1 00:00:00,431 --> 00:00:02,521 ♪ [music] ♪ 2 00:00:12,959 --> 00:00:16,711 [Alex] Rent controls are popular with renters all over the world 3 00:00:16,711 --> 00:00:21,771 because they appear to offer lower prices with few adverse consequences. 4 00:00:22,061 --> 00:00:25,292 In the long run, however, extensive rent controls 5 00:00:25,292 --> 00:00:28,401 can cause entire cities to crumble. 6 00:00:28,932 --> 00:00:32,411 You can see that today in Mumbai, India. 7 00:00:32,921 --> 00:00:35,835 All of the predicted consequences of rent control 8 00:00:35,835 --> 00:00:38,122 can be seen in Mumbai. 9 00:00:38,122 --> 00:00:40,513 There is a shortage of rental housing. 10 00:00:40,513 --> 00:00:44,522 Very, very little new rental housing is being constructed, 11 00:00:44,522 --> 00:00:50,702 and the stock of old rental housing is crumbling and falling apart. 12 00:00:51,230 --> 00:00:56,722 At rents of 500 to 600 rupees a month, maybe $10 a month, 13 00:00:56,722 --> 00:01:00,260 the landlords can't even afford to pay the taxes, 14 00:01:00,260 --> 00:01:03,351 let alone pay the maintenance and the upkeep. 15 00:01:04,241 --> 00:01:07,801 Rent controls began in Mumbai in 1949 16 00:01:07,801 --> 00:01:10,767 when rents were frozen at 1940 levels. 17 00:01:11,257 --> 00:01:16,480 And, amazingly, rents have barely increased since that time 18 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:21,383 despite tremendous inflation and increased urbanization. 19 00:01:22,102 --> 00:01:25,773 To learn more, I spoke with Vaidehi Tandel, 20 00:01:25,783 --> 00:01:29,181 Reuben Abraham and Kshitij Batra 21 00:01:29,181 --> 00:01:33,040 from the IDFC Institute -- a think tank in Mumbai 22 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,801 that works on issues of urban infrastructure. 23 00:01:36,098 --> 00:01:39,382 [Alex] They froze rents at 1940 levels? 24 00:01:39,382 --> 00:01:40,378 [Kshitij] They did. 25 00:01:40,378 --> 00:01:42,487 We hear of these stories where families are paying 26 00:01:42,487 --> 00:01:43,958 a few hundred rupees a month 27 00:01:43,958 --> 00:01:47,779 for a flat that would otherwise cost maybe a lakh of rupees a month. 28 00:01:48,647 --> 00:01:50,616 You're going to have to tell us what a lakh is. 29 00:01:50,616 --> 00:01:56,541 I'm sorry. So that would be about 100,000 rupees. 30 00:01:56,541 --> 00:02:00,070 Wow! So, they're paying 100 or 200, 300 rupees a month 31 00:02:00,070 --> 00:02:02,548 for something which is worth 100,000? 32 00:02:02,548 --> 00:02:04,897 Yeah. In this case, you have actually a lot of families 33 00:02:04,897 --> 00:02:06,756 that are perfectly well-to-do. 34 00:02:06,756 --> 00:02:11,397 But they've just been grandfathered into these rent-controlled flats 35 00:02:11,397 --> 00:02:13,717 and they've been living there for that time. 36 00:02:13,717 --> 00:02:14,944 These are massive properties. 37 00:02:14,944 --> 00:02:16,928 Some of these are massive, massive apartments. 38 00:02:17,293 --> 00:02:20,894 In India, tenant rights are very, very strong, 39 00:02:20,894 --> 00:02:25,161 and the court system is very, very slow. 40 00:02:25,645 --> 00:02:27,183 The owner of this building -- 41 00:02:27,183 --> 00:02:29,724 which has long been under rent control -- 42 00:02:29,724 --> 00:02:32,755 has long tried to evict the tenants. 43 00:02:32,755 --> 00:02:37,713 In fact, the owner of this building has been involved in a lawsuit 44 00:02:37,713 --> 00:02:43,473 that was started by his grandfather 50 years ago. 45 00:02:43,473 --> 00:02:46,873 There's a remarkable sign from the owners. 46 00:02:46,873 --> 00:02:48,024 Take a look. 47 00:02:48,024 --> 00:02:51,486 "Portions of the said building are in ruinous condition, 48 00:02:51,486 --> 00:02:52,643 likely to fall, 49 00:02:52,643 --> 00:02:57,103 and dangerous to any person occupying or passing by the same." 50 00:02:57,523 --> 00:02:59,463 It's falling apart. 51 00:02:59,463 --> 00:03:01,704 It's beginning to crumble. 52 00:03:01,704 --> 00:03:07,663 Now, in part, that's a threat to try and get the tenants to leave. 53 00:03:07,663 --> 00:03:10,475 But it's an all-too-believable threat. 54 00:03:12,344 --> 00:03:15,239 [News presenter] Another deadly building collapsed in India. 55 00:03:15,239 --> 00:03:18,737 A five-story apartment building fell in Mumbai early Friday morning 56 00:03:18,737 --> 00:03:20,607 while people were fast asleep. 