WEBVTT 00:00:00.917 --> 00:00:04.982 Do you ever wonder why we're surrounded with things that help us do everything 00:00:04.982 --> 00:00:07.702 faster and faster and faster? 00:00:07.702 --> 00:00:09.876 Communicate faster, 00:00:09.876 --> 00:00:12.044 but also work faster, bank faster, 00:00:12.044 --> 00:00:15.634 travel faster, find a date faster, 00:00:15.634 --> 00:00:18.978 cook faster, clean faster, and do all of it all at the same time? 00:00:18.978 --> 00:00:24.837 How do you feel about cramming even more into every waking hour? NOTE Paragraph 00:00:25.566 --> 00:00:28.927 Well, to my generation of Americans, 00:00:28.927 --> 00:00:31.513 speed feels like a birthright. 00:00:31.775 --> 00:00:34.707 Sometimes I think our minimum speed is Mach 3. 00:00:34.707 --> 00:00:38.778 Anything less, and we fear losing our competitive edge. 00:00:38.778 --> 00:00:40.207 But even my generation 00:00:40.207 --> 00:00:43.796 is starting to question whether we're the masters of the speed 00:00:43.796 --> 00:00:46.722 or if speed is mastering us. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:47.706 --> 00:00:50.361 I'm an anthropologist at the Rand Corporation, 00:00:50.361 --> 00:00:53.022 and while many anthropologists study ancient cultures, 00:00:53.022 --> 00:00:56.206 I focus on modern day cultures and how we're adapting 00:00:56.206 --> 00:00:59.313 to all of this change happening in the world. 00:00:59.313 --> 00:01:02.352 Recently I teamed up with an engineer, 00:01:02.352 --> 00:01:05.406 [?], to study speed. 00:01:05.406 --> 00:01:10.284 We were interested both in how people are adapting to this age of acceleration 00:01:10.284 --> 00:01:13.739 and its security and policy implications. 00:01:13.739 --> 00:01:17.026 What could our world look like in 25 years 00:01:17.026 --> 00:01:19.227 if the current pace of change keeps accelerating? 00:01:19.227 --> 00:01:20.956 What would it mean for transportation, 00:01:20.956 --> 00:01:23.531 or learning, communication, 00:01:23.531 --> 00:01:26.045 manufacturing, weaponry, 00:01:26.045 --> 00:01:28.282 or even natural selection? 00:01:28.540 --> 00:01:32.155 Will a faster future make us more secure and productive, 00:01:32.155 --> 00:01:35.410 or will it make us more vulnerable? NOTE Paragraph 00:01:35.410 --> 00:01:39.358 In our research, people accepted acceleration as inevitable, 00:01:39.358 --> 00:01:42.247 both the thrills and the lack of control. 00:01:42.247 --> 00:01:44.441 They fear that if they were to slow down, 00:01:44.441 --> 00:01:47.122 they might run the risk of becoming obsolete. 00:01:47.122 --> 00:01:50.515 They say they're rather burn out than rust out. 00:01:50.515 --> 00:01:53.752 Yet at the same time, they worry that speed could erode 00:01:53.752 --> 00:01:57.452 their cultural traditions and their sense of home. 00:01:57.715 --> 00:02:00.873 But even people who are winning at the speed game 00:02:00.873 --> 00:02:02.265 admit to feeling a little uneasy. 00:02:02.265 --> 00:02:05.827 They see acceleration as widening the gap between the haves, 00:02:05.827 --> 00:02:07.847 the jet-setters who are buzzing around, 00:02:07.847 --> 00:02:09.624 and the have-nots, 00:02:09.624 --> 00:02:12.206 who are left in the digital dust. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:13.263 --> 00:02:17.200 Yes, we have good reason to forecast that the future will be faster, 00:02:17.200 --> 00:02:21.544 but what I've come to realize 00:02:21.544 --> 00:02:22.399 is that speed is paradoxical, 00:02:22.399 --> 00:02:23.527 and like all good paradoxes 00:02:23.527 --> 00:02:26.167 it teaches us about the human experience, 00:02:26.167 --> 00:02:29.603 as absurd and complex as it is. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:30.106 --> 00:02:34.712 The first paradox is that we love speed and we're thrilled by its intensity, 00:02:34.712 --> 00:02:38.407 but our prehistoric brains aren't really built for it, 00:02:38.407 --> 00:02:42.762 so we invent rollercoasters and race cars and supersonic planes, 00:02:42.762 --> 00:02:45.657 but we get whiplash, carsick, 00:02:45.657 --> 00:02:47.229 jet-lagged. 00:02:47.584 --> 00:02:49.997 We didn't evolve to multitask. 00:02:49.997 --> 00:02:54.240 Rather, we evolved to do one thing with incredible focus, 00:02:54.240 --> 00:02:57.188 like hunt, not necessarily with great speed, 00:02:57.188 --> 00:02:59.904 but with endurance for great distance. 