0:00:00.933,0:00:02.533 So in 2011, 0:00:02.557,0:00:04.717 someone broke into my sister's office 0:00:04.741,0:00:07.635 at the university[br]where she teaches in Nigeria. 0:00:08.277,0:00:12.522 Now thankfully, the person was caught,[br]arrested and charged to court. 0:00:13.182,0:00:14.863 When I get into court, 0:00:14.887,0:00:18.268 the clerks who were assigned[br]to my sister's case informed her 0:00:18.292,0:00:20.759 that they wouldn't be able[br]to process the paperwork 0:00:20.783,0:00:22.429 unless she paid a bribe. 0:00:23.035,0:00:26.324 Now, at first she thought[br]it was part of a practical joke. 0:00:26.348,0:00:28.716 But then she realized they were serious. 0:00:28.740,0:00:30.629 And then she became furious. 0:00:30.653,0:00:35.741 I mean, think about it: here she was,[br]the recent victim of a crime, 0:00:35.765,0:00:38.737 with the very people[br]who were supposed to help her, 0:00:38.761,0:00:41.131 and they were demanding a bribe from her. 0:00:41.906,0:00:44.090 That's just one of the many ways 0:00:44.114,0:00:47.532 that corruption impacts[br]millions of people in my country. 0:00:48.252,0:00:50.049 You know, growing up in Nigeria, 0:00:50.073,0:00:53.646 corruption permeated[br]virtually every element of the society. 0:00:54.182,0:00:58.701 Reports of politicians embezzling[br]millions of dollars were common. 0:00:59.463,0:01:02.011 Police officers stealing money 0:01:02.035,0:01:05.573 or extorting money[br]from everyday hardworking citizens 0:01:05.597,0:01:07.195 was routine practice. 0:01:08.214,0:01:11.950 I felt that development[br]could never actually happen, 0:01:11.974,0:01:14.261 so long as corruption persisted. 0:01:15.279,0:01:16.940 But over the past several years, 0:01:16.964,0:01:20.412 in my research on[br]innovation and prosperity, 0:01:20.436,0:01:25.149 I've learned that corruption is actually[br]not the problem hindering our development. 0:01:25.794,0:01:26.945 In fact, 0:01:26.969,0:01:30.860 conventional thinking on corruption[br]and its relationship to development 0:01:30.884,0:01:35.965 is not only wrong, but it's holding[br]many poor countries backwards. 0:01:36.827,0:01:38.730 So, the thinking goes like this: 0:01:38.754,0:01:41.056 in a society that's poor and corrupt, 0:01:41.080,0:01:45.473 our best shot at reducing corruption[br]is to create good laws, 0:01:45.497,0:01:47.020 enforce them well, 0:01:47.044,0:01:50.940 and this will make way for development[br]and innovation to flourish. 0:01:51.631,0:01:53.123 Now, it makes sense on paper, 0:01:53.147,0:01:56.319 which is why many governments[br]and development organizations 0:01:56.343,0:01:59.068 invest billions of dollars annually 0:01:59.092,0:02:02.736 on institutional reform[br]and anti-corruption programs. 0:02:03.354,0:02:06.571 But many of these programs[br]fail to reduce corruption, 0:02:06.595,0:02:08.900 because we have the equation backwards. 0:02:09.729,0:02:14.221 You see, societies don't develop[br]because they've reduced corruption. 0:02:14.965,0:02:19.360 They're able to reduce corruption[br]because they've developed. 0:02:20.034,0:02:23.840 And societies develop[br]through investments in innovation. 0:02:25.156,0:02:27.266 Now, at first, I thought[br]this was impossible. 0:02:27.290,0:02:29.078 Why would anyone in their right mind 0:02:29.102,0:02:32.535 invest in a society where,[br]at least on the surface, 0:02:32.559,0:02:35.070 it seems a terrible place to do business? 0:02:35.094,0:02:38.042 You know, a society where[br]politicians are corrupt 0:02:38.066,0:02:39.656 and consumers are poor? 0:02:40.390,0:02:42.085 But then, the more I learned about 0:02:42.109,0:02:45.536 the relationship[br]between innovation and corruption, 0:02:45.560,0:02:47.879 the more I started[br]to see things differently. 