1 00:00:00,933 --> 00:00:02,533 So in 2011, 2 00:00:02,557 --> 00:00:04,717 someone broke into my sister's office 3 00:00:04,741 --> 00:00:07,635 at the university where she teaches in Nigeria. 4 00:00:08,277 --> 00:00:12,522 Now thankfully, the person was caught, arrested and charged to court. 5 00:00:13,182 --> 00:00:14,863 When I get into court, 6 00:00:14,887 --> 00:00:18,268 the clerks who were assigned to my sister's case informed her 7 00:00:18,292 --> 00:00:20,759 that they wouldn't be able to process the paperwork 8 00:00:20,783 --> 00:00:22,429 unless she paid a bribe. 9 00:00:23,035 --> 00:00:26,324 Now, at first she thought it was part of a practical joke. 10 00:00:26,348 --> 00:00:28,716 But then she realized they were serious. 11 00:00:28,740 --> 00:00:30,629 And then she became furious. 12 00:00:30,653 --> 00:00:35,741 I mean, think about it: here she was, the recent victim of a crime, 13 00:00:35,765 --> 00:00:38,737 with the very people who were supposed to help her, 14 00:00:38,761 --> 00:00:41,131 and they were demanding a bribe from her. 15 00:00:41,906 --> 00:00:44,090 That's just one of the many ways 16 00:00:44,114 --> 00:00:47,532 that corruption impacts millions of people in my country. 17 00:00:48,252 --> 00:00:50,049 You know, growing up in Nigeria, 18 00:00:50,073 --> 00:00:53,646 corruption permeated virtually every element of the society. 19 00:00:54,182 --> 00:00:58,701 Reports of politicians embezzling millions of dollars were common. 20 00:00:59,463 --> 00:01:02,011 Police officers stealing money 21 00:01:02,035 --> 00:01:05,573 or extorting money from everyday hardworking citizens 22 00:01:05,597 --> 00:01:07,195 was routine practice. 23 00:01:08,214 --> 00:01:11,950 I felt that development could never actually happen, 24 00:01:11,974 --> 00:01:14,261 so long as corruption persisted. 25 00:01:15,279 --> 00:01:16,940 But over the past several years, 26 00:01:16,964 --> 00:01:20,412 in my research on innovation and prosperity, 27 00:01:20,436 --> 00:01:25,149 I've learned that corruption is actually not the problem hindering our development. 28 00:01:25,794 --> 00:01:26,945 In fact, 29 00:01:26,969 --> 00:01:30,860 conventional thinking on corruption and its relationship to development 30 00:01:30,884 --> 00:01:35,965 is not only wrong, but it's holding many poor countries backwards. 31 00:01:36,827 --> 00:01:38,730 So, the thinking goes like this: 32 00:01:38,754 --> 00:01:41,056 in a society that's poor and corrupt, 33 00:01:41,080 --> 00:01:45,473 our best shot at reducing corruption is to create good laws, 34 00:01:45,497 --> 00:01:47,020 enforce them well, 35 00:01:47,044 --> 00:01:50,940 and this will make way for development and innovation to flourish. 36 00:01:51,631 --> 00:01:53,123 Now, it makes sense on paper, 37 00:01:53,147 --> 00:01:56,319 which is why many governments and development organizations 38 00:01:56,343 --> 00:01:59,068 invest billions of dollars annually 39 00:01:59,092 --> 00:02:02,736 on institutional reform and anti-corruption programs. 40 00:02:03,354 --> 00:02:06,571 But many of these programs fail to reduce corruption, 41 00:02:06,595 --> 00:02:08,900 because we have the equation backwards. 42 00:02:09,729 --> 00:02:14,221 You see, societies don't develop because they've reduced corruption. 43 00:02:14,965 --> 00:02:19,360 They're able to reduce corruption because they've developed. 44 00:02:20,034 --> 00:02:23,840 And societies develop through investments in innovation. 45 00:02:25,156 --> 00:02:27,266 Now, at first, I thought this was impossible. 46 00:02:27,290 --> 00:02:29,078 Why would anyone in their right mind 47 00:02:29,102 --> 00:02:32,535 invest in a society where, at least on the surface, 48 00:02:32,559 --> 00:02:35,070 it seems a terrible place to do business? 49 00:02:35,094 --> 00:02:38,042 You know, a society where politicians are corrupt 50 00:02:38,066 --> 00:02:39,656 and consumers are poor? 51 00:02:40,390 --> 00:02:42,085 But then, the more I learned about 52 00:02:42,109 --> 00:02:45,536 the relationship between innovation and corruption, 53 00:02:45,560 --> 00:02:47,879 the more I started to see things differently. 