1 00:00:17,422 --> 00:00:21,552 If you've ever had the suspicion that your vote doesn't really count 2 00:00:21,552 --> 00:00:25,509 and the deck might be stacked against you, you might be right. 3 00:00:26,199 --> 00:00:30,070 In many places in this country, we don't have a functioning democracy. 4 00:00:30,250 --> 00:00:32,225 People might go to the polls, 5 00:00:32,225 --> 00:00:35,185 but they might not have a real choice when they get there. 6 00:00:35,787 --> 00:00:39,737 In 2010, the people of Florida were trying to do something about this. 7 00:00:39,737 --> 00:00:43,258 They passed a ballot initiative with almost two-thirds of the vote: 8 00:00:43,258 --> 00:00:45,478 a new state constitutional amendment 9 00:00:45,478 --> 00:00:50,788 requiring that districts be fair and not biased based on race or party. 10 00:00:51,672 --> 00:00:52,702 It didn't work. 11 00:00:53,939 --> 00:00:57,784 The state legislature sued to try and get out of these new requirements, 12 00:00:57,784 --> 00:00:59,834 and in subsequent court battles, 13 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:05,430 the maps they made were found to be racially and partisan biased. 14 00:01:06,907 --> 00:01:08,896 Florida is just one example 15 00:01:08,896 --> 00:01:11,216 of our national problem with gerrymandering. 16 00:01:12,139 --> 00:01:15,109 Gerrymandering is when you take a few people from one place 17 00:01:15,109 --> 00:01:19,149 and a few people from another place and draw a line around them on the map 18 00:01:19,587 --> 00:01:23,027 to create a district with some specific demographic goal. 19 00:01:24,722 --> 00:01:27,392 Here's an example world with 25 people: 20 00:01:27,982 --> 00:01:31,862 60% green people and 40% purple people. 21 00:01:32,533 --> 00:01:36,506 If you split that up into five simple districts of five people each, 22 00:01:36,506 --> 00:01:39,223 you can preserve that ratio in the outcome 23 00:01:39,223 --> 00:01:41,639 and have three districts won by green people 24 00:01:41,639 --> 00:01:43,889 and two districts won by purple people. 25 00:01:44,744 --> 00:01:48,814 But if you pack enough green people into just two districts, 26 00:01:49,144 --> 00:01:51,014 then you can flip that outcome 27 00:01:51,014 --> 00:01:54,704 and wind up with three districts where there's a purple majority. 28 00:01:55,762 --> 00:02:00,609 Or you can crack the purple people and split them up just right 29 00:02:00,609 --> 00:02:03,299 so that they don't have a majority anywhere. 30 00:02:04,160 --> 00:02:06,812 These strategies of packing and cracking 31 00:02:06,812 --> 00:02:10,582 are being used in dozens of districts throughout the country. 32 00:02:12,271 --> 00:02:15,217 That bright blue district in northeast Florida 33 00:02:15,737 --> 00:02:17,945 was found to be racially biased 34 00:02:17,945 --> 00:02:21,977 because it packs too many black people into one district, 35 00:02:21,977 --> 00:02:23,807 diminishing their influence elsewhere. 36 00:02:25,042 --> 00:02:27,845 That was Florida in 2012, 37 00:02:28,195 --> 00:02:31,088 but gerrymandering has been going on for a long time, 38 00:02:31,088 --> 00:02:33,086 since at least 1812, 39 00:02:33,496 --> 00:02:37,539 when Massachusetts governor Elbridge Gerry signed into law a map 40 00:02:37,539 --> 00:02:43,089 that was drawn into a political cartoon as a monstrous, dragonesque salamander, 41 00:02:43,484 --> 00:02:45,564 and thus was born the gerrymander. 42 00:02:46,327 --> 00:02:48,387 But it's gotten a lot worse lately. 43 00:02:48,399 --> 00:02:52,234 The joke is that instead of voters picking their politicians, 44 00:02:52,234 --> 00:02:54,494 politicians are picking their voters. 45 00:02:55,982 --> 00:02:57,252 Why is this a problem? 46 00:02:57,765 --> 00:02:59,314 When you have too many seats 47 00:02:59,314 --> 00:03:02,807 that are gerrymandered to be safe for one party or another, 48 00:03:02,807 --> 00:03:05,587 the political process breaks down in some ways. 49 00:03:06,416 --> 00:03:08,515 I have one personal example. 50 00:03:08,515 --> 00:03:11,279 In 2006, I was a webmaster 51 00:03:11,279 --> 00:03:13,689 for a congressional campaign in California. 