00:02:59.904 --> 00:03:04.175 But now there's a widening gap between our biology and our lifestyles, 00:03:04.175 --> 00:03:08.301 a mismatch between what our bodies are built for and what we're making them do. 00:03:09.117 --> 00:03:14.269 It's a phenomenon my mentors have called "stone agers in the fast lane." NOTE Paragraph 00:03:16.341 --> 00:03:19.937 A second paradox of speed is that it can be measured objectively. Right? 00:03:19.937 --> 00:03:23.177 Miles per hour, gigabytes per second. 00:03:23.177 --> 00:03:25.754 But how speed feels, 00:03:25.754 --> 00:03:27.160 and whether we like it, 00:03:27.160 --> 00:03:28.964 is highly subjective. 00:03:28.964 --> 00:03:30.947 So we can document 00:03:30.947 --> 00:03:33.930 that the pace at which we are adopting new technologies is increasing. 00:03:33.930 --> 00:03:40.220 For example, it took 85 years from the introduction of the telephone 00:03:40.220 --> 00:03:43.354 to when the majority of Americans had phones at home. 00:03:43.907 --> 00:03:49.104 In contrast, it only took 13 years for most of us to have smartphones. 00:03:49.104 --> 00:03:51.384 And how people act and react to speed 00:03:51.384 --> 00:03:56.121 varies by culture and among different people within the same culture. 00:03:56.505 --> 00:03:58.214 Interactions that can be seen 00:03:58.214 --> 00:04:01.003 as pleasantly brisk and convenient in some cultures 00:04:01.003 --> 00:04:03.337 could be seen as horribly rude in others. 00:04:03.337 --> 00:04:07.255 I mean, you wouldn't go asking for a to-go cup at a Japanese tea ceremony 00:04:07.255 --> 00:04:10.871 so you could jet off to your next tourist stop, would you? NOTE Paragraph 00:04:11.592 --> 00:04:16.561 A third paradox is that speed begets speed. 00:04:16.561 --> 00:04:19.003 The faster I respond, the more responses I get, 00:04:19.003 --> 00:04:21.670 the faster I have to respond again. 00:04:21.670 --> 00:04:24.435 Having more communication 00:04:24.435 --> 00:04:26.207 and information at our fingertips 00:04:26.207 --> 00:04:27.480 at any given moment 00:04:27.480 --> 00:04:31.838 was supposed to make decision-making easier and more rational, 00:04:31.838 --> 00:04:35.759 but that doesn't really seem to be happening. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:35.759 --> 00:04:36.009 Here's just one more paradox: 00:04:36.077 --> 00:04:44.419 if all of these faster technologies were supposed to free us from drudgery, 00:04:44.419 --> 00:04:47.122 why do we all feel so pressed for time? 00:04:47.122 --> 00:04:50.204 Why are we crashing our cars in record numbers 00:04:50.204 --> 00:04:53.921 because we think we have to answer that text right away? 00:04:54.180 --> 00:04:58.032 Shouldn't life in the fast lane feel a little more fun 00:04:58.032 --> 00:04:59.663 and a little less anxious? 00:04:59.663 --> 00:05:02.193 German-speakers even have a word for this: 00:05:02.193 --> 00:05:03.760 [?] 00:05:03.760 --> 00:05:07.413 In English, that's "hurry sickness." 00:05:07.413 --> 00:05:10.317 When we have to make fast decisions, 00:05:10.317 --> 00:05:12.289 autopilot brain kicks in, 00:05:12.289 --> 00:05:14.530 and we rely on our learned behaviors, 00:05:14.530 --> 00:05:18.345 our reflexes, our cognitive biases, 00:05:18.345 --> 00:05:21.475 to help us perceive and respond quickly. 00:05:21.709 --> 00:05:23.697 Sometimes that saves our lives, right? 00:05:23.697 --> 00:05:25.571 Fight or flight. 00:05:25.571 --> 00:05:28.940 But sometimes it leads us astray in the long run. 00:05:28.940 --> 00:05:34.319 Oftentimes, when our society has major failures, 00:05:34.319 --> 00:05:36.094 they're not technological failures, 00:05:36.094 --> 00:05:39.834 they're failures that happen when we made decisions too quickly 00:05:39.834 --> 00:05:41.264 on autopilot. 00:05:41.264 --> 00:05:44.302 We didn't do the creative or critical thinking required 00:05:44.302 --> 00:05:45.950 to connect the dots 00:05:45.950 --> 00:05:47.518 or weed our false information 00:05:47.518 --> 00:05:50.670 or make sense of complexity. 00:05:50.670 --> 00:05:54.030 That kind of thinking can't be done fast. 00:05:54.030 --> 00:05:56.663 That's slow thinking. 00:05:56.663 --> 00:05:59.630 Two psychologists, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, 00:05:59.630 --> 00:06:02.688 started pointing this out back in 1974, 00:06:02.688 --> 00:06:06.924 and we're struggling to do something with their insights. NOTE Paragraph 00:06:06.924 --> 00:06:12.161 All of modern history can be thought of as one spurt of acceleration after another. 