WEBVTT 00:00:01.480 --> 00:00:04.040 I am holding something remarkably old. 00:00:04.440 --> 00:00:07.416 It is older than any human artifact, 00:00:07.440 --> 00:00:09.736 older than life on Earth, 00:00:09.760 --> 00:00:12.840 older than the continents and the oceans between them. 00:00:13.520 --> 00:00:16.616 This was formed over four billion years ago 00:00:16.640 --> 00:00:18.776 in the earliest days of the solar system 00:00:18.800 --> 00:00:20.600 while the planets were still forming. 00:00:21.160 --> 00:00:24.496 This rusty lump of nickel and iron may not appear special, 00:00:24.520 --> 00:00:25.960 but when it is cut open ... 00:00:28.320 --> 00:00:31.000 you can see that it is different from earthly metals. 00:00:31.440 --> 00:00:35.336 This pattern reveals metallic crystals that can only form out in space 00:00:35.360 --> 00:00:37.936 where molten metal can cool extremely slowly, 00:00:37.960 --> 00:00:40.280 a few degrees every million years. 00:00:40.760 --> 00:00:43.256 This was once part of a much larger object, 00:00:43.280 --> 00:00:45.856 one of millions left over after the planets formed. 00:00:45.880 --> 00:00:47.880 We call these objects asteroids. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:49.160 --> 00:00:52.936 Asteroids are our oldest and most numerous cosmic neighbors. 00:00:52.960 --> 00:00:56.016 This graphic shows near-Earth asteroids orbiting around the Sun, 00:00:56.040 --> 00:00:57.296 shown in yellow, 00:00:57.320 --> 00:00:59.256 and swinging close to the Earth's orbit, 00:00:59.280 --> 00:01:00.496 shown in blue. 00:01:00.520 --> 00:01:03.856 The sizes of the Earth, Sun and asteroids have been greatly exaggerated 00:01:03.880 --> 00:01:05.256 so you can see them clearly. 00:01:05.280 --> 00:01:08.656 Teams of scientists across the globe are searching for these objects, 00:01:08.680 --> 00:01:10.616 discovering new ones every day, 00:01:10.640 --> 00:01:12.760 steadily mapping near-Earth space. 00:01:13.440 --> 00:01:15.240 Much of this work is funded by NASA. 00:01:15.760 --> 00:01:19.536 I think of the search for these asteroids as a giant public works project, 00:01:19.560 --> 00:01:22.816 but instead of building a highway, we're charting outer space, 00:01:22.840 --> 00:01:25.816 building an archive that will last for generations. NOTE Paragraph 00:01:25.840 --> 00:01:31.760 These are the 1,556 near-Earth asteroids discovered just last year. 00:01:33.800 --> 00:01:37.336 And these are all of the known near-Earth asteroids, 00:01:37.360 --> 00:01:41.376 which at last count was 13,733. 00:01:41.400 --> 00:01:43.536 Each one has been imaged, cataloged 00:01:43.560 --> 00:01:45.936 and had its path around the Sun determined. 00:01:45.960 --> 00:01:48.056 Although it varies from asteroid to asteroid, 00:01:48.080 --> 00:01:51.336 the paths of most asteroids can be predicted for dozens of years. 00:01:51.360 --> 00:01:55.136 And the paths of some asteroids can be predicted with incredible precision. 00:01:55.160 --> 00:01:57.816 For example, scientists at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory 00:01:57.840 --> 00:02:01.856 predicted where the asteroid Toutatis was going to be four years in advance 00:02:01.880 --> 00:02:03.976 to within 30 kilometers. 00:02:04.000 --> 00:02:05.296 In those four years, 00:02:05.320 --> 00:02:09.136 Toutatis traveled 8.5 billion kilometers. 00:02:09.160 --> 00:02:10.735 That's a fractional precision 00:02:10.759 --> 00:02:19.560 of 0.000000004. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:19.960 --> 00:02:21.840 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:02:22.480 --> 00:02:25.136 Now, the reason I have this beautiful asteroid fragment 00:02:25.160 --> 00:02:26.696 is because, like all neighbors, 00:02:26.720 --> 00:02:28.920 asteroids sometimes drop by unexpectedly. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:29.400 --> 00:02:31.120 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:02:32.520 --> 00:02:34.136 Three years ago today, 00:02:34.160 --> 00:02:37.816 a small asteroid exploded over the city of Chelyabinsk, Russia. 00:02:37.840 --> 00:02:40.136 That object was about 19 meters across, 00:02:40.160 --> 00:02:42.080 or about as big as a convenience store. 00:02:42.840 --> 00:02:45.920 Objects of this size hit the Earth every 50 years or so. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:47.720 --> 00:02:49.576 66 million years ago, 00:02:49.600 --> 00:02:51.536 a much larger object hit the Earth, 00:02:51.560 --> 00:02:53.336 causing a massive extinction. 00:02:53.360 --> 00:02:56.576 75 percent of plant and animal species were lost, 00:02:56.600 --> 00:02:58.800 including, sadly, the dinosaurs. 