54 00:02:49,073 --> 00:02:52,048 Here's how this played out in sub-Saharan Africa 55 00:02:52,072 --> 00:02:55,286 as the region developed its telecommunications industry. 56 00:02:56,096 --> 00:02:57,509 In the late 1990s, 57 00:02:57,533 --> 00:03:01,676 fewer than five percent of people in sub-Saharan Africa had phones. 58 00:03:01,700 --> 00:03:06,632 In Nigeria, for example, the country had more than 110 million people 59 00:03:06,656 --> 00:03:10,060 but fewer than half a million phones in the whole nation. 60 00:03:10,084 --> 00:03:14,017 Now, this scarcity fueled widespread corruption in the industry. 61 00:03:14,600 --> 00:03:17,976 I mean, public officials who worked for the state-owned phone companies 62 00:03:18,000 --> 00:03:20,434 demanded bribes from people who wanted phones. 63 00:03:20,918 --> 00:03:23,653 And because most people couldn't afford to pay the bribes, 64 00:03:23,677 --> 00:03:26,409 phones were only available to those who were wealthy. 65 00:03:27,314 --> 00:03:29,668 Then an entrepreneur named Mo Ibrahim 66 00:03:29,692 --> 00:03:32,986 decided that he would set up a telecommunications company 67 00:03:33,010 --> 00:03:34,197 on the continent. 68 00:03:34,721 --> 00:03:38,903 Now, when he told his colleagues about his idea, they just laughed at him. 69 00:03:38,927 --> 00:03:40,736 But Mo Ibrahim was undeterred. 70 00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:44,164 And so in 1998, he set up Celtel. 71 00:03:45,116 --> 00:03:48,500 The company provided affordable mobile phones and cell service 72 00:03:48,524 --> 00:03:50,200 to millions of Africans, 73 00:03:50,224 --> 00:03:53,815 in some of the poorest and most corrupt countries in the region -- 74 00:03:53,839 --> 00:03:56,665 I mean countries such as Congo, Malawi, 75 00:03:56,689 --> 00:03:59,448 Sierra Leone and Uganda. 76 00:04:00,401 --> 00:04:03,847 You see, in our research, we call what Mo Ibrahim built 77 00:04:03,871 --> 00:04:06,493 a "market-creating innovation." 78 00:04:07,208 --> 00:04:12,131 Market-creating innovations transform complicated and expensive products 79 00:04:12,155 --> 00:04:14,295 into products that are simple and affordable, 80 00:04:14,319 --> 00:04:18,093 so that many more people in society could access them. 81 00:04:18,775 --> 00:04:20,891 Now in this case, phones were expensive 82 00:04:20,915 --> 00:04:23,739 before Celtel made them much more affordable. 83 00:04:24,855 --> 00:04:27,860 As other investors -- some of his colleagues, actually -- 84 00:04:27,884 --> 00:04:31,673 saw that it was possible to create a successful mobile phone company 85 00:04:31,697 --> 00:04:33,012 on the continent, 86 00:04:33,036 --> 00:04:36,350 they flooded in with billions of dollars of investments. 87 00:04:36,374 --> 00:04:39,362 And this led to significant growth in the industry. 88 00:04:40,187 --> 00:04:42,593 From barely nothing in 2000, 89 00:04:42,617 --> 00:04:45,407 today, virtually every African country now has 90 00:04:45,431 --> 00:04:48,153 a vibrant mobile telecommunications industry. 91 00:04:48,756 --> 00:04:53,222 The sector now supports close to one billion phone connections, 92 00:04:53,246 --> 00:04:56,453 it has created nearly four million jobs 93 00:04:56,477 --> 00:05:00,978 and generates billions of dollars in taxes every year. 94 00:05:01,002 --> 00:05:05,136 These are taxes that governments can now reinvest into the economy 95 00:05:05,160 --> 00:05:07,285 to build their institutions. 96 00:05:08,114 --> 00:05:09,632 And here's the thing: 97 00:05:09,656 --> 00:05:12,792 because most people no longer have to bribe public officials 98 00:05:12,816 --> 00:05:14,310 just to get a phone, 99 00:05:14,334 --> 00:05:18,874 corruption -- at least within this industry -- has reduced. 100 00:05:20,469 --> 00:05:23,707 Now, if Mo Ibrahim had waited for corruption to be fixed 101 00:05:23,731 --> 00:05:27,080 in all of sub-Saharan Africa before he invested, 102 00:05:27,104 --> 00:05:28,987 he would still be waiting today. 103 00:05:29,858 --> 00:05:34,443 You know, most people who engage in corruption know they shouldn't. 104 00:05:34,889 --> 00:05:38,482 I mean, the public officials who were demanding bribes from people 105 00:05:38,506 --> 00:05:39,657 to get phones 106 00:05:39,681 --> 00:05:41,736 and the people who were paying the bribes -- 107 00:05:41,760 --> 00:05:43,551 they knew they were breaking the law. 108 00:05:43,575 --> 00:05:45,091 But they did it anyways. 