0:00:00.917,0:00:04.982 Do you ever wonder why we're surrounded[br]with things that help us do everything 0:00:04.982,0:00:07.702 faster and faster and faster? 0:00:07.702,0:00:09.876 Communicate faster, 0:00:09.876,0:00:12.044 but also work faster, bank faster, 0:00:12.044,0:00:15.634 travel faster, find a date faster, 0:00:15.634,0:00:18.978 cook faster, clean faster,[br]and do all of it all at the same time? 0:00:18.978,0:00:24.837 How do you feel about cramming[br]even more into every waking hour? 0:00:25.566,0:00:28.927 Well, to my generation of Americans, 0:00:28.927,0:00:31.513 speed feels like a birthright. 0:00:31.775,0:00:34.707 Sometimes I think[br]our minimum speed is Mach 3. 0:00:34.707,0:00:38.778 Anything less, and we fear[br]losing our competitive edge. 0:00:38.778,0:00:40.207 But even my generation 0:00:40.207,0:00:43.796 is starting to question whether[br]we're the masters of the speed 0:00:43.796,0:00:46.722 or if speed is mastering us. 0:00:47.706,0:00:50.361 I'm an anthropologist[br]at the Rand Corporation, 0:00:50.361,0:00:53.022 and while many anthropologists[br]study ancient cultures, 0:00:53.022,0:00:56.206 I focus on modern day cultures[br]and how we're adapting 0:00:56.206,0:00:59.313 to all of this change[br]happening in the world. 0:00:59.313,0:01:02.352 Recently I teamed up with an engineer, 0:01:02.352,0:01:05.406 [?], to study speed. 0:01:05.406,0:01:10.284 We were interested both in how people[br]are adapting to this age of acceleration 0:01:10.284,0:01:13.739 and its security and policy implications. 0:01:13.739,0:01:17.026 What could our world look like in 25 years 0:01:17.026,0:01:19.227 if the current pace of change[br]keeps accelerating? 0:01:19.227,0:01:20.956 What would it mean for transportation, 0:01:20.956,0:01:23.531 or learning, communication, 0:01:23.531,0:01:26.045 manufacturing, weaponry, 0:01:26.045,0:01:28.282 or even natural selection? 0:01:28.540,0:01:32.155 Will a faster future make us[br]more secure and productive, 0:01:32.155,0:01:35.410 or will it make us more vulnerable? 0:01:35.410,0:01:39.358 In our research, people accepted[br]acceleration as inevitable, 0:01:39.358,0:01:42.247 both the thrills and the lack of control. 0:01:42.247,0:01:44.441 They fear that if they were to slow down, 0:01:44.441,0:01:47.122 they might run the risk[br]of becoming obsolete. 0:01:47.122,0:01:50.515 They say they're rather[br]burn out than rust out. 0:01:50.515,0:01:53.752 Yet at the same time,[br]they worry that speed could erode 0:01:53.752,0:01:57.452 their cultural traditions[br]and their sense of home. 0:01:57.715,0:02:00.873 But even people who are winning[br]at the speed game 0:02:00.873,0:02:02.265 admit to feeling a little uneasy. 0:02:02.265,0:02:05.827 They see acceleration as widening[br]the gap between the haves, 0:02:05.827,0:02:07.847 the jet-setters who are buzzing around, 0:02:07.847,0:02:09.624 and the have-nots, 0:02:09.624,0:02:12.206 who are left in the digital dust. 0:02:13.263,0:02:17.200 Yes, we have good reason to forecast[br]that the future will be faster, 0:02:17.200,0:02:21.544 but what I've come to realize 0:02:21.544,0:02:22.399 is that speed is paradoxical, 0:02:22.399,0:02:23.527 and like all good paradoxes 0:02:23.527,0:02:26.167 it teaches us about the human experience, 0:02:26.167,0:02:29.603 as absurd and complex as it is. 0:02:30.106,0:02:34.712 The first paradox is that we love speed[br]and we're thrilled by its intensity, 0:02:34.712,0:02:38.407 but our prehistoric brains[br]aren't really built for it, 0:02:38.407,0:02:42.762 so we invent rollercoasters[br]and race cars and supersonic planes, 0:02:42.762,0:02:45.657 but we get whiplash, carsick, 0:02:45.657,0:02:47.229 jet-lagged. 0:02:47.584,0:02:49.997 We didn't evolve to multitask. 0:02:49.997,0:02:54.240 Rather, we evolved to do one thing[br]with incredible focus, 0:02:54.240,0:02:57.188 like hunt, not necessarily[br]with great speed, 0:02:57.188,0:02:59.904 but with endurance for great distance. 