WEBVTT 00:00:00.933 --> 00:00:02.533 So in 2011, 00:00:02.557 --> 00:00:04.717 someone broke into my sister's office 00:00:04.741 --> 00:00:07.635 at the university where she teaches in Nigeria. 00:00:08.277 --> 00:00:12.522 Now thankfully, the person was caught, arrested and charged to court. 00:00:13.182 --> 00:00:14.863 When I get into court, 00:00:14.887 --> 00:00:18.268 the clerks who were assigned to my sister's case informed her 00:00:18.292 --> 00:00:20.759 that they wouldn't be able to process the paperwork 00:00:20.783 --> 00:00:22.429 unless she paid a bribe. 00:00:23.035 --> 00:00:26.324 Now, at first she thought it was part of a practical joke. 00:00:26.348 --> 00:00:28.716 But then she realized they were serious. 00:00:28.740 --> 00:00:30.629 And then she became furious. 00:00:30.653 --> 00:00:35.741 I mean, think about it: here she was, the recent victim of a crime, 00:00:35.765 --> 00:00:38.737 with the very people who were supposed to help her, 00:00:38.761 --> 00:00:41.131 and they were demanding a bribe from her. 00:00:41.906 --> 00:00:44.090 That's just one of the many ways 00:00:44.114 --> 00:00:47.532 that corruption impacts millions of people in my country. NOTE Paragraph 00:00:48.252 --> 00:00:50.049 You know, growing up in Nigeria, 00:00:50.073 --> 00:00:53.646 corruption permeated virtually every element of the society. 00:00:54.182 --> 00:00:58.701 Reports of politicians embezzling millions of dollars were common. 00:00:59.463 --> 00:01:02.011 Police officers stealing money 00:01:02.035 --> 00:01:05.573 or extorting money from everyday hardworking citizens 00:01:05.597 --> 00:01:07.195 was routine practice. 00:01:08.214 --> 00:01:11.950 I felt that development could never actually happen, 00:01:11.974 --> 00:01:14.261 so long as corruption persisted. 00:01:15.279 --> 00:01:16.940 But over the past several years, 00:01:16.964 --> 00:01:20.412 in my research on innovation and prosperity, 00:01:20.436 --> 00:01:25.149 I've learned that corruption is actually not the problem hindering our development. 00:01:25.794 --> 00:01:26.945 In fact, 00:01:26.969 --> 00:01:30.860 conventional thinking on corruption and its relationship to development 00:01:30.884 --> 00:01:35.965 is not only wrong, but it's holding many poor countries backwards. NOTE Paragraph 00:01:36.827 --> 00:01:38.730 So, the thinking goes like this: 00:01:38.754 --> 00:01:41.056 in a society that's poor and corrupt, 00:01:41.080 --> 00:01:45.473 our best shot at reducing corruption is to create good laws, 00:01:45.497 --> 00:01:47.020 enforce them well, 00:01:47.044 --> 00:01:50.940 and this will make way for development and innovation to flourish. 00:01:51.631 --> 00:01:53.123 Now, it makes sense on paper, 00:01:53.147 --> 00:01:56.319 which is why many governments and development organizations 00:01:56.343 --> 00:01:59.068 invest billions of dollars annually 00:01:59.092 --> 00:02:02.736 on institutional reform and anti-corruption programs. 00:02:03.354 --> 00:02:06.571 But many of these programs fail to reduce corruption, 00:02:06.595 --> 00:02:08.900 because we have the equation backwards. 00:02:09.729 --> 00:02:14.221 You see, societies don't develop because they've reduced corruption. 00:02:14.965 --> 00:02:19.360 They're able to reduce corruption because they've developed. 00:02:20.034 --> 00:02:23.840 And societies develop through investments in innovation. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:25.156 --> 00:02:27.266 Now, at first, I thought this was impossible. 00:02:27.290 --> 00:02:29.078 Why would anyone in their right mind 00:02:29.102 --> 00:02:32.535 invest in a society where, at least on the surface, 00:02:32.559 --> 00:02:35.070 it seems a terrible place to do business? 00:02:35.094 --> 00:02:38.042 You know, a society where politicians are corrupt 00:02:38.066 --> 00:02:39.656 and consumers are poor? 00:02:40.390 --> 00:02:42.085 But then, the more I learned about 00:02:42.109 --> 00:02:45.536 the relationship between innovation and corruption, 00:02:45.560 --> 00:02:47.879 the more I started to see things differently. NOTE Paragraph 00:02:49.073 --> 00:02:52.048 Here's how this played out in sub-Saharan Africa 00:02:52.072 --> 00:02:55.286 as the region developed its telecommunications industry. 