1 00:00:00,686 --> 00:00:04,584 Do you ever wonder why we're surrounded with things that help us do everything 2 00:00:04,608 --> 00:00:07,611 faster and faster and faster? 3 00:00:08,294 --> 00:00:09,535 Communicate faster, 4 00:00:09,559 --> 00:00:12,505 but also work faster, bank faster, 5 00:00:12,529 --> 00:00:15,463 travel faster, find a date faster, 6 00:00:15,487 --> 00:00:20,319 cook faster, clean faster, and do all of it all at the same time? 7 00:00:20,803 --> 00:00:25,317 How do you feel about cramming even more into every waking hour? 8 00:00:26,690 --> 00:00:28,903 Well, to my generation of Americans, 9 00:00:28,927 --> 00:00:31,176 speed feels like a birthright. 10 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:34,543 Sometimes I think our minimum speed is Mach 3. 11 00:00:34,567 --> 00:00:37,964 Anything less, and we fear losing our competitive edge. 12 00:00:38,634 --> 00:00:41,261 But even my generation is starting to question 13 00:00:41,285 --> 00:00:43,772 whether we're the masters of speed 14 00:00:43,796 --> 00:00:46,322 or if speed is mastering us. 15 00:00:47,475 --> 00:00:49,897 I'm an anthropologist at the Rand Corporation, 16 00:00:49,921 --> 00:00:52,696 and while many anthropologists study ancient cultures, 17 00:00:52,720 --> 00:00:55,738 I focus on modern day cultures and how we're adapting 18 00:00:55,762 --> 00:00:58,959 to all of this change happening in the world. 19 00:00:59,681 --> 00:01:04,985 Recently, I teamed up with an engineer, Seifu Chonde, to study speed. 20 00:01:05,009 --> 00:01:10,043 We were interested both in how people are adapting to this age of acceleration 21 00:01:10,067 --> 00:01:13,073 and its security and policy implications. 22 00:01:13,556 --> 00:01:16,016 What could our world look like in 25 years 23 00:01:16,040 --> 00:01:18,923 if the current pace of change keeps accelerating? 24 00:01:18,947 --> 00:01:20,812 What would it mean for transportation, 25 00:01:20,836 --> 00:01:23,232 or learning, communication, 26 00:01:23,256 --> 00:01:25,693 manufacturing, weaponry, 27 00:01:25,717 --> 00:01:27,639 or even natural selection? 28 00:01:28,253 --> 00:01:31,844 Will a faster future make us more secure and productive? 29 00:01:32,279 --> 00:01:34,617 Or will it make us more vulnerable? 30 00:01:35,203 --> 00:01:39,207 In our research, people accepted acceleration as inevitable, 31 00:01:39,231 --> 00:01:41,900 both the thrills and the lack of control. 32 00:01:41,924 --> 00:01:44,061 They fear that if they were to slow down, 33 00:01:44,085 --> 00:01:46,743 they might run the risk of becoming obsolete. 34 00:01:46,767 --> 00:01:49,590 They say they're rather burn out than rust out. 35 00:01:50,285 --> 00:01:51,576 Yet at the same time, 36 00:01:51,600 --> 00:01:54,793 they worry that speed could erode their cultural traditions 37 00:01:54,817 --> 00:01:56,533 and their sense of home. 38 00:01:57,524 --> 00:01:59,876 But even people who are winning at the speed game 39 00:01:59,900 --> 00:02:01,784 admit to feeling a little uneasy. 