0:02:59.904,0:03:04.175 But now there's a widening gap[br]between our biology and our lifestyles, 0:03:04.175,0:03:08.301 a mismatch between what our bodies are[br]built for and what we're making them do. 0:03:09.117,0:03:14.269 It's a phenomenon my mentors have called[br]"stone agers in the fast lane." 0:03:16.341,0:03:19.937 A second paradox of speed is that[br]it can be measured objectively. Right? 0:03:19.937,0:03:23.177 Miles per hour, gigabytes per second. 0:03:23.177,0:03:25.754 But how speed feels, 0:03:25.754,0:03:27.160 and whether we like it, 0:03:27.160,0:03:28.964 is highly subjective. 0:03:28.964,0:03:30.947 So we can document 0:03:30.947,0:03:33.930 that the pace at which we are adopting[br]new technologies is increasing. 0:03:33.930,0:03:40.220 For example, it took 85 years[br]from the introduction of the telephone 0:03:40.220,0:03:43.354 to when the majority of Americans[br]had phones at home. 0:03:43.907,0:03:49.104 In contrast, it only took 13 years[br]for most of us to have smartphones. 0:03:49.104,0:03:51.384 And how people act and react to speed 0:03:51.384,0:03:56.121 varies by culture and among[br]different people within the same culture. 0:03:56.505,0:03:58.214 Interactions that can be seen 0:03:58.214,0:04:01.003 as pleasantly brisk[br]and convenient in some cultures 0:04:01.003,0:04:03.337 could be seen as horribly rude in others. 0:04:03.337,0:04:07.255 I mean, you wouldn't go asking[br]for a to-go cup at a Japanese tea ceremony 0:04:07.255,0:04:10.871 so you could jet off[br]to your next tourist stop, would you? 0:04:11.592,0:04:16.561 A third paradox[br]is that speed begets speed. 0:04:16.561,0:04:19.003 The faster I respond,[br]the more responses I get, 0:04:19.003,0:04:21.670 the faster I have to respond again. 0:04:21.670,0:04:24.435 Having more communication 0:04:24.435,0:04:26.207 and information at our fingertips 0:04:26.207,0:04:27.480 at any given moment 0:04:27.480,0:04:31.838 was supposed to make decision-making[br]easier and more rational, 0:04:31.838,0:04:35.759 but that doesn't really[br]seem to be happening. 0:04:35.759,0:04:36.009 Here's just one more paradox: 0:04:36.077,0:04:44.419 if all of these faster technologies[br]were supposed to free us from drudgery, 0:04:44.419,0:04:47.122 why do we all feel so pressed for time? 0:04:47.122,0:04:50.204 Why are we crashing our cars[br]in record numbers 0:04:50.204,0:04:53.921 because we think we have[br]to answer that text right away? 0:04:54.180,0:04:58.032 Shouldn't life in the fast lane[br]feel a little more fun 0:04:58.032,0:04:59.663 and a little less anxious? 0:04:59.663,0:05:02.193 German-speakers even have a word for this: 0:05:02.193,0:05:03.760 [?] 0:05:03.760,0:05:07.413 In English, that's "hurry sickness." 0:05:07.413,0:05:10.317 When we have to make fast decisions, 0:05:10.317,0:05:12.289 autopilot brain kicks in, 0:05:12.289,0:05:14.530 and we rely on our learned behaviors, 0:05:14.530,0:05:18.345 our reflexes, our cognitive biases, 0:05:18.345,0:05:21.475 to help us perceive and respond quickly. 0:05:21.709,0:05:23.697 Sometimes that saves our lives, right? 0:05:23.697,0:05:25.571 Fight or flight. 0:05:25.571,0:05:28.940 But sometimes it leads us astray[br]in the long run. 0:05:28.940,0:05:34.319 Oftentimes, when our society[br]has major failures, 0:05:34.319,0:05:36.094 they're not technological failures, 0:05:36.094,0:05:39.834 they're failures that happen[br]when we made decisions too quickly 0:05:39.834,0:05:41.264 on autopilot. 0:05:41.264,0:05:44.302 We didn't do the creative[br]or critical thinking required 0:05:44.302,0:05:45.950 to connect the dots 0:05:45.950,0:05:47.518 or weed our false information 0:05:47.518,0:05:50.670 or make sense of complexity. 0:05:50.670,0:05:54.030 That kind of thinking can't be done fast. 0:05:54.030,0:05:56.663 That's slow thinking. 0:05:56.663,0:05:59.630 Two psychologists,[br]Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky, 0:05:59.630,0:06:02.688 started pointing this out back in 1974, 0:06:02.688,0:06:06.924 and we're struggling[br]to do something with their insights. 