109 00:05:45,638 --> 00:05:47,404 The question is: Why? 110 00:05:47,967 --> 00:05:49,322 The answer? 111 00:05:49,346 --> 00:05:50,638 Scarcity. 112 00:05:52,128 --> 00:05:54,748 See, whenever people would benefit from gaining access 113 00:05:54,772 --> 00:05:56,285 to something that scarce, 114 00:05:56,309 --> 00:05:58,666 this makes corruption attractive. 115 00:05:59,642 --> 00:06:03,668 You know, in poor countries, we complain a lot about corrupt politicians 116 00:06:03,692 --> 00:06:05,189 who embezzle state funds. 117 00:06:05,213 --> 00:06:09,143 But in many of those countries, economic opportunity is scarce, 118 00:06:09,167 --> 00:06:12,878 and so corruption becomes an attractive way to gain wealth. 119 00:06:13,986 --> 00:06:17,472 We also complain about civil servants like police officers, 120 00:06:17,496 --> 00:06:21,027 who extort money from everyday hardworking citizens. 121 00:06:21,860 --> 00:06:24,691 But most civil servants are grossly underpaid 122 00:06:24,715 --> 00:06:26,706 and are leading desperate lives. 123 00:06:26,730 --> 00:06:33,201 And so for them, extortion or corruption is a good way to make a living. 124 00:06:34,241 --> 00:06:38,435 You know, this phenomenon also plays itself out in wealthy countries as well. 125 00:06:39,720 --> 00:06:42,517 When rich parents bribe university officials -- 126 00:06:42,541 --> 00:06:47,196 (Laughter) 127 00:06:47,220 --> 00:06:50,128 When rich parents bribe university officials 128 00:06:50,152 --> 00:06:54,874 so their children can gain admission into elite colleges, 129 00:06:54,898 --> 00:06:57,177 the circumstance is different, 130 00:06:57,201 --> 00:06:58,911 but the principle is the same. 131 00:06:59,360 --> 00:07:02,254 I mean, admission into elite colleges is scarce, 132 00:07:02,278 --> 00:07:05,446 and so bribery becomes attractive. 133 00:07:07,938 --> 00:07:09,116 The thing is, 134 00:07:09,140 --> 00:07:13,172 I'm not trying to say there shouldn't be things that are scarce in society 135 00:07:13,196 --> 00:07:14,736 or things that are selective. 136 00:07:15,435 --> 00:07:17,110 What I'm just trying to explain 137 00:07:17,134 --> 00:07:20,891 is this relationship between corruption and scarcity. 138 00:07:21,424 --> 00:07:26,324 And in most poor countries, way too many basic things are scarce. 139 00:07:26,348 --> 00:07:27,990 I mean things like food, 140 00:07:28,014 --> 00:07:29,383 education, 141 00:07:29,407 --> 00:07:30,692 health care, 142 00:07:30,716 --> 00:07:32,265 economic opportunity, 143 00:07:32,289 --> 00:07:33,517 jobs. 144 00:07:34,522 --> 00:07:38,677 This creates the perfect breeding ground for corruption to thrive. 145 00:07:39,884 --> 00:07:43,088 Now, in no way does this excuse corrupt behavior. 146 00:07:43,112 --> 00:07:45,998 It just helps us understand it a bit better. 147 00:07:46,672 --> 00:07:50,493 Investing in businesses that make things affordable 148 00:07:50,517 --> 00:07:52,999 and accessible to so many more people 149 00:07:53,023 --> 00:07:54,740 attacks this scarcity 150 00:07:54,764 --> 00:07:59,297 and creates the revenues for governments to reinvest in their economies. 151 00:07:59,992 --> 00:08:03,128 Now, when this happens on a countrywide level, 152 00:08:03,152 --> 00:08:05,335 it can revolutionize nations. 153 00:08:06,284 --> 00:08:08,703 Consider the impact in South Korea. 154 00:08:09,822 --> 00:08:11,302 Now, in the 1950s, 155 00:08:11,326 --> 00:08:14,864 South Korea was a desperately poor country, 156 00:08:14,888 --> 00:08:16,557 and it was very corrupt. 157 00:08:17,513 --> 00:08:20,675 The country was ruled by an authoritarian government 158 00:08:20,699 --> 00:08:23,496 and engaged in bribery and embezzlement. 