WEBVTT 00:00:00.431 --> 00:00:02.521 ♪ [music] ♪ 00:00:12.959 --> 00:00:16.711 [Alex] Rent controls are popular with renters all over the world 00:00:16.711 --> 00:00:21.771 because they appear to offer lower prices with few adverse consequences. 00:00:22.061 --> 00:00:25.292 In the long run, however, extensive rent controls 00:00:25.292 --> 00:00:28.401 can cause entire cities to crumble. 00:00:28.932 --> 00:00:32.411 You can see that today in Mumbai, India. 00:00:32.921 --> 00:00:35.835 All of the predicted consequences of rent control 00:00:35.835 --> 00:00:38.122 can be seen in Mumbai. 00:00:38.122 --> 00:00:40.513 There is a shortage of rental housing. 00:00:40.513 --> 00:00:44.522 Very, very little new rental housing is being constructed, 00:00:44.522 --> 00:00:50.702 and the stock of old rental housing is crumbling and falling apart. 00:00:51.230 --> 00:00:56.722 At rents of 500 to 600 rupees a month, maybe $10 a month, 00:00:56.722 --> 00:01:00.260 the landlords can't even afford to pay the taxes, 00:01:00.260 --> 00:01:03.351 let alone pay the maintenance and the upkeep. 00:01:04.241 --> 00:01:07.801 Rent controls began in Mumbai in 1949 00:01:07.801 --> 00:01:10.767 when rents were frozen at 1940 levels. 00:01:11.257 --> 00:01:16.480 And, amazingly, rents have barely increased since that time 00:01:16.480 --> 00:01:21.383 despite tremendous inflation and increased urbanization. 00:01:22.102 --> 00:01:25.773 To learn more, I spoke with Vaidehi Tandel, 00:01:25.783 --> 00:01:29.181 Reuben Abraham and Kshitij Batra 00:01:29.181 --> 00:01:33.040 from the IDFC Institute -- a think tank in Mumbai 00:01:33.040 --> 00:01:35.801 that works on issues of urban infrastructure. 00:01:36.098 --> 00:01:39.382 [Alex] They froze rents at 1940 levels? 00:01:39.382 --> 00:01:40.378 [Kshitij] They did. 00:01:40.378 --> 00:01:42.487 We hear of these stories where families are paying 00:01:42.487 --> 00:01:43.958 a few hundred rupees a month 00:01:43.958 --> 00:01:47.779 for a flat that would otherwise cost maybe a lakh of rupees a month. 00:01:48.647 --> 00:01:50.616 You're going to have to tell us what a lakh is. 00:01:50.616 --> 00:01:56.541 I'm sorry. So that would be about 100,000 rupees. 00:01:56.541 --> 00:02:00.070 Wow! So, they're paying 100 or 200, 300 rupees a month 00:02:00.070 --> 00:02:02.548 for something which is worth 100,000? 00:02:02.548 --> 00:02:04.897 Yeah. In this case, you have actually a lot of families 00:02:04.897 --> 00:02:06.756 that are perfectly well-to-do. 00:02:06.756 --> 00:02:11.397 But they've just been grandfathered into these rent-controlled flats 00:02:11.397 --> 00:02:13.717 and they've been living there for that time. 00:02:13.717 --> 00:02:14.944 These are massive properties. 00:02:14.944 --> 00:02:16.928 Some of these are massive, massive apartments. 00:02:17.293 --> 00:02:20.894 In India, tenant rights are very, very strong, 00:02:20.894 --> 00:02:25.161 and the court system is very, very slow. 00:02:25.645 --> 00:02:27.183 The owner of this building -- NOTE Paragraph 00:02:27.183 --> 00:02:29.724 which has long been under rent control -- 00:02:29.724 --> 00:02:32.755 has long tried to evict the tenants. 00:02:32.755 --> 00:02:37.713 In fact, the owner of this building has been involved in a lawsuit 00:02:37.713 --> 00:02:43.473 that was started by his grandfather 50 years ago. 00:02:43.473 --> 00:02:46.873 There's a remarkable sign from the owners. 00:02:46.873 --> 00:02:48.024 Take a look. 00:02:48.024 --> 00:02:51.486 "Portions of the said building are in ruinous condition, 00:02:51.486 --> 00:02:52.643 likely to fall, 00:02:52.643 --> 00:02:57.103 and dangerous to any person occupying or passing by the same." 00:02:57.523 --> 00:02:59.463 It's falling apart. 00:02:59.463 --> 00:03:01.704 It's beginning to crumble. 00:03:01.704 --> 00:03:07.663 Now, in part, that's a threat to try and get the tenants to leave. 00:03:07.663 --> 00:03:10.475 But it's an all-too-believable threat. 00:03:12.344 --> 00:03:15.239 [News presenter] Another deadly building collapsed in India. 