0:06:06.924,0:06:12.161 All of modern history can be thought of as[br]one spurt of acceleration after another. 0:06:12.161,0:06:14.411 It's as if we think[br]if we just speed up enough, 0:06:14.411,0:06:16.908 we can outrun our problems. 0:06:16.908,0:06:18.788 But we never do. 0:06:18.788,0:06:20.779 We know this in our own lives, 0:06:20.779,0:06:23.179 and policymakers know it too. 0:06:23.179,0:06:26.063 So now we're turning[br]to artificial intelligence 0:06:26.063,0:06:28.379 to help us make faster[br]and smarter decisions 0:06:28.379,0:06:32.347 to process this ever-expanding[br]universe of data, 0:06:32.643,0:06:34.574 but machines crunching data 0:06:34.574,0:06:36.173 are no subtitute 0:06:36.173,0:06:39.082 for critical and sustained thinking 0:06:39.082,0:06:43.274 by humans whose stone-age brains 0:06:43.274,0:06:45.233 need a little time to let[br]their impulses subside, 0:06:45.233,0:06:46.395 to slow the mind 0:06:46.395,0:06:48.969 and let the thoughts flow. 0:06:49.335,0:06:52.473 If you're starting to think[br]that we should just hit the brakes, 0:06:52.473,0:06:55.905 that won't always be the right solution. 0:06:55.905,0:06:58.655 We all know that a train that's going[br]too fast around the bend can derail, 0:06:58.655,0:07:01.110 but [?], the engineer, 0:07:01.110,0:07:07.192 taught me that a train that's going[br]too slowly around a bend can also derail. 0:07:07.192,0:07:10.951 So managing this spurt of acceleration 0:07:10.951,0:07:15.405 starts with the understanding[br]that we have more control over speed 0:07:15.405,0:07:16.214 than we think we do, 0:07:16.214,0:07:19.234 individually and as a society. 0:07:19.234,0:07:21.991 Sometimes, we'll need to engineer[br]ourselves to go faster. 0:07:21.991,0:07:23.735 We'll want to solve gridlock, 0:07:23.735,0:07:26.536 speed up disaster relief[br]for hurricane victims, 0:07:26.536,0:07:29.957 or use 3D printing to produce[br]what we need on the spot 0:07:30.133,0:07:32.122 just when we need it. 0:07:32.122,0:07:36.501 Sometimes, though, we'll want[br]to make our surroundings feel slower, 0:07:36.501,0:07:37.917 to engineer the crash 0:07:37.917,0:07:40.108 out of the speedy experience. 0:07:40.108,0:07:43.446 And it's OK not to be[br]stimulated all the time. 0:07:43.801,0:07:47.368 It's good for adults, and for kids. 0:07:47.368,0:07:51.560 Maybe it's boring,[br]but it gives us time to reflect. 0:07:51.560,0:07:55.916 Slow time is not wasted time. 0:07:55.916,0:08:00.533 And we need to reconsider[br]what it means to save time. 0:08:00.533,0:08:03.205 Culture and rituals around the world[br]build in slowness, 0:08:03.205,0:08:08.939 because slowness helps us reinforce[br]our shared values and connect, 0:08:08.939,0:08:12.196 and connection is[br]a critical part of being human. 0:08:12.786,0:08:15.812 We need to master speed, 0:08:15.812,0:08:19.899 and that means thinking carefully about[br]the tradeoffs of any given technology. 0:08:19.899,0:08:24.339 Will it help you reclaim time that you[br]can use to express your humanity? 0:08:24.339,0:08:28.148 Will it give you hurry sickness?[br]Will it give other people hurry sickness? 0:08:28.148,0:08:32.577 If you're lucky enough to decide the pace[br]that you want to travel through life, 0:08:32.577,0:08:34.006 that's a privilege. 0:08:34.006,0:08:36.544 Use it. 0:08:36.544,0:08:38.991 You might decide that you need[br]both to speed up 0:08:38.991,0:08:42.147 and to create slow time: 0:08:42.147,0:08:44.239 time to reflect, 0:08:44.239,0:08:45.467 to percolate 0:08:45.467,0:08:47.760 at your own pace, 0:08:47.760,0:08:51.748 time to listen, to empathize, 0:08:51.748,0:08:54.160 to rest your mind, 0:08:54.160,0:08:56.686 to linger at the dinner table. 0:08:57.617,0:09:00.081 So as we zoom into the future, 0:09:00.081,0:09:03.681 let's consider setting[br]the technologies of speed, 0:09:03.681,0:09:05.403 the purpose of speed, 0:09:05.403,0:09:08.200 and our expectations of speed 0:09:08.200,0:09:10.848 to a more human pace. 0:09:10.848,0:09:12.047 Thank you. 0:09:12.047,0:09:13.337 (Applause)