159 00:08:23,858 --> 00:08:29,526 In fact, economists at the time said South Korea was trapped in poverty, 160 00:08:29,550 --> 00:08:33,153 and they referred to it as "an economic basket case." 161 00:08:34,240 --> 00:08:36,430 When you looked at South Korea's institutions, 162 00:08:36,454 --> 00:08:38,015 even as late as the 1980s, 163 00:08:38,039 --> 00:08:41,939 they were on par with some of the poorest and most corrupt African countries 164 00:08:41,963 --> 00:08:43,210 at the time. 165 00:08:43,938 --> 00:08:48,669 But as companies like Samsung, Kia, Hyundai 166 00:08:48,693 --> 00:08:52,425 invested in innovations that made things much more affordable 167 00:08:52,449 --> 00:08:54,633 for so many more people, 168 00:08:54,657 --> 00:08:57,273 South Korea ultimately became prosperous. 169 00:08:57,925 --> 00:09:00,682 As the country grew prosperous, 170 00:09:00,706 --> 00:09:03,784 it was able to transition from an authoritarian government 171 00:09:03,808 --> 00:09:06,009 to a democratic government 172 00:09:06,033 --> 00:09:10,429 and has been able to reinvest in building its institutions. 173 00:09:10,453 --> 00:09:12,688 And this has paid off tremendously. 174 00:09:13,698 --> 00:09:15,660 For instance, in 2018, 175 00:09:15,684 --> 00:09:19,640 South Korea's president was sentenced to 25 years in prison 176 00:09:19,664 --> 00:09:21,643 on corruption-related charges. 177 00:09:22,259 --> 00:09:26,320 This could never have happened decades ago when the country was poor 178 00:09:26,344 --> 00:09:29,138 and ruled by an authoritarian government. 179 00:09:30,450 --> 00:09:35,095 In fact, as we looked at most prosperous countries today, what we found was, 180 00:09:35,119 --> 00:09:39,172 they were able to reduce corruption as they became prosperous -- 181 00:09:39,196 --> 00:09:40,695 not before. 182 00:09:41,910 --> 00:09:43,580 And so where does that leave us? 183 00:09:44,673 --> 00:09:48,815 I know it may sound like I'm saying we should just ignore corruption. 184 00:09:49,259 --> 00:09:51,031 That's not what I'm saying at all. 185 00:09:51,850 --> 00:09:53,370 What I'm suggesting, though, 186 00:09:53,394 --> 00:09:58,171 is that corruption, especially for most people in poor countries, 187 00:09:58,195 --> 00:09:59,490 is a work-around. 188 00:10:00,196 --> 00:10:01,347 It's a utility 189 00:10:01,371 --> 00:10:04,946 in a place where there are fewer better options to solve a problem. 190 00:10:05,770 --> 00:10:09,356 Investing in innovations that make products much more affordable 191 00:10:09,380 --> 00:10:11,139 for many people 192 00:10:11,163 --> 00:10:13,376 not only attacks this scarcity 193 00:10:13,400 --> 00:10:16,117 but it creates a sustainable source of revenue 194 00:10:16,141 --> 00:10:19,369 for governments to reinvest into the economies 195 00:10:19,393 --> 00:10:21,912 to strengthen their institutions. 196 00:10:22,497 --> 00:10:26,215 This is the critical missing piece in the economic development puzzle 197 00:10:26,239 --> 00:10:29,561 that will ultimately help us reduce corruption. 198 00:10:31,013 --> 00:10:33,564 You know, I lost hope in Nigeria when I was 16. 199 00:10:34,405 --> 00:10:37,356 And in some ways, the country has actually gotten worse. 200 00:10:38,105 --> 00:10:42,280 In addition to widespread poverty and endemic corruption, 201 00:10:42,304 --> 00:10:45,189 Nigeria now actually deals with terrorist organizations 202 00:10:45,213 --> 00:10:46,915 like Boko Haram. 203 00:10:47,788 --> 00:10:51,278 But somehow, I am more hopeful about Nigeria today 204 00:10:51,302 --> 00:10:53,009 than I have ever been before. 205 00:10:53,474 --> 00:10:57,336 When I see organizations investing in innovations 206 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,671 that are creating jobs for people 207 00:10:59,695 --> 00:11:01,813 and making things affordable -- 208 00:11:01,837 --> 00:11:04,849 I mean organizations like Lifestores Pharmacy, 209 00:11:04,873 --> 00:11:09,253 making drugs and pharmaceuticals more affordable for people; 210 00:11:09,277 --> 00:11:11,413 or Metro Africa Xpress, 211 00:11:11,437 --> 00:11:16,451 tackling the scarcity of distribution and logistics for many small businesses; 212 00:11:16,475 --> 00:11:21,602 or Andela, creating economic opportunity for software developers -- 213 00:11:21,626 --> 00:11:24,372 I am optimistic about the future. 214 00:11:24,396 --> 00:11:26,125 I hope you will be, too. 215 00:11:26,149 --> 00:11:27,337 Thank you. 216 00:11:27,361 --> 00:11:32,285 (Applause)