40 00:02:01,808 --> 00:02:05,407 They see acceleration as widening the gap between the haves, 41 00:02:05,431 --> 00:02:07,926 the jet-setters who are buzzing around 42 00:02:07,950 --> 00:02:09,316 and the have-nots, 43 00:02:09,340 --> 00:02:11,722 who are left in the digital dust. 44 00:02:12,984 --> 00:02:17,048 Yes, we have good reason to forecast that the future will be faster, 45 00:02:17,072 --> 00:02:18,795 but what I've come to realize 46 00:02:18,819 --> 00:02:21,342 is that speed is paradoxical, 47 00:02:21,366 --> 00:02:23,174 and like all good paradoxes, 48 00:02:23,198 --> 00:02:25,897 it teaches us about the human experience, 49 00:02:25,921 --> 00:02:29,009 as absurd and complex as it is. 50 00:02:29,899 --> 00:02:32,311 The first paradox is that we love speed, 51 00:02:32,335 --> 00:02:34,416 and we're thrilled by its intensity. 52 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:38,112 But our prehistoric brains aren't really built for it, 53 00:02:38,136 --> 00:02:42,603 so we invent roller coasters and race cars and supersonic planes, 54 00:02:42,627 --> 00:02:45,752 but we get whiplash, carsick, 55 00:02:45,776 --> 00:02:46,936 jet-lagged. 56 00:02:47,584 --> 00:02:49,861 We didn't evolve to multitask. 57 00:02:49,885 --> 00:02:53,989 Rather, we evolved to do one thing with incredible focus, 58 00:02:54,013 --> 00:02:56,907 like hunt -- not necessarily with great speed, 59 00:02:56,931 --> 00:02:59,681 but with endurance for great distance. 60 00:02:59,705 --> 00:03:03,851 But now there's a widening gap between our biology and our lifestyles, 61 00:03:03,875 --> 00:03:08,527 a mismatch between what our bodies are built for and what we're making them do. 62 00:03:08,870 --> 00:03:14,215 It's a phenomenon my mentors have called "Stone Agers in the fast lane." 63 00:03:14,239 --> 00:03:15,466 (Laughter) 64 00:03:16,087 --> 00:03:19,585 A second paradox of speed is that it can be measured objectively. Right? 65 00:03:19,609 --> 00:03:22,499 Miles per hour, gigabytes per second. 66 00:03:22,939 --> 00:03:25,179 But how speed feels, 67 00:03:25,203 --> 00:03:26,655 and whether we like it, 68 00:03:26,679 --> 00:03:28,339 is highly subjective. 69 00:03:28,717 --> 00:03:30,480 So we can document 70 00:03:30,504 --> 00:03:34,763 that the pace at which we are adopting new technologies is increasing. 71 00:03:34,787 --> 00:03:39,969 For example, it took 85 years from the introduction of the telephone 72 00:03:39,993 --> 00:03:42,943 to when the majority of Americans had phones at home. 73 00:03:43,438 --> 00:03:48,151 In contrast, it only took 13 years for most of us to have smartphones. 74 00:03:48,627 --> 00:03:51,226 And how people act and react to speed 75 00:03:51,250 --> 00:03:56,227 varies by culture and among different people within the same culture. 76 00:03:56,251 --> 00:03:59,408 Interactions that could be seen as pleasantly brisk and convenient 77 00:03:59,432 --> 00:04:00,751 in some cultures 78 00:04:00,775 --> 00:04:02,800 could be seen as horribly rude in others. 79 00:04:02,824 --> 00:04:07,231 I mean, you wouldn't go asking for a to-go cup at a Japanese tea ceremony 80 00:04:07,255 --> 00:04:09,767 so you could jet off to your next tourist stop. 81 00:04:09,791 --> 00:04:10,984 Would you? 82 00:04:11,968 --> 00:04:16,240 A third paradox is that speed begets speed. 83 00:04:16,264 --> 00:04:18,520 The faster I respond, the more responses I get, 84 00:04:18,544 --> 00:04:20,527 the faster I have to respond again. 85 00:04:21,241 --> 00:04:23,191 Having more communication 86 00:04:23,215 --> 00:04:25,454 and information at our fingertips 87 00:04:25,478 --> 00:04:27,097 at any given moment 88 00:04:27,121 --> 00:04:31,002 was supposed to make decision-making easier and more rational. 89 00:04:32,209 --> 00:04:34,553 But that doesn't really seem to be happening. 