57 00:03:20,612 --> 00:03:24,142 It's unknown exactly how many people are still underneath the rubble. 58 00:03:24,142 --> 00:03:27,012 Rescuers have been digging for survivors all day long. 59 00:03:27,012 --> 00:03:30,292 [Vaidehi] There's really no incentives for them to maintain the existing stock 60 00:03:30,292 --> 00:03:34,152 and you see really bad deterioration of the buildings 61 00:03:34,152 --> 00:03:35,542 that are under rent controls. 62 00:03:35,542 --> 00:03:40,513 So, the government then had to go and create an assessed buildings policy 63 00:03:40,513 --> 00:03:44,983 which sort of looks after these buildings and pays for their maintenance. 64 00:03:44,983 --> 00:03:46,440 Assess as a special tax? 65 00:03:46,440 --> 00:03:51,431 Yes, for repairing and maintaining these very, very dilapidated 66 00:03:51,437 --> 00:03:53,716 and at-risk rent control buildings. 67 00:03:53,718 --> 00:03:56,558 So, does the government actually use the proceeds of the tax 68 00:03:56,558 --> 00:03:57,768 to fix the buildings? 69 00:03:57,768 --> 00:03:59,739 I'm not sure, actually. 70 00:04:00,862 --> 00:04:04,462 [Alex] There's another problem with rent controls in Mumbai. 71 00:04:04,462 --> 00:04:09,793 Rent controls encourage landlords to leave their properties vacant 72 00:04:09,793 --> 00:04:13,924 rather than renting them out and risking the possibility 73 00:04:13,924 --> 00:04:17,207 of having a tenant that they can't evict 74 00:04:17,207 --> 00:04:19,463 for the next half-century. 75 00:04:20,015 --> 00:04:22,916 It's no surprise that 15% 76 00:04:22,916 --> 00:04:25,937 of the housing stock in Mumbai lies vacant. 77 00:04:26,710 --> 00:04:29,638 [Kshitij] I think the census in 2011 -- 78 00:04:29,638 --> 00:04:31,799 that's a government survey -- 79 00:04:31,799 --> 00:04:34,765 found that around 11 million properties 80 00:04:34,765 --> 00:04:38,436 were lying vacant across urban India, which is a huge number, 81 00:04:38,436 --> 00:04:42,379 given that they themselves estimated that the housing shortfall is 18 million. 82 00:04:42,379 --> 00:04:44,657 [Alex] It's clear that abolishing rent controls 83 00:04:44,657 --> 00:04:46,507 would solve many of these problems. 84 00:04:46,507 --> 00:04:48,509 But are there other ways 85 00:04:48,509 --> 00:04:51,339 to get more affordable housing on the market? 86 00:04:51,759 --> 00:04:55,430 Can the government build more homes for the poor? 87 00:04:55,760 --> 00:04:57,930 [Reuben] I've been working on this particular issue 88 00:04:57,930 --> 00:05:01,987 for at least nine years now, and I have moved from calling it 89 00:05:01,987 --> 00:05:05,090 "affordable housing" to calling it "making housing affordable." 90 00:05:05,477 --> 00:05:08,490 Any housing that comes into the market will be captured 91 00:05:08,490 --> 00:05:12,518 by the rich or whoever have the means to capture it. 92 00:05:12,809 --> 00:05:16,087 So, therefore, I would argue that the real focus now 93 00:05:16,087 --> 00:05:18,948 should be on just increasing the supply of housing. 94 00:05:19,698 --> 00:05:21,877 Because if you don't increase the supply of housing, 95 00:05:21,877 --> 00:05:23,647 the rich will just keep capturing it. 96 00:05:23,647 --> 00:05:27,099 So, you will see numerous instances just in Mumbai itself 97 00:05:27,099 --> 00:05:31,109 of you look at an urban plan, and you see these plans 98 00:05:31,109 --> 00:05:35,209 for affordable housing, where four 1-bedroom apartments 99 00:05:35,209 --> 00:05:38,048 have effectively become one 4-bedroom apartment. 100 00:05:38,048 --> 00:05:42,020 So, you've literally grabbed from the poor and made hot condos for the rich. 101 00:05:42,020 --> 00:05:43,929 Anytime you have two prices on the market, 102 00:05:44,279 --> 00:05:46,016 the low price will sell to the high price, 103 00:05:46,496 --> 00:05:50,089 or there will be some market operator that will find a way 104 00:05:50,089 --> 00:05:51,450 to grab the lower price 105 00:05:51,450 --> 00:05:54,279 because there's a higher price that's actually available on the market. 106 00:05:54,279 --> 00:05:58,424 In effect, the slums look like poverty, 107 00:05:58,424 --> 00:06:00,695 when in fact it's actually a real estate problem 108 00:06:00,695 --> 00:06:04,363 because the cost of housing is just exorbitant 109 00:06:04,363 --> 00:06:08,265 at the sort of income levels that you have in a city like Mumbai. 