00:02:56.096 --> 00:02:57.509 In the late 1990s, 00:02:57.533 --> 00:03:01.676 fewer than five percent of people in sub-Saharan Africa had phones. 00:03:01.700 --> 00:03:06.632 In Nigeria, for example, the country had more than 110 million people 00:03:06.656 --> 00:03:10.060 but fewer than half a million phones in the whole nation. 00:03:10.084 --> 00:03:14.017 Now, this scarcity fueled widespread corruption in the industry. 00:03:14.600 --> 00:03:17.976 I mean, public officials who worked for the state-owned phone companies 00:03:18.000 --> 00:03:20.434 demanded bribes from people who wanted phones. 00:03:20.918 --> 00:03:23.653 And because most people couldn't afford to pay the bribes, 00:03:23.677 --> 00:03:26.409 phones were only available to those who were wealthy. NOTE Paragraph 00:03:27.314 --> 00:03:29.668 Then an entrepreneur named Mo Ibrahim 00:03:29.692 --> 00:03:32.986 decided that he would set up a telecommunications company 00:03:33.010 --> 00:03:34.197 on the continent. 00:03:34.721 --> 00:03:38.903 Now, when he told his colleagues about his idea, they just laughed at him. 00:03:38.927 --> 00:03:40.736 But Mo Ibrahim was undeterred. 00:03:40.760 --> 00:03:44.164 And so in 1998, he set up Celtel. 00:03:45.116 --> 00:03:48.500 The company provided affordable mobile phones and cell service 00:03:48.524 --> 00:03:50.200 to millions of Africans, 00:03:50.224 --> 00:03:53.815 in some of the poorest and most corrupt countries in the region -- 00:03:53.839 --> 00:03:56.665 I mean countries such as Congo, Malawi, 00:03:56.689 --> 00:03:59.448 Sierra Leone and Uganda. 00:04:00.401 --> 00:04:03.847 You see, in our research, we call what Mo Ibrahim built 00:04:03.871 --> 00:04:06.493 a "market-creating innovation." 00:04:07.208 --> 00:04:12.131 Market-creating innovations transform complicated and expensive products 00:04:12.155 --> 00:04:14.295 into products that are simple and affordable, 00:04:14.319 --> 00:04:18.093 so that many more people in society could access them. 00:04:18.775 --> 00:04:20.891 Now in this case, phones were expensive 00:04:20.915 --> 00:04:23.739 before Celtel made them much more affordable. NOTE Paragraph 00:04:24.855 --> 00:04:27.860 As other investors -- some of his colleagues, actually -- 00:04:27.884 --> 00:04:31.673 saw that it was possible to create a successful mobile phone company 00:04:31.697 --> 00:04:33.012 on the continent, 00:04:33.036 --> 00:04:36.350 they flooded in with billions of dollars of investments. 00:04:36.374 --> 00:04:39.362 And this led to significant growth in the industry. 00:04:40.187 --> 00:04:42.593 From barely nothing in 2000, 00:04:42.617 --> 00:04:45.407 today, virtually every African country now has 00:04:45.431 --> 00:04:48.153 a vibrant mobile telecommunications industry. 00:04:48.756 --> 00:04:53.222 The sector now supports close to one billion phone connections, 00:04:53.246 --> 00:04:56.453 it has created nearly four million jobs 00:04:56.477 --> 00:05:00.978 and generates billions of dollars in taxes every year. 00:05:01.002 --> 00:05:05.136 These are taxes that governments can now reinvest into the economy 00:05:05.160 --> 00:05:07.285 to build their institutions. 00:05:08.114 --> 00:05:09.632 And here's the thing: 00:05:09.656 --> 00:05:12.792 because most people no longer have to bribe public officials 00:05:12.816 --> 00:05:14.310 just to get a phone, 00:05:14.334 --> 00:05:18.874 corruption -- at least within this industry -- has reduced. 00:05:20.469 --> 00:05:23.707 Now, if Mo Ibrahim had waited for corruption to be fixed 00:05:23.731 --> 00:05:27.080 in all of sub-Saharan Africa before he invested, 00:05:27.104 --> 00:05:28.987 he would still be waiting today. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:29.858 --> 00:05:34.443 You know, most people who engage in corruption know they shouldn't. 00:05:34.889 --> 00:05:38.482 I mean, the public officials who were demanding bribes from people 00:05:38.506 --> 00:05:39.657 to get phones 00:05:39.681 --> 00:05:41.736 and the people who were paying the bribes -- 00:05:41.760 --> 00:05:43.551 they knew they were breaking the law. 00:05:43.575 --> 00:05:45.091 But they did it anyways. 00:05:45.638 --> 00:05:47.404 The question is: Why? 00:05:47.967 --> 00:05:49.322 The answer? 00:05:49.346 --> 00:05:50.638 Scarcity. NOTE Paragraph 00:05:52.128 --> 00:05:54.748 See, whenever people would benefit from gaining access 00:05:54.772 --> 00:05:56.285 to something that scarce, 00:05:56.309 --> 00:05:58.666 this makes corruption attractive. 00:05:59.642 --> 00:06:03.668 You know, in poor countries, we complain a lot about corrupt politicians 00:06:03.692 --> 00:06:05.189 who embezzle state funds. 00:06:05.213 --> 00:06:09.143 But in many of those countries, economic opportunity is scarce, 00:06:09.167 --> 00:06:12.878 and so corruption becomes an attractive way to gain wealth. 00:06:13.986 --> 00:06:17.472 We also complain about civil servants like police officers, 00:06:17.496 --> 00:06:21.027 who extort money from everyday hardworking citizens. 00:06:21.860 --> 00:06:24.691 But most civil servants are grossly underpaid 00:06:24.715 --> 00:06:26.706 and are leading desperate lives. 00:06:26.730 --> 00:06:33.201 And so for them, extortion or corruption is a good way to make a living. NOTE Paragraph 00:06:34.241 --> 00:06:38.435 You know, this phenomenon also plays itself out in wealthy countries as well. 00:06:39.720 --> 00:06:42.517 When rich parents bribe university officials -- NOTE Paragraph 00:06:42.541 --> 00:06:47.196 (Laughter) NOTE Paragraph 00:06:47.220 --> 00:06:50.128 When rich parents bribe university officials 00:06:50.152 --> 00:06:54.874 so their children can gain admission into elite colleges, 00:06:54.898 --> 00:06:57.177 the circumstance is different, 00:06:57.201 --> 00:06:58.911 but the principle is the same. 00:06:59.360 --> 00:07:02.254 I mean, admission into elite colleges is scarce, 00:07:02.278 --> 00:07:05.446 and so bribery becomes attractive. NOTE Paragraph 00:07:07.938 --> 00:07:09.116 The thing is, 00:07:09.140 --> 00:07:13.172 I'm not trying to say there shouldn't be things that are scarce in society 00:07:13.196 --> 00:07:14.736 or things that are selective. 00:07:15.435 --> 00:07:17.110 What I'm just trying to explain 00:07:17.134 --> 00:07:20.891 is this relationship between corruption and scarcity. 00:07:21.424 --> 00:07:26.324 And in most poor countries, way too many basic things are scarce. 00:07:26.348 --> 00:07:27.990 I mean things like food, 00:07:28.014 --> 00:07:29.383 education, 00:07:29.407 --> 00:07:30.692 health care, 00:07:30.716 --> 00:07:32.265 economic opportunity, 00:07:32.289 --> 00:07:33.517 jobs. 00:07:34.522 --> 00:07:38.677 This creates the perfect breeding ground for corruption to thrive. 00:07:39.884 --> 00:07:43.088 Now, in no way does this excuse corrupt behavior. 00:07:43.112 --> 00:07:45.998 It just helps us understand it a bit better. 00:07:46.672 --> 00:07:50.493 Investing in businesses that make things affordable 00:07:50.517 --> 00:07:52.999 and accessible to so many more people 00:07:53.023 --> 00:07:54.740 attacks this scarcity 00:07:54.764 --> 00:07:59.297 and creates the revenues for governments to reinvest in their economies. NOTE Paragraph 00:07:59.992 --> 00:08:03.128 Now, when this happens on a countrywide level, 00:08:03.152 --> 00:08:05.335 it can revolutionize nations. 00:08:06.284 --> 00:08:08.703 Consider the impact in South Korea. 00:08:09.822 --> 00:08:11.302 Now, in the 1950s, 00:08:11.326 --> 00:08:14.864 South Korea was a desperately poor country, 00:08:14.888 --> 00:08:16.557 and it was very corrupt. 00:08:17.513 --> 00:08:20.675 The country was ruled by an authoritarian government 00:08:20.699 --> 00:08:23.496 and engaged in bribery and embezzlement. 