0:02:49.073,0:02:52.048 Here's how this played out[br]in sub-Saharan Africa 0:02:52.072,0:02:55.286 as the region developed[br]its telecommunications industry. 0:02:56.096,0:02:57.509 In the late 1990s, 0:02:57.533,0:03:01.676 fewer than five percent of people[br]in sub-Saharan Africa had phones. 0:03:01.700,0:03:06.632 In Nigeria, for example, the country[br]had more than 110 million people 0:03:06.656,0:03:10.060 but fewer than half a million phones[br]in the whole nation. 0:03:10.084,0:03:14.017 Now, this scarcity fueled[br]widespread corruption in the industry. 0:03:14.600,0:03:17.976 I mean, public officials who worked[br]for the state-owned phone companies 0:03:18.000,0:03:20.434 demanded bribes from people[br]who wanted phones. 0:03:20.918,0:03:23.653 And because most people[br]couldn't afford to pay the bribes, 0:03:23.677,0:03:26.409 phones were only available[br]to those who were wealthy. 0:03:27.314,0:03:29.668 Then an entrepreneur named Mo Ibrahim 0:03:29.692,0:03:32.986 decided that he would set up[br]a telecommunications company 0:03:33.010,0:03:34.197 on the continent. 0:03:34.721,0:03:38.903 Now, when he told his colleagues[br]about his idea, they just laughed at him. 0:03:38.927,0:03:40.736 But Mo Ibrahim was undeterred. 0:03:40.760,0:03:44.164 And so in 1998, he set up Celtel. 0:03:45.116,0:03:48.500 The company provided affordable[br]mobile phones and cell service 0:03:48.524,0:03:50.200 to millions of Africans, 0:03:50.224,0:03:53.815 in some of the poorest and most corrupt[br]countries in the region -- 0:03:53.839,0:03:56.665 I mean countries such as Congo, Malawi, 0:03:56.689,0:03:59.448 Sierra Leone and Uganda. 0:04:00.401,0:04:03.847 You see, in our research,[br]we call what Mo Ibrahim built 0:04:03.871,0:04:06.493 a "market-creating innovation." 0:04:07.208,0:04:12.131 Market-creating innovations transform[br]complicated and expensive products 0:04:12.155,0:04:14.295 into products that[br]are simple and affordable, 0:04:14.319,0:04:18.093 so that many more people in society[br]could access them. 0:04:18.775,0:04:20.891 Now in this case, phones were expensive 0:04:20.915,0:04:23.739 before Celtel made them[br]much more affordable. 0:04:24.855,0:04:27.860 As other investors --[br]some of his colleagues, actually -- 0:04:27.884,0:04:31.673 saw that it was possible to create[br]a successful mobile phone company 0:04:31.697,0:04:33.012 on the continent, 0:04:33.036,0:04:36.350 they flooded in with billions[br]of dollars of investments. 0:04:36.374,0:04:39.362 And this led to significant[br]growth in the industry. 0:04:40.187,0:04:42.593 From barely nothing in 2000, 0:04:42.617,0:04:45.407 today, virtually every[br]African country now has 0:04:45.431,0:04:48.153 a vibrant mobile[br]telecommunications industry. 0:04:48.756,0:04:53.222 The sector now supports[br]close to one billion phone connections, 0:04:53.246,0:04:56.453 it has created nearly four million jobs 0:04:56.477,0:05:00.978 and generates billions of dollars[br]in taxes every year. 0:05:01.002,0:05:05.136 These are taxes that governments[br]can now reinvest into the economy 0:05:05.160,0:05:07.285 to build their institutions. 0:05:08.114,0:05:09.632 And here's the thing: 0:05:09.656,0:05:12.792 because most people no longer[br]have to bribe public officials 0:05:12.816,0:05:14.310 just to get a phone, 0:05:14.334,0:05:18.874 corruption -- at least within[br]this industry -- has reduced. 0:05:20.469,0:05:23.707 Now, if Mo Ibrahim had waited[br]for corruption to be fixed 0:05:23.731,0:05:27.080 in all of sub-Saharan Africa[br]before he invested, 0:05:27.104,0:05:28.987 he would still be waiting today. 