00:02:59.320 --> 00:03:02.016 That object was about 10 kilometers across, 00:03:02.040 --> 00:03:06.216 and 10 kilometers is roughly the cruising altitude of a 747 jet. 00:03:06.240 --> 00:03:08.136 So the next time you're in an airplane, 00:03:08.160 --> 00:03:11.976 snag a window seat, look out and imagine a rock so enormous 00:03:12.000 --> 00:03:14.096 that resting on the ground, 00:03:14.120 --> 00:03:16.000 it just grazes your wingtip. 00:03:16.880 --> 00:03:21.157 It's so wide that it takes your plane one full minute to fly past it. 00:03:21.278 --> 00:03:23.678 That's the size of the asteroid that hit the Earth. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:24.518 --> 00:03:26.294 It has only been within my lifetime 00:03:26.318 --> 00:03:29.534 that asteroids have been considered a credible threat to our planet. 00:03:29.558 --> 00:03:32.134 And since then, there's been a focused effort underway 00:03:32.158 --> 00:03:33.998 to discover and catalog these objects. 00:03:35.238 --> 00:03:37.334 I am lucky enough to be part of this effort. 00:03:37.358 --> 00:03:41.014 I'm part of a team of scientists that use NASA's NEOWISE telescope. 00:03:41.038 --> 00:03:43.734 Now, NEOWISE was not designed to find asteroids. 00:03:43.758 --> 00:03:47.974 It was designed to orbit the earth and look far beyond our solar system 00:03:47.998 --> 00:03:51.414 to seek out the coldest stars and the most luminous galaxies. 00:03:51.438 --> 00:03:54.878 And it did that very well for its designed lifetime of seven months. 00:03:55.518 --> 00:03:58.774 But today, six years later, it's still going. 00:03:58.798 --> 00:04:01.534 We've repurposed it to discover and study asteroids. 00:04:01.558 --> 00:04:03.894 And although it's a wonderful little space robot, 00:04:03.918 --> 00:04:05.998 these days it's kind of like a used car. 00:04:06.518 --> 00:04:09.774 The cryogen that used to refrigerate its sensors is long gone, 00:04:09.798 --> 00:04:11.998 so we joke that its air-conditioning is broken. 00:04:12.478 --> 00:04:16.894 It's got 920 million miles on the odometer, 00:04:16.918 --> 00:04:18.174 but it still runs great 00:04:18.198 --> 00:04:21.774 and reliably takes a photograph of the sky every 11 seconds. 00:04:21.798 --> 00:04:24.638 It's taken 23 photos since I began speaking to you. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:26.118 --> 00:04:28.294 One of the reasons NEOWISE is so valuable 00:04:28.318 --> 00:04:30.934 is that it sees the sky in the thermal infrared. 00:04:30.958 --> 00:04:34.294 That means that instead of seeing the sunlight that asteroids reflect, 00:04:34.318 --> 00:04:36.134 NEOWISE sees the heat that they emit. 00:04:36.158 --> 00:04:39.894 This is a vital capability since some asteroids are as dark as coal 00:04:39.918 --> 00:04:43.374 and can be difficult or impossible to spot with other telescopes. 00:04:43.398 --> 00:04:46.478 But all asteroids, light or dark, shine brightly for NEOWISE. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:48.958 --> 00:04:51.734 Astronomers are using every technique at their disposal 00:04:51.758 --> 00:04:54.054 to discover and study asteroids. 00:04:54.078 --> 00:04:56.934 In 2010, a historic milestone was reached. 00:04:56.958 --> 00:05:01.014 The community, together, discovered over 90 percent of asteroids 00:05:01.038 --> 00:05:02.894 bigger than one kilometer across -- 00:05:02.918 --> 00:05:05.894 objects capable of massive destruction to Earth. 00:05:05.918 --> 00:05:07.494 But the job's not done yet. 00:05:07.518 --> 00:05:12.454 An object 140 meters or bigger could decimate a medium-sized country. 00:05:12.478 --> 00:05:15.678 So far, we've only found 25 percent of those. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:16.238 --> 00:05:19.654 We must keep searching the sky for near-Earth asteroids. 00:05:19.678 --> 00:05:22.414 We are the only species able to understand calculus 00:05:22.438 --> 00:05:24.094 or build telescopes. 00:05:24.118 --> 00:05:26.094 We know how to find these objects. 00:05:26.118 --> 00:05:28.254 This is our responsibility. 00:05:28.278 --> 00:05:32.054 If we found a hazardous asteroid with significant early warning, 00:05:32.078 --> 00:05:33.774 we could nudge it out of the way. 00:05:33.798 --> 00:05:36.854 Unlike earthquakes, hurricanes or volcanic eruptions, 00:05:36.878 --> 00:05:39.774 an asteroid impact can be precisely predicted 00:05:39.798 --> 00:05:41.254 and prevented. 00:05:41.278 --> 00:05:44.414 What we need to do now is map near-Earth space. 00:05:44.438 --> 00:05:46.294 We must keep searching the sky. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:46.318 --> 00:05:47.534 Thank you. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:47.558 --> 00:05:53.129 (Applause)