90 00:04:35,759 --> 00:04:37,894 Here's just one more paradox: 91 00:04:38,601 --> 00:04:44,071 If all of these faster technologies were supposed to free us from drudgery, 92 00:04:44,095 --> 00:04:46,966 why do we all feel so pressed for time? 93 00:04:46,990 --> 00:04:49,725 Why are we crashing our cars in record numbers 94 00:04:49,749 --> 00:04:53,147 because we think we have to answer that text right away? 95 00:04:53,878 --> 00:04:57,374 Shouldn't life in the fast lane feel a little more fun 96 00:04:57,398 --> 00:04:59,005 and a little less anxious? 97 00:04:59,464 --> 00:05:01,948 German-speakers even have a word for this: 98 00:05:01,972 --> 00:05:03,416 "Eilkrankheit." 99 00:05:03,440 --> 00:05:06,454 In English, that's "hurry sickness." 100 00:05:07,055 --> 00:05:09,744 When we have to make fast decisions, 101 00:05:09,768 --> 00:05:11,590 autopilot brain kicks in, 102 00:05:11,614 --> 00:05:14,252 and we rely on our learned behaviors, 103 00:05:14,276 --> 00:05:18,098 our reflexes, our cognitive biases, 104 00:05:18,122 --> 00:05:21,034 to help us perceive and respond quickly. 105 00:05:21,502 --> 00:05:23,503 Sometimes that saves our lives, right? 106 00:05:23,527 --> 00:05:24,721 Fight or flight. 107 00:05:25,134 --> 00:05:28,479 But sometimes, it leads us astray in the long run. 108 00:05:29,443 --> 00:05:32,934 Oftentimes, when our society has major failures, 109 00:05:32,958 --> 00:05:35,856 they're not technological failures. 110 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:39,701 They're failures that happen when we made decisions too quickly 111 00:05:39,725 --> 00:05:41,240 on autopilot. 112 00:05:41,264 --> 00:05:44,075 We didn't do the creative or critical thinking required 113 00:05:44,099 --> 00:05:45,494 to connect the dots 114 00:05:45,518 --> 00:05:47,335 or weed out false information 115 00:05:47,359 --> 00:05:49,573 or make sense of complexity. 116 00:05:50,352 --> 00:05:53,689 That kind of thinking can't be done fast. 117 00:05:53,713 --> 00:05:55,595 That's slow thinking. 118 00:05:56,218 --> 00:05:59,280 Two psychologists, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, 119 00:05:59,304 --> 00:06:02,529 started pointing this out back in 1974, 120 00:06:02,553 --> 00:06:05,999 and we're still struggling to do something with their insights. 121 00:06:07,340 --> 00:06:11,770 All of modern history can be thought of as one spurt of acceleration after another. 122 00:06:11,794 --> 00:06:14,131 It's as if we think if we just speed up enough, 123 00:06:14,155 --> 00:06:16,166 we can outrun our problems. 124 00:06:16,797 --> 00:06:18,330 But we never do. 125 00:06:18,354 --> 00:06:20,155 We know this in our own lives, 126 00:06:20,179 --> 00:06:22,390 and policymakers know it, too. 127 00:06:22,940 --> 00:06:25,247 So now we're turning to artificial intelligence 128 00:06:25,271 --> 00:06:27,680 to help us make faster and smarter decisions 129 00:06:27,704 --> 00:06:31,208 to process this ever-expanding universe of data. 130 00:06:32,412 --> 00:06:35,824 But machines crunching data are no substitute 131 00:06:35,848 --> 00:06:38,290 for critical and sustained thinking 132 00:06:38,314 --> 00:06:39,524 by humans, 133 00:06:39,548 --> 00:06:44,409 whose Stone Age brains need a little time to let their impulses subside, 134 00:06:44,433 --> 00:06:46,140 to slow the mind 135 00:06:46,164 --> 00:06:47,876 and let the thoughts flow. 136 00:06:49,040 --> 00:06:52,212 If you're starting to think that we should just hit the brakes, 137 00:06:52,236 --> 00:06:55,389 that won't always be the right solution. 