00:06:12.161 --> 00:06:14.411 It's as if we think if we just speed up enough, 00:06:14.411 --> 00:06:16.908 we can outrun our problems. 00:06:16.908 --> 00:06:18.788 But we never do. 00:06:18.788 --> 00:06:20.779 We know this in our own lives, 00:06:20.779 --> 00:06:23.179 and policymakers know it too. 00:06:23.179 --> 00:06:26.063 So now we're turning to artificial intelligence 00:06:26.063 --> 00:06:28.379 to help us make faster and smarter decisions 00:06:28.379 --> 00:06:32.347 to process this ever-expanding universe of data, 00:06:32.643 --> 00:06:34.574 but machines crunching data 00:06:34.574 --> 00:06:36.173 are no subtitute 00:06:36.173 --> 00:06:39.082 for critical and sustained thinking 00:06:39.082 --> 00:06:43.274 by humans whose stone-age brains 00:06:43.274 --> 00:06:45.233 need a little time to let their impulses subside, 00:06:45.233 --> 00:06:46.395 to slow the mind 00:06:46.395 --> 00:06:48.969 and let the thoughts flow. NOTE Paragraph 00:06:49.335 --> 00:06:52.473 If you're starting to think that we should just hit the brakes, 00:06:52.473 --> 00:06:55.905 that won't always be the right solution. 00:06:55.905 --> 00:06:58.655 We all know that a train that's going too fast around the bend can derail, 00:06:58.655 --> 00:07:01.110 but [?], the engineer, 00:07:01.110 --> 00:07:07.192 taught me that a train that's going too slowly around a bend can also derail. 00:07:07.192 --> 00:07:10.951 So managing this spurt of acceleration 00:07:10.951 --> 00:07:15.405 starts with the understanding that we have more control over speed 00:07:15.405 --> 00:07:16.214 than we think we do, 00:07:16.214 --> 00:07:19.234 individually and as a society. 00:07:19.234 --> 00:07:21.991 Sometimes, we'll need to engineer ourselves to go faster. 00:07:21.991 --> 00:07:23.735 We'll want to solve gridlock, 00:07:23.735 --> 00:07:26.536 speed up disaster relief for hurricane victims, 00:07:26.536 --> 00:07:29.957 or use 3D printing to produce what we need on the spot 00:07:30.133 --> 00:07:32.122 just when we need it. 00:07:32.122 --> 00:07:36.501 Sometimes, though, we'll want to make our surroundings feel slower, 00:07:36.501 --> 00:07:37.917 to engineer the crash 00:07:37.917 --> 00:07:40.108 out of the speedy experience. 00:07:40.108 --> 00:07:43.446 And it's OK not to be stimulated all the time. 00:07:43.801 --> 00:07:47.368 It's good for adults, and for kids. 00:07:47.368 --> 00:07:51.560 Maybe it's boring, but it gives us time to reflect. 00:07:51.560 --> 00:07:55.916 Slow time is not wasted time. NOTE Paragraph 00:07:55.916 --> 00:08:00.533 And we need to reconsider what it means to save time. 00:08:00.533 --> 00:08:03.205 Culture and rituals around the world build in slowness, 00:08:03.205 --> 00:08:08.939 because slowness helps us reinforce our shared values and connect, 00:08:08.939 --> 00:08:12.196 and connection is a critical part of being human. 00:08:12.786 --> 00:08:15.812 We need to master speed, 00:08:15.812 --> 00:08:19.899 and that means thinking carefully about the tradeoffs of any given technology. 00:08:19.899 --> 00:08:24.339 Will it help you reclaim time that you can use to express your humanity? 00:08:24.339 --> 00:08:28.148 Will it give you hurry sickness? Will it give other people hurry sickness? 00:08:28.148 --> 00:08:32.577 If you're lucky enough to decide the pace that you want to travel through life, 00:08:32.577 --> 00:08:34.006 that's a privilege. 00:08:34.006 --> 00:08:36.544 Use it. 00:08:36.544 --> 00:08:38.991 You might decide that you need both to speed up 00:08:38.991 --> 00:08:42.147 and to create slow time: 00:08:42.147 --> 00:08:44.239 time to reflect, 00:08:44.239 --> 00:08:45.467 to percolate 00:08:45.467 --> 00:08:47.760 at your own pace, 00:08:47.760 --> 00:08:51.748 time to listen, to empathize, 00:08:51.748 --> 00:08:54.160 to rest your mind, 00:08:54.160 --> 00:08:56.686 to linger at the dinner table. NOTE Paragraph 00:08:57.617 --> 00:09:00.081 So as we zoom into the future, 00:09:00.081 --> 00:09:03.681 let's consider setting the technologies of speed, 00:09:03.681 --> 00:09:05.403 the purpose of speed, 00:09:05.403 --> 00:09:08.200 and our expectations of speed 00:09:08.200 --> 00:09:10.848 to a more human pace. NOTE Paragraph 00:09:10.848 --> 00:09:12.047 Thank you. NOTE Paragraph 00:09:12.047 --> 00:09:13.337 (Applause)