0:05:29.858,0:05:34.443 You know, most people who engage[br]in corruption know they shouldn't. 0:05:34.889,0:05:38.482 I mean, the public officials[br]who were demanding bribes from people 0:05:38.506,0:05:39.657 to get phones 0:05:39.681,0:05:41.736 and the people[br]who were paying the bribes -- 0:05:41.760,0:05:43.551 they knew they were breaking the law. 0:05:43.575,0:05:45.091 But they did it anyways. 0:05:45.638,0:05:47.404 The question is: Why? 0:05:47.967,0:05:49.322 The answer? 0:05:49.346,0:05:50.638 Scarcity. 0:05:52.128,0:05:54.748 See, whenever people would benefit[br]from gaining access 0:05:54.772,0:05:56.285 to something that scarce, 0:05:56.309,0:05:58.666 this makes corruption attractive. 0:05:59.642,0:06:03.668 You know, in poor countries, we complain[br]a lot about corrupt politicians 0:06:03.692,0:06:05.189 who embezzle state funds. 0:06:05.213,0:06:09.143 But in many of those countries,[br]economic opportunity is scarce, 0:06:09.167,0:06:12.878 and so corruption becomes[br]an attractive way to gain wealth. 0:06:13.986,0:06:17.472 We also complain about[br]civil servants like police officers, 0:06:17.496,0:06:21.027 who extort money from everyday[br]hardworking citizens. 0:06:21.860,0:06:24.691 But most civil servants[br]are grossly underpaid 0:06:24.715,0:06:26.706 and are leading desperate lives. 0:06:26.730,0:06:33.201 And so for them, extortion or corruption[br]is a good way to make a living. 0:06:34.241,0:06:38.435 You know, this phenomenon also plays[br]itself out in wealthy countries as well. 0:06:39.720,0:06:42.517 When rich parents[br]bribe university officials -- 0:06:42.541,0:06:47.196 (Laughter) 0:06:47.220,0:06:50.128 When rich parents[br]bribe university officials 0:06:50.152,0:06:54.874 so their children can gain admission[br]into elite colleges, 0:06:54.898,0:06:57.177 the circumstance is different, 0:06:57.201,0:06:58.911 but the principle is the same. 0:06:59.360,0:07:02.254 I mean, admission[br]into elite colleges is scarce, 0:07:02.278,0:07:05.446 and so bribery becomes attractive. 0:07:07.938,0:07:09.116 The thing is, 0:07:09.140,0:07:13.172 I'm not trying to say there shouldn't[br]be things that are scarce in society 0:07:13.196,0:07:14.736 or things that are selective. 0:07:15.435,0:07:17.110 What I'm just trying to explain 0:07:17.134,0:07:20.891 is this relationship[br]between corruption and scarcity. 0:07:21.424,0:07:26.324 And in most poor countries,[br]way too many basic things are scarce. 0:07:26.348,0:07:27.990 I mean things like food, 0:07:28.014,0:07:29.383 education, 0:07:29.407,0:07:30.692 health care, 0:07:30.716,0:07:32.265 economic opportunity, 0:07:32.289,0:07:33.517 jobs. 0:07:34.522,0:07:38.677 This creates the perfect breeding ground[br]for corruption to thrive. 0:07:39.884,0:07:43.088 Now, in no way does this[br]excuse corrupt behavior. 0:07:43.112,0:07:45.998 It just helps us[br]understand it a bit better. 0:07:46.672,0:07:50.493 Investing in businesses[br]that make things affordable 0:07:50.517,0:07:52.999 and accessible to so many more people 0:07:53.023,0:07:54.740 attacks this scarcity 0:07:54.764,0:07:59.297 and creates the revenues for governments[br]to reinvest in their economies. 0:07:59.992,0:08:03.128 Now, when this happens[br]on a countrywide level, 0:08:03.152,0:08:05.335 it can revolutionize nations. 0:08:06.284,0:08:08.703 Consider the impact in South Korea. 0:08:09.822,0:08:11.302 Now, in the 1950s, 0:08:11.326,0:08:14.864 South Korea was[br]a desperately poor country, 0:08:14.888,0:08:16.557 and it was very corrupt. 0:08:17.513,0:08:20.675 The country was ruled[br]by an authoritarian government 0:08:20.699,0:08:23.496 and engaged in bribery and embezzlement. 