00:03:15.239 --> 00:03:18.737 A five-story apartment building fell in Mumbai early Friday morning 00:03:18.737 --> 00:03:20.607 while people were fast asleep. 00:03:20.612 --> 00:03:24.142 It's unknown exactly how many people are still underneath the rubble. 00:03:24.142 --> 00:03:27.012 Rescuers have been digging for survivors all day long. 00:03:27.012 --> 00:03:30.292 [Vaidehi] There's really no incentives for them to maintain the existing stock 00:03:30.292 --> 00:03:34.152 and you see really bad deterioration of the buildings 00:03:34.152 --> 00:03:35.542 that are under rent controls. 00:03:35.542 --> 00:03:40.513 So, the government then had to go and create an assessed buildings policy 00:03:40.513 --> 00:03:44.983 which sort of looks after these buildings and pays for their maintenance. 00:03:44.983 --> 00:03:46.440 Assess as a special tax? 00:03:46.440 --> 00:03:51.431 Yes, for repairing and maintaining these very, very dilapidated 00:03:51.437 --> 00:03:53.716 and at-risk rent control buildings. 00:03:53.718 --> 00:03:56.558 So, does the government actually use the proceeds of the tax 00:03:56.558 --> 00:03:57.768 to fix the buildings? 00:03:57.768 --> 00:03:59.739 I'm not sure, actually. 00:04:00.862 --> 00:04:04.462 [Alex] There's another problem with rent controls in Mumbai. 00:04:04.462 --> 00:04:09.793 Rent controls encourage landlords to leave their properties vacant 00:04:09.793 --> 00:04:13.924 rather than renting them out and risking the possibility 00:04:13.924 --> 00:04:17.207 of having a tenant that they can't evict 00:04:17.207 --> 00:04:19.463 for the next half-century. 00:04:20.015 --> 00:04:22.916 It's no surprise that 15% 00:04:22.916 --> 00:04:25.937 of the housing stock in Mumbai lies vacant. 00:04:26.710 --> 00:04:29.638 [Kshitij] I think the census in 2011 -- 00:04:29.638 --> 00:04:31.799 that's a government survey -- 00:04:31.799 --> 00:04:34.765 found that around 11 million properties 00:04:34.765 --> 00:04:38.436 were lying vacant across urban India, which is a huge number, 00:04:38.436 --> 00:04:42.379 given that they themselves estimated that the housing shortfall is 18 million. 00:04:42.379 --> 00:04:44.657 [Alex] It's clear that abolishing rent controls 00:04:44.657 --> 00:04:46.507 would solve many of these problems. 00:04:46.507 --> 00:04:48.509 But are there other ways 00:04:48.509 --> 00:04:51.339 to get more affordable housing on the market? 00:04:51.759 --> 00:04:55.430 Can the government build more homes for the poor? 00:04:55.760 --> 00:04:57.930 [Reuben] I've been working on this particular issue 00:04:57.930 --> 00:05:01.987 for at least nine years now, and I have moved from calling it 00:05:01.987 --> 00:05:05.090 "affordable housing" to calling it "making housing affordable." 00:05:05.477 --> 00:05:08.490 Any housing that comes into the market will be captured 00:05:08.490 --> 00:05:12.518 by the rich or whoever have the means to capture it. 00:05:12.809 --> 00:05:16.087 So, therefore, I would argue that the real focus now 00:05:16.087 --> 00:05:18.948 should be on just increasing the supply of housing. 00:05:19.698 --> 00:05:21.877 Because if you don't increase the supply of housing, 00:05:21.877 --> 00:05:23.647 the rich will just keep capturing it. 00:05:23.647 --> 00:05:27.099 So, you will see numerous instances just in Mumbai itself 00:05:27.099 --> 00:05:31.109 of you look at an urban plan, and you see these plans 00:05:31.109 --> 00:05:35.209 for affordable housing, where four 1-bedroom apartments 00:05:35.209 --> 00:05:38.048 have effectively become one 4-bedroom apartment. 00:05:38.048 --> 00:05:42.020 So, you've literally grabbed from the poor and made hot condos for the rich. 00:05:42.020 --> 00:05:43.929 Anytime you have two prices on the market, 00:05:44.279 --> 00:05:46.016 the low price will sell to the high price, 00:05:46.496 --> 00:05:50.089 or there will be some market operator that will find a way 00:05:50.089 --> 00:05:51.450 to grab the lower price 00:05:51.450 --> 00:05:54.279 because there's a higher price that's actually available on the market. 