00:08:23.858 --> 00:08:29.526 In fact, economists at the time said South Korea was trapped in poverty, 00:08:29.550 --> 00:08:33.153 and they referred to it as "an economic basket case." 00:08:34.240 --> 00:08:36.430 When you looked at South Korea's institutions, 00:08:36.454 --> 00:08:38.015 even as late as the 1980s, 00:08:38.039 --> 00:08:41.939 they were on par with some of the poorest and most corrupt African countries 00:08:41.963 --> 00:08:43.210 at the time. 00:08:43.938 --> 00:08:48.669 But as companies like Samsung, Kia, Hyundai 00:08:48.693 --> 00:08:52.425 invested in innovations that made things much more affordable 00:08:52.449 --> 00:08:54.633 for so many more people, 00:08:54.657 --> 00:08:57.273 South Korea ultimately became prosperous. NOTE Paragraph 00:08:57.925 --> 00:09:00.682 As the country grew prosperous, 00:09:00.706 --> 00:09:03.784 it was able to transition from an authoritarian government 00:09:03.808 --> 00:09:06.009 to a democratic government 00:09:06.033 --> 00:09:10.429 and has been able to reinvest in building its institutions. 00:09:10.453 --> 00:09:12.688 And this has paid off tremendously. 00:09:13.698 --> 00:09:15.660 For instance, in 2018, 00:09:15.684 --> 00:09:19.640 South Korea's president was sentenced to 25 years in prison 00:09:19.664 --> 00:09:21.643 on corruption-related charges. 00:09:22.259 --> 00:09:26.320 This could never have happened decades ago when the country was poor 00:09:26.344 --> 00:09:29.138 and ruled by an authoritarian government. 00:09:30.450 --> 00:09:35.095 In fact, as we looked at most prosperous countries today, what we found was, 00:09:35.119 --> 00:09:39.172 they were able to reduce corruption as they became prosperous -- 00:09:39.196 --> 00:09:40.695 not before. NOTE Paragraph 00:09:41.910 --> 00:09:43.580 And so where does that leave us? 00:09:44.673 --> 00:09:48.815 I know it may sound like I'm saying we should just ignore corruption. 00:09:49.259 --> 00:09:51.031 That's not what I'm saying at all. 00:09:51.850 --> 00:09:53.370 What I'm suggesting, though, 00:09:53.394 --> 00:09:58.171 is that corruption, especially for most people in poor countries, 00:09:58.195 --> 00:09:59.490 is a work-around. 00:10:00.196 --> 00:10:01.347 It's a utility 00:10:01.371 --> 00:10:04.946 in a place where there are fewer better options to solve a problem. 00:10:05.770 --> 00:10:09.356 Investing in innovations that make products much more affordable 00:10:09.380 --> 00:10:11.139 for many people 00:10:11.163 --> 00:10:13.376 not only attacks this scarcity 00:10:13.400 --> 00:10:16.117 but it creates a sustainable source of revenue 00:10:16.141 --> 00:10:19.369 for governments to reinvest into the economies 00:10:19.393 --> 00:10:21.912 to strengthen their institutions. 00:10:22.497 --> 00:10:26.215 This is the critical missing piece in the economic development puzzle 00:10:26.239 --> 00:10:29.561 that will ultimately help us reduce corruption. NOTE Paragraph 00:10:31.013 --> 00:10:33.564 You know, I lost hope in Nigeria when I was 16. 00:10:34.405 --> 00:10:37.356 And in some ways, the country has actually gotten worse. 00:10:38.105 --> 00:10:42.280 In addition to widespread poverty and endemic corruption, 00:10:42.304 --> 00:10:45.189 Nigeria now actually deals with terrorist organizations 00:10:45.213 --> 00:10:46.915 like Boko Haram. 00:10:47.788 --> 00:10:51.278 But somehow, I am more hopeful about Nigeria today 00:10:51.302 --> 00:10:53.009 than I have ever been before. 00:10:53.474 --> 00:10:57.336 When I see organizations investing in innovations 00:10:57.360 --> 00:10:59.671 that are creating jobs for people 00:10:59.695 --> 00:11:01.813 and making things affordable -- 00:11:01.837 --> 00:11:04.849 I mean organizations like Lifestores Pharmacy, 00:11:04.873 --> 00:11:09.253 making drugs and pharmaceuticals more affordable for people; 00:11:09.277 --> 00:11:11.413 or Metro Africa Xpress, 00:11:11.437 --> 00:11:16.451 tackling the scarcity of distribution and logistics for many small businesses; 00:11:16.475 --> 00:11:21.602 or Andela, creating economic opportunity for software developers -- 00:11:21.626 --> 00:11:24.372 I am optimistic about the future. 00:11:24.396 --> 00:11:26.125 I hope you will be, too. NOTE Paragraph 00:11:26.149 --> 00:11:27.337 Thank you. NOTE Paragraph 00:11:27.361 --> 00:11:32.285 (Applause)