,0:01:49.590 They say they're rather[br]burn out than rust out. 0:01:50.285,0:01:51.576 Yet, at the same time, 0:01:51.600,0:01:54.793 they worry that speed could[br]erode their cultural traditions 0:01:54.817,0:01:56.533 and their sense of home. 0:01:57.524,0:01:59.876 But even people who are winning[br]at the speed game 0:01:59.900,0:02:01.784 admit to feeling a little uneasy. 0:02:01.808,0:02:05.407 They see acceleration as widening[br]the gap between the haves, 0:02:05.431,0:02:07.926 the jet-setters who are buzzing around 0:02:07.950,0:02:09.316 and the have-nots, 0:02:09.340,0:02:11.722 who are left in the digital dust. 0:02:12.984,0:02:17.048 Yes, we have good reason to forecast[br]that the future will be faster, 0:02:17.072,0:02:18.795 but what I've come to realize 0:02:18.819,0:02:21.342 is that speed is paradoxical, 0:02:21.366,0:02:23.174 and like all good paradoxes, 0:02:23.198,0:02:25.897 it teaches us about the human experience, 0:02:25.921,0:02:29.009 as absurd and complex as it is. 0:02:29.899,0:02:32.311 The first paradox is that we love speed, 0:02:32.335,0:02:34.416 and we're thrilled by its intensity. 0:02:34.440,0:02:38.112 But our prehistoric brains[br]aren't really built for it, 0:02:38.136,0:02:42.603 so we invent roller coasters[br]and race cars and supersonic planes, 0:02:42.627,0:02:45.752 but we get whiplash, carsick, 0:02:45.776,0:02:46.936 jet-lagged. 0:02:47.584,0:02:49.861 We didn't evolve to multitask. 0:02:49.885,0:02:53.989 Rather, we evolved to do one thing[br]with incredible focus, 0:02:54.013,0:02:56.907 like hunt -- not necessarily[br]with great speed, 0:02:56.931,0:02:59.681 but with endurance for great distance. 0:02:59.705,0:03:03.851 But now there's a widening gap[br]between our biology and our lifestyles, 0:03:03.875,0:03:08.527 a mismatch between what our bodies are[br]built for and what we're making them do. 0:03:08.870,0:03:14.215 It's a phenomenon my mentors have called[br]"Stone Agers in the fast lane." 0:03:14.239,0:03:15.466 (Laughter) 0:03:16.087,0:03:19.585 A second paradox of speed is that[br]it can be measured objectively. Right? 0:03:19.609,0:03:22.499 Miles per hour, gigabytes per second. 0:03:22.939,0:03:25.179 But how speed feels, 0:03:25.203,0:03:26.655 and whether we like it, 0:03:26.679,0:03:28.339 is highly subjective. 0:03:28.717,0:03:30.480 So we can document 0:03:30.504,0:03:34.763 that the pace at which we are adopting[br]new technologies is increasing. 0:03:34.787,0:03:39.969 For example, it took 85 years[br]from the introduction of the telephone 0:03:39.993,0:03:42.943 to when the majority of Americans[br]had phones at home. 0:03:43.438,0:03:48.151 In contrast, it only took 13 years[br]for most of us to have smartphones. 0:03:48.627,0:03:51.226 And how people act and react to speed 0:03:51.250,0:03:56.227 varies by culture and among[br]different people within the same culture. 0:03:56.251,0:03:59.408 Interactions that could be seen[br]as pleasantly brisk and convenient 0:03:59.432,0:04:00.751 in some cultures 0:04:00.775,0:04:02.800 could be seen as horribly rude in others. 0:04:02.824,0:04:07.231 I mean, you wouldn't go asking[br]for a to-go cup at a Japanese tea ceremony 0:04:07.255,0:04:09.767 so you could jet off[br]to your next tourist stop. 0:04:09.791,0:04:10.984 Would you? 0:04:11.968,0:04:16.240 A third paradox[br]is that speed begets speed. 0:04:16.264,0:04:18.520 The faster I respond,[br]the more responses I get, 0:04:18.544,0:04:20.527 the faster I have to respond again. 0:04:21.241,0:04:23.191 Having more communication 0:04:23.215,0:04:25.454 and information at our fingertips 0:04:25.478,0:04:27.097 at any given moment 0:04:27.121,0:04:31.002 was supposed to make decision-making[br]easier and more rational. 0:04:32.209,0:04:34.553 But that doesn't really[br]seem to be happening. 0:04:35.759,0:04:37.894 Here's just one more paradox: 0:04:38.601,0:04:44.071 If all of these faster technologies[br]were supposed to free us from drudgery, 0:04:44.095,0:04:46.966 why do we all feel so pressed for time? 0:04:46.990,0:04:49.725 Why are we crashing our cars[br]in record numbers 0:04:49.749,0:04:53.147 because we think we have[br]to answer that text right away? 0:04:53.878,0:04:57.374 Shouldn't life in the fast lane[br]feel a little more fun 0:04:57.398,0:04:59.005 and a little less anxious? 0:04:59.464,0:05:01.948 German speakers even have a word for this: 0:05:01.972,0:05:03.416 "Eilkrankheit." 0:05:03.440,0:05:06.454 In English, that's "hurry sickness." 0:05:07.055,0:05:09.744 When we have to make fast decisions, 0:05:09.768,0:05:11.590 autopilot brain kicks in, 0:05:11.614,0:05:14.252 and we rely on our learned behaviors, 0:05:14.276,0:05:18.098 our reflexes, our cognitive biases, 0:05:18.122,0:05:21.034 to help us perceive and respond quickly. 0:05:21.502,0:05:23.503 Sometimes that saves our lives, right? 0:05:23.527,0:05:24.721 Fight or flight. 