52 00:03:14,232 --> 00:03:15,344 We were in a district 53 00:03:15,344 --> 00:03:18,664 that was gerrymandered, say, for the other party. 54 00:03:19,346 --> 00:03:22,502 And the incumbent in that party 55 00:03:22,502 --> 00:03:25,492 didn't feel the need to take part in the campaign 56 00:03:25,492 --> 00:03:27,845 and wouldn't agree to show up for any debates. 57 00:03:27,845 --> 00:03:29,525 He just felt he didn't have to. 58 00:03:30,027 --> 00:03:34,967 And our party wouldn't send any help; they figured we were a lost cause. 59 00:03:35,522 --> 00:03:39,772 Come election day, the incumbent got the expected 60/40 result. 60 00:03:41,102 --> 00:03:43,072 In other places, it's even worse. 61 00:03:43,366 --> 00:03:48,287 In 2014, there were 32 congressional districts that went unopposed - 62 00:03:48,287 --> 00:03:49,797 no one else on the ballot. 63 00:03:50,209 --> 00:03:52,143 That's over 20 million Americans 64 00:03:52,143 --> 00:03:56,423 with no effective choice over who their representative in Congress is. 65 00:03:58,143 --> 00:03:59,395 In some places, 66 00:03:59,745 --> 00:04:03,755 the incumbent faces a more extreme challenger from within their own party. 67 00:04:04,053 --> 00:04:09,203 And whether you have an extremist upstart or a long incumbent safe seat, 68 00:04:10,647 --> 00:04:14,627 that politician might not feel the need to reach out across the aisle 69 00:04:14,627 --> 00:04:17,337 and compromise on anything because they're safe, 70 00:04:18,019 --> 00:04:21,123 and the legislative process grinds to a halt, 71 00:04:21,123 --> 00:04:22,793 and voters get more cynical. 72 00:04:23,772 --> 00:04:26,472 What if we could have impartial districts? 73 00:04:26,856 --> 00:04:30,406 What if we defined what a good district was mathematically 74 00:04:30,406 --> 00:04:33,327 and didn't let anyone else's agenda interfere? 75 00:04:34,485 --> 00:04:37,885 Florida's map might look something like this. 76 00:04:39,290 --> 00:04:41,019 About 10 years ago, 77 00:04:41,019 --> 00:04:44,272 computers got powerful enough to solve for this kind of map 78 00:04:44,472 --> 00:04:50,582 that follows the legal requirements of having equal population per district, 79 00:04:51,080 --> 00:04:54,011 contiguous districts that are each all one piece, 80 00:04:54,431 --> 00:04:57,540 and in this case, solving for compact districts 81 00:04:57,540 --> 00:05:02,490 that try to tightly represent one location or region. 82 00:05:04,215 --> 00:05:06,725 But I didn't know it would work when I started. 83 00:05:06,725 --> 00:05:08,063 Previous work in this area 84 00:05:08,063 --> 00:05:11,446 had been on tiny toy maps like the one I showed you earlier, 85 00:05:11,446 --> 00:05:15,236 and they didn't think it would scale up to a full state worth of data. 86 00:05:15,436 --> 00:05:18,596 But I figured I was a pretty good engineer and I'd give it a shot, 87 00:05:18,596 --> 00:05:20,662 and I think it worked out pretty well. 88 00:05:20,912 --> 00:05:24,668 So, when the 2010 census data starting coming out, 89 00:05:24,668 --> 00:05:26,632 I set my home computer to work, 90 00:05:26,632 --> 00:05:31,582 and over the next six months, it came up with 137 maps 91 00:05:31,582 --> 00:05:34,451 for state legislature and congressional districts 92 00:05:34,451 --> 00:05:35,641 all over the country. 93 00:05:36,014 --> 00:05:38,104 And I think the results are pretty good. 94 00:05:38,316 --> 00:05:39,576 Let's see another one. 95 00:05:39,593 --> 00:05:40,913 First, the old way. 96 00:05:42,473 --> 00:05:47,013 North Carolina has also been in almost constant legal battles 97 00:05:47,013 --> 00:05:49,948 since their maps came out a little over four years ago. 98 00:05:50,651 --> 00:05:51,978 Most recently, 99 00:05:51,978 --> 00:05:56,558 they were thrown out for racial bias just as primary season was spinning up. 100 00:05:57,178 --> 00:05:59,214 New maps were hastily drawn up, 101 00:05:59,214 --> 00:06:02,714 and the primary had to be pushed back from March until June. 102 00:06:03,141 --> 00:06:05,921 Voters and candidates were left in disarray. 103 00:06:07,272 --> 00:06:09,492 That red district in the northeast 104 00:06:09,492 --> 00:06:12,572 reaches into and around three other districts. 