0:08:23.858,0:08:29.526 In fact, economists at the time[br]said South Korea was trapped in poverty, 0:08:29.550,0:08:33.153 and they referred to it[br]as "an economic basket case." 0:08:34.240,0:08:36.430 When you looked[br]at South Korea's institutions, 0:08:36.454,0:08:38.015 even as late as the 1980s, 0:08:38.039,0:08:41.939 they were on par with some of the poorest[br]and most corrupt African countries 0:08:41.963,0:08:43.210 at the time. 0:08:43.938,0:08:48.669 But as companies like[br]Samsung, Kia, Hyundai 0:08:48.693,0:08:52.425 invested in innovations[br]that made things much more affordable 0:08:52.449,0:08:54.633 for so many more people, 0:08:54.657,0:08:57.273 South Korea ultimately became prosperous. 0:08:57.925,0:09:00.682 As the country grew prosperous, 0:09:00.706,0:09:03.784 it was able to transition[br]from an authoritarian government 0:09:03.808,0:09:06.009 to a democratic government 0:09:06.033,0:09:10.429 and has been able to reinvest[br]in building its institutions. 0:09:10.453,0:09:12.688 And this has paid off tremendously. 0:09:13.698,0:09:15.660 For instance, in 2018, 0:09:15.684,0:09:19.640 South Korea's president[br]was sentenced to 25 years in prison 0:09:19.664,0:09:21.643 on corruption-related charges. 0:09:22.259,0:09:26.320 This could never have happened decades ago[br]when the country was poor 0:09:26.344,0:09:29.138 and ruled by an authoritarian government. 0:09:30.450,0:09:35.095 In fact, as we looked at most prosperous[br]countries today, what we found was, 0:09:35.119,0:09:39.172 they were able to reduce corruption[br]as they became prosperous -- 0:09:39.196,0:09:40.695 not before. 0:09:41.910,0:09:43.580 And so where does that leave us? 0:09:44.673,0:09:48.815 I know it may sound like I'm saying[br]we should just ignore corruption. 0:09:49.259,0:09:51.031 That's not what I'm saying at all. 0:09:51.850,0:09:53.370 What I'm suggesting, though, 0:09:53.394,0:09:58.171 is that corruption, especially[br]for most people in poor countries, 0:09:58.195,0:09:59.490 is a work-around. 0:10:00.196,0:10:01.347 It's a utility 0:10:01.371,0:10:04.946 in a place where there are fewer[br]better options to solve a problem. 0:10:05.770,0:10:09.356 Investing in innovations that make[br]products much more affordable 0:10:09.380,0:10:11.139 for many people 0:10:11.163,0:10:13.376 not only attacks this scarcity 0:10:13.400,0:10:16.117 but it creates a sustainable[br]source of revenue 0:10:16.141,0:10:19.369 for governments to reinvest[br]into the economies 0:10:19.393,0:10:21.912 to strengthen their institutions. 0:10:22.497,0:10:26.215 This is the critical missing piece[br]in the economic development puzzle 0:10:26.239,0:10:29.561 that will ultimately[br]help us reduce corruption. 0:10:31.013,0:10:33.564 You know, I lost hope[br]in Nigeria when I was 16. 0:10:34.405,0:10:37.356 And in some ways, the country[br]has actually gotten worse. 0:10:38.105,0:10:42.280 In addition to widespread poverty[br]and endemic corruption, 0:10:42.304,0:10:45.189 Nigeria now actually deals[br]with terrorist organizations 0:10:45.213,0:10:46.915 like Boko Haram. 0:10:47.788,0:10:51.278 But somehow, I am more hopeful[br]about Nigeria today 0:10:51.302,0:10:53.009 than I have ever been before. 0:10:53.474,0:10:57.336 When I see organizations[br]investing in innovations 0:10:57.360,0:10:59.671 that are creating jobs for people 0:10:59.695,0:11:01.813 and making things affordable -- 0:11:01.837,0:11:04.849 I mean organizations[br]like Lifestores Pharmacy, 0:11:04.873,0:11:09.253 making drugs and pharmaceuticals[br]more affordable for people; 0:11:09.277,0:11:11.413 or Metro Africa Xpress, 0:11:11.437,0:11:16.451 tackling the scarcity of distribution[br]and logistics for many small businesses; 0:11:16.475,0:11:21.602 or Andela, creating economic opportunity[br]for software developers -- 0:11:21.626,0:11:24.372 I am optimistic about the future. 0:11:24.396,0:11:26.125 I hope you will be, too. 0:11:26.149,0:11:27.337 Thank you. 0:11:27.361,0:11:32.285 (Applause)