0:05:25.134,0:05:28.479 But sometimes, it leads us astray[br]in the long run. 0:05:29.443,0:05:32.934 Oftentimes, when our society[br]has major failures, 0:05:32.958,0:05:35.856 they're not technological failures. 0:05:35.880,0:05:39.701 They're failures that happen[br]when we made decisions too quickly 0:05:39.725,0:05:41.240 on autopilot. 0:05:41.264,0:05:44.075 We didn't do the creative[br]or critical thinking required 0:05:44.099,0:05:45.494 to connect the dots 0:05:45.518,0:05:47.335 or weed out false information 0:05:47.359,0:05:49.573 or make sense of complexity. 0:05:50.352,0:05:53.689 That kind of thinking can't be done fast. 0:05:53.713,0:05:55.595 That's slow thinking. 0:05:56.218,0:05:59.280 Two psychologists,[br]Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, 0:05:59.304,0:06:02.529 started pointing this out back in 1974, 0:06:02.553,0:06:05.999 and we're still struggling[br]to do something with their insights. 0:06:07.340,0:06:11.770 All of modern history can be thought of as[br]one spurt of acceleration after another. 0:06:11.794,0:06:14.131 It's as if we think[br]if we just speed up enough, 0:06:14.155,0:06:16.166 we can outrun our problems. 0:06:16.797,0:06:18.330 But we never do. 0:06:18.354,0:06:20.155 We know this in our own lives, 0:06:20.179,0:06:22.390 and policymakers know it, too. 0:06:22.940,0:06:25.247 So now we're turning[br]to artificial intelligence 0:06:25.271,0:06:27.680 to help us make faster[br]and smarter decisions 0:06:27.704,0:06:31.208 to process this ever-expanding[br]universe of data. 0:06:32.412,0:06:35.824 But machines crunching data[br]are no substitute 0:06:35.848,0:06:38.290 for critical and sustained thinking 0:06:38.314,0:06:39.524 by humans, 0:06:39.548,0:06:44.409 whose Stone Age brains need a little time[br]to let their impulses subside, 0:06:44.433,0:06:46.140 to slow the mind 0:06:46.164,0:06:47.876 and let the thoughts flow. 0:06:49.040,0:06:52.212 If you're starting to think[br]that we should just hit the brakes, 0:06:52.236,0:06:55.389 that won't always be the right solution. 0:06:55.413,0:06:59.510 We all know that a train that's going[br]too fast around a bend can derail, 0:06:59.534,0:07:01.496 but Seifu, the engineer, 0:07:01.520,0:07:06.241 taught me that a train that's going[br]too slowly around a bend can also derail. 0:07:06.860,0:07:11.813 So managing this spurt of acceleration[br]starts with the understanding 0:07:11.837,0:07:15.373 that we have more control over speed[br]than we think we do, 0:07:15.397,0:07:18.578 individually and as a society. 0:07:18.602,0:07:21.880 Sometimes, we'll need to engineer[br]ourselves to go faster. 0:07:21.904,0:07:23.711 We'll want to solve gridlock, 0:07:23.735,0:07:26.390 speed up disaster relief[br]for hurricane victims 0:07:26.414,0:07:29.832 or use 3-D printing to produce[br]what we need on the spot, 0:07:29.856,0:07:31.279 just when we need it. 0:07:31.955,0:07:35.896 Sometimes, though, we'll want[br]to make our surroundings feel slower, 0:07:35.920,0:07:39.307 to engineer the crash[br]out of the speedy experience. 0:07:39.861,0:07:43.737 And it's OK not to be[br]stimulated all the time. 0:07:43.761,0:07:45.267 It's good for adults 0:07:45.291,0:07:46.568 and for kids. 0:07:47.043,0:07:50.626 Maybe it's boring,[br]but it gives us time to reflect. 0:07:51.258,0:07:54.738 Slow time is not wasted time. 0:07:56.142,0:07:59.891 And we need to reconsider[br]what it means to save time. 0:08:00.318,0:08:04.195 Culture and rituals around the world[br]build in slowness, 0:08:04.219,0:08:08.781 because slowness helps us reinforce[br]our shared values and connect. 0:08:08.805,0:08:12.062 And connection is[br]a critical part of being human. 0:08:13.387,0:08:15.031 We need to master speed, 0:08:15.055,0:08:19.234 and that means thinking carefully about[br]the trade-offs of any given technology. 0:08:19.629,0:08:24.046 Will it help you reclaim time that you[br]can use to express your humanity? 0:08:24.070,0:08:27.856 Will it give you hurry sickness?[br]Will it give other people hurry sickness? 0:08:27.880,0:08:32.402 If you're lucky enough to decide the pace[br]that you want to travel through life, 0:08:32.426,0:08:33.831 it's a privilege. 0:08:34.464,0:08:35.615 Use it. 0:08:36.250,0:08:38.967 You might decide that you need[br]both to speed up 0:08:38.991,0:08:40.994 and to create slow time: 0:08:41.869,0:08:43.599 time to reflect, 0:08:43.623,0:08:45.252 to percolate 0:08:45.276,0:08:46.718 at your own pace; 0:08:47.688,0:08:48.943 time to listen, 0:08:49.611,0:08:50.951 to empathize, 0:08:51.517,0:08:53.059 to rest your mind, 0:08:53.890,0:08:55.818 to linger at the dinner table. 0:08:57.402,0:08:59.387 So as we zoom into the future, 0:08:59.411,0:09:03.172 let's consider setting[br]the technologies of speed, 0:09:03.196,0:09:05.077 the purpose of speed 0:09:05.101,0:09:07.796 and our expectations of speed 0:09:07.820,0:09:10.079 to a more human pace. 0:09:10.760,0:09:11.913 Thank you. 0:09:11.937,0:09:13.452 (Applause)