105 00:06:13,544 --> 00:06:17,782 That pink district in the middle pinches down as narrow as possible 106 00:06:17,782 --> 00:06:20,132 while reaching out to grab other areas. 107 00:06:20,696 --> 00:06:21,716 This is nuts. 108 00:06:22,487 --> 00:06:24,712 These are the visual telltales 109 00:06:24,712 --> 00:06:28,602 of districts that have been distorted toward some political end. 110 00:06:29,634 --> 00:06:34,834 The opposite of a sprawling, non-local gerrymandered map 111 00:06:34,834 --> 00:06:37,928 is a compact map, like this. 112 00:06:39,047 --> 00:06:40,917 I hope you can see the difference. 113 00:06:41,565 --> 00:06:43,025 You can also measure it. 114 00:06:43,597 --> 00:06:44,805 I measure compactness 115 00:06:44,805 --> 00:06:48,565 as the average distance per person to the center of their district. 116 00:06:49,355 --> 00:06:53,105 In the old North Carolina map, that distance was 38 miles; 117 00:06:53,519 --> 00:06:56,349 in my map, it's 25 miles. 118 00:06:57,015 --> 00:07:01,305 You can measure how sprawling and non-local a gerrymandered map is 119 00:07:01,305 --> 00:07:03,818 and how compact a compact map is. 120 00:07:05,323 --> 00:07:07,463 So, it's technically possible. 121 00:07:07,960 --> 00:07:09,670 How's the political situation? 122 00:07:09,901 --> 00:07:13,491 You might expect that there would be some resistance to this kind of change, 123 00:07:13,491 --> 00:07:16,321 and there is, but there is also some demand for it. 124 00:07:17,622 --> 00:07:22,282 The republican governor of Maryland has recently called out for national help 125 00:07:22,282 --> 00:07:25,370 in overturning his state's democratic gerrymander. 126 00:07:26,666 --> 00:07:29,430 That is one of the more contorted messes 127 00:07:29,430 --> 00:07:34,230 of tentacled horrors of districts I have seen in any map. 128 00:07:34,230 --> 00:07:35,320 (Laughter) 129 00:07:37,064 --> 00:07:39,164 I don't know if this is the best map, 130 00:07:39,680 --> 00:07:42,895 but I submit that it is a legally viable map, 131 00:07:42,895 --> 00:07:46,925 without some of the obvious runaround and drawbacks of the old map. 132 00:07:49,083 --> 00:07:52,154 There are a lot of states with divided government, 133 00:07:52,154 --> 00:07:54,784 with the two parties fighting over redistricting. 134 00:07:55,168 --> 00:07:57,678 But this shouldn't be something to fight about. 135 00:07:57,687 --> 00:08:01,647 Redistricting should be a bureaucratic, boring process, 136 00:08:01,647 --> 00:08:04,943 where you get in new census data, you turn the crank, 137 00:08:04,943 --> 00:08:07,483 and you get out new maps for the next 10 years. 138 00:08:10,272 --> 00:08:11,889 In the last few years, 139 00:08:11,889 --> 00:08:17,579 California, Arizona, Ohio, and Florida have passed reform of one kind or another. 140 00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:19,870 That shows that it's possible. 141 00:08:20,100 --> 00:08:23,857 Those reforms might not be perfect, and they might still need some tinkering, 142 00:08:23,857 --> 00:08:24,937 but we can do it. 143 00:08:26,635 --> 00:08:28,325 This is technically possible. 144 00:08:29,102 --> 00:08:32,202 Open-source software, free and verifiable, 145 00:08:33,691 --> 00:08:36,451 running on home computers that anyone can use 146 00:08:36,878 --> 00:08:39,291 can solve for these kinds of impartial maps, 147 00:08:39,291 --> 00:08:41,171 and the results are pretty good. 148 00:08:41,616 --> 00:08:43,666 This is politically possible. 149 00:08:43,666 --> 00:08:47,083 People want reform - even some elected officials want it. 150 00:08:47,370 --> 00:08:50,220 And the legal mechanisms are achievable. 151 00:08:50,932 --> 00:08:52,911 If we could have a change now, 152 00:08:52,911 --> 00:08:56,491 we could have a big effect on the future of our political process. 153 00:08:57,139 --> 00:08:59,579 If reform comes to enough places, 154 00:08:59,579 --> 00:09:00,899 enough states, 155 00:09:00,899 --> 00:09:03,959 we might even be able to get a national standard. 156 00:09:04,805 --> 00:09:09,925 And a national standard might let us really hold up our core value 157 00:09:09,925 --> 00:09:13,063 of equal protection under the law for all. 158 00:09:13,063 --> 00:09:14,083 (Applause)