138 00:06:55,413 --> 00:06:59,510 We all know that a train that's going too fast around a bend can derail, 139 00:06:59,534 --> 00:07:01,496 but Seifu, the engineer, 140 00:07:01,520 --> 00:07:06,241 taught me that a train that's going too slowly around a bend can also derail. 141 00:07:06,860 --> 00:07:11,813 So managing this spurt of acceleration starts with the understanding 142 00:07:11,837 --> 00:07:15,373 that we have more control over speed than we think we do, 143 00:07:15,397 --> 00:07:18,578 individually and as a society. 144 00:07:18,602 --> 00:07:21,880 Sometimes, we'll need to engineer ourselves to go faster. 145 00:07:21,904 --> 00:07:23,711 We'll want to solve gridlock, 146 00:07:23,735 --> 00:07:26,390 speed up disaster relief for hurricane victims 147 00:07:26,414 --> 00:07:29,832 or use 3-D printing to produce what we need on the spot, 148 00:07:29,856 --> 00:07:31,279 just when we need it. 149 00:07:31,955 --> 00:07:35,896 Sometimes, though, we'll want to make our surroundings feel slower, 150 00:07:35,920 --> 00:07:39,307 to engineer the crash out of the speedy experience. 151 00:07:39,861 --> 00:07:43,737 And it's OK not to be stimulated all the time. 152 00:07:43,761 --> 00:07:45,267 It's good for adults 153 00:07:45,291 --> 00:07:46,568 and for kids. 154 00:07:47,043 --> 00:07:50,626 Maybe it's boring, but it gives us time to reflect. 155 00:07:51,258 --> 00:07:54,738 Slow time is not wasted time. 156 00:07:56,142 --> 00:07:59,891 And we need to reconsider what it means to save time. 157 00:08:00,318 --> 00:08:04,195 Culture and rituals around the world build in slowness, 158 00:08:04,219 --> 00:08:08,781 because slowness helps us reinforce our shared values and connect. 159 00:08:08,805 --> 00:08:12,062 And connection is a critical part of being human. 160 00:08:13,387 --> 00:08:15,031 We need to master speed, 161 00:08:15,055 --> 00:08:19,234 and that means thinking carefully about the trade-offs of any given technology. 162 00:08:19,629 --> 00:08:24,046 Will it help you reclaim time that you can use to express your humanity? 163 00:08:24,070 --> 00:08:27,856 Will it give you hurry sickness? Will it give other people hurry sickness? 164 00:08:27,880 --> 00:08:32,402 If you're lucky enough to decide the pace that you want to travel through life, 165 00:08:32,426 --> 00:08:33,831 it's a privilege. 166 00:08:34,464 --> 00:08:35,615 Use it. 167 00:08:36,250 --> 00:08:38,967 You might decide that you need both to speed up 168 00:08:38,991 --> 00:08:40,994 and to create slow time: 169 00:08:41,869 --> 00:08:43,599 time to reflect, 170 00:08:43,623 --> 00:08:45,252 to percolate 171 00:08:45,276 --> 00:08:46,718 at your own pace; 172 00:08:47,688 --> 00:08:48,943 time to listen, 173 00:08:49,611 --> 00:08:50,951 to empathize, 174 00:08:51,517 --> 00:08:53,059 to rest your mind, 175 00:08:53,890 --> 00:08:55,818 to linger at the dinner table. 176 00:08:57,402 --> 00:08:59,387 So as we zoom into the future, 177 00:08:59,411 --> 00:09:03,172 let's consider setting the technologies of speed, 178 00:09:03,196 --> 00:09:05,077 the purpose of speed 179 00:09:05,101 --> 00:09:07,796 and our expectations of speed 180 00:09:07,820 --> 00:09:10,079 to a more human pace. 181 00:09:10,760 --> 00:09:11,913 Thank you. 182 00:09:11,937 --> 00:09:13,452 (Applause)