110 00:06:08,265 --> 00:06:11,087 So, the slums are really the only free market housing. 111 00:06:11,087 --> 00:06:13,439 That's right, free-market housing and funnily enough, 112 00:06:13,439 --> 00:06:15,777 also the only form of rental housing that's available. 113 00:06:15,777 --> 00:06:18,692 Once you put in place a policy like that, 114 00:06:19,302 --> 00:06:22,841 you do not have an organized opposition to it. 115 00:06:22,841 --> 00:06:28,381 If you try to increase those rents, you'd have politically a backlash. 116 00:06:28,391 --> 00:06:32,058 So, people would say rent's already so high in Mumbai, 117 00:06:32,868 --> 00:06:37,219 why would you allow increase in rent controls? 118 00:06:37,219 --> 00:06:42,182 It's a policy that affects not just people who are living here 119 00:06:42,182 --> 00:06:43,453 but people who can't live here. 120 00:06:43,453 --> 00:06:46,421 People who don't live here but who want to move here. 121 00:06:46,421 --> 00:06:47,571 Right, right. 122 00:06:47,571 --> 00:06:50,211 So, they don't have a political base from which to act. 123 00:06:50,211 --> 00:06:52,051 Absolutely. That's absolutely right. 124 00:06:52,051 --> 00:06:53,201 Wow. 125 00:06:53,201 --> 00:06:55,931 [Alex] Rent controls are not the only problem. 126 00:06:56,351 --> 00:06:58,188 The approval process 127 00:06:58,188 --> 00:07:01,780 to build new housing in Mumbai is lengthy. 128 00:07:01,780 --> 00:07:05,919 In part, because builders are subject to numerous requirements, 129 00:07:05,919 --> 00:07:10,099 not just to do with safety issues but also on building heights, 130 00:07:10,099 --> 00:07:13,600 room sizes, and even parking requirements 131 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:18,931 for apartments built for people who typically don't own cars. 132 00:07:19,473 --> 00:07:22,391 The single biggest problem would be approvals. 133 00:07:22,391 --> 00:07:23,762 The approval process -- 134 00:07:23,762 --> 00:07:27,109 it's longer here than in Europe or the United States? 135 00:07:27,109 --> 00:07:29,639 Far longer. Today, cost of capital in India 136 00:07:29,639 --> 00:07:31,882 is close to 15% if not more. 137 00:07:31,882 --> 00:07:36,412 At 15%, if my approvals process takes 24 months, 138 00:07:36,412 --> 00:07:39,263 don't be surprised that I will only be able to build condos. 139 00:07:39,263 --> 00:07:41,694 I will not be able to build anything cheaper than that 140 00:07:41,694 --> 00:07:43,692 because it's just pure mathematics. 141 00:07:43,692 --> 00:07:44,956 That's just how it works. 142 00:07:44,956 --> 00:07:46,853 As long as the cost of capital remains that high 143 00:07:46,853 --> 00:07:48,554 and the approvals process is this long, 144 00:07:48,554 --> 00:07:50,053 you will end up with condos. 145 00:07:50,053 --> 00:07:53,153 Companies that began with the explicit aim 146 00:07:53,153 --> 00:07:57,022 of building affordable housing -- raised a humungous amount 147 00:07:57,022 --> 00:08:00,123 of private equity planning to build 700,000 rupee homes -- 148 00:08:00,123 --> 00:08:02,465 are today building 5 million rupee homes 149 00:08:02,465 --> 00:08:07,314 because that's what the entire process of approvals does to them. 150 00:08:07,314 --> 00:08:10,314 That's the effective consequence of all these regulations 151 00:08:10,314 --> 00:08:13,783 which were really put in place in a well-meaning fashion, 152 00:08:13,783 --> 00:08:16,503 but have obviously -- you know the old line 153 00:08:16,503 --> 00:08:18,873 about the path to hell being paved with good intentions. 154 00:08:18,873 --> 00:08:21,080 This is a great example of that. 155 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:24,929 [Narrator] You're on your way to mastering economics. 156 00:08:24,929 --> 00:08:27,924 Make sure this video sticks by taking a few practice questions. 157 00:08:28,306 --> 00:08:30,886 Or, if you're ready for more development economics, 158 00:08:30,886 --> 00:08:32,389 click on the next video. 159 00:08:32,834 --> 00:08:33,995 Still here? 160 00:08:33,995 --> 00:08:37,715 Check out Marginal Revolution University's other popular videos. 161 00:08:37,715 --> 00:08:39,995 ♪ [music] ♪