00:05:54.279 --> 00:05:58.424 In effect, the slums look like poverty, 00:05:58.424 --> 00:06:00.695 when in fact it's actually a real estate problem 00:06:00.695 --> 00:06:04.363 because the cost of housing is just exorbitant 00:06:04.363 --> 00:06:08.265 at the sort of income levels that you have in a city like Mumbai. 00:06:08.265 --> 00:06:11.087 So, the slums are really the only free market housing. 00:06:11.087 --> 00:06:13.439 That's right, free-market housing and funnily enough, 00:06:13.439 --> 00:06:15.777 also the only form of rental housing that's available. 00:06:15.777 --> 00:06:18.692 Once you put in place a policy like that, 00:06:19.302 --> 00:06:22.841 you do not have an organized opposition to it. 00:06:22.841 --> 00:06:28.381 If you try to increase those rents, you'd have politically a backlash. 00:06:28.391 --> 00:06:32.058 So, people would say rent's already so high in Mumbai, 00:06:32.868 --> 00:06:37.219 why would you allow increase in rent controls? 00:06:37.219 --> 00:06:42.182 It's a policy that affects not just people who are living here 00:06:42.182 --> 00:06:43.453 but people who can't live here. 00:06:43.453 --> 00:06:46.421 People who don't live here but who want to move here. 00:06:46.421 --> 00:06:47.571 Right, right. 00:06:47.571 --> 00:06:50.211 So, they don't have a political base from which to act. 00:06:50.211 --> 00:06:52.051 Absolutely. That's absolutely right. 00:06:52.051 --> 00:06:53.201 Wow. 00:06:53.201 --> 00:06:55.931 [Alex] Rent controls are not the only problem. 00:06:56.351 --> 00:06:58.188 The approval process 00:06:58.188 --> 00:07:01.780 to build new housing in Mumbai is lengthy. 00:07:01.780 --> 00:07:05.919 In part, because builders are subject to numerous requirements, 00:07:05.919 --> 00:07:10.099 not just to do with safety issues but also on building heights, 00:07:10.099 --> 00:07:13.600 room sizes, and even parking requirements 00:07:13.600 --> 00:07:18.931 for apartments built for people who typically don't own cars. 00:07:19.473 --> 00:07:22.391 The single biggest problem would be approvals. 00:07:22.391 --> 00:07:23.762 The approval process -- 00:07:23.762 --> 00:07:27.109 it's longer here than in Europe or the United States? 00:07:27.109 --> 00:07:29.639 Far longer. Today, cost of capital in India 00:07:29.639 --> 00:07:31.882 is close to 15% if not more. 00:07:31.882 --> 00:07:36.412 At 15%, if my approvals process takes 24 months, 00:07:36.412 --> 00:07:39.263 don't be surprised that I will only be able to build condos. 00:07:39.263 --> 00:07:41.694 I will not be able to build anything cheaper than that 00:07:41.694 --> 00:07:43.692 because it's just pure mathematics. 00:07:43.692 --> 00:07:44.956 That's just how it works. 00:07:44.956 --> 00:07:46.853 As long as the cost of capital remains that high 00:07:46.853 --> 00:07:48.554 and the approvals process is this long, 00:07:48.554 --> 00:07:50.053 you will end up with condos. 00:07:50.053 --> 00:07:53.153 Companies that began with the explicit aim 00:07:53.153 --> 00:07:57.022 of building affordable housing -- raised a humungous amount 00:07:57.022 --> 00:08:00.123 of private equity planning to build 700,000 rupee homes -- 00:08:00.123 --> 00:08:02.465 are today building 5 million rupee homes 00:08:02.465 --> 00:08:07.314 because that's what the entire process of approvals does to them. 00:08:07.314 --> 00:08:10.314 That's the effective consequence of all these regulations 00:08:10.314 --> 00:08:13.783 which were really put in place in a well-meaning fashion, 00:08:13.783 --> 00:08:16.503 but have obviously -- you know the old line 00:08:16.503 --> 00:08:18.873 about the path to hell being paved with good intentions. 00:08:18.873 --> 00:08:21.080 This is a great example of that. 00:08:22.600 --> 00:08:24.929 [Narrator] You're on your way to mastering economics. 00:08:24.929 --> 00:08:27.924 Make sure this video sticks by taking a few practice questions. 00:08:28.306 --> 00:08:30.886 Or, if you're ready for more development economics, 00:08:30.886 --> 00:08:32.389 click on the next video. 00:08:32.834 --> 00:08:33.995 Still here? 00:08:33.995 --> 00:08:37.715 Check out Marginal Revolution University's other popular videos. 00:08:37.